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Lookout Landing

12-15

It's difficult to overstate just how badly the Mariners needed a game like this. The first few innings aside, today was fun, easy, and comfortable, the kind of game that leaves you thinking nothing but optimistic thoughts after the final out is recorded because you don't want to let anything spoil the mood. Joel Pineiro tossed the team's first complete game of the season. Kenji Johjima broke out of a slump with three hits and a homer. Richie Sexson went deep for the first time since Cleveland. Adrian Beltre smashed the ball the other way a few times and then roped an inside fastball into left field for a late double. The lineup didn't draw a walk but still went 19-42 at the plate, improving its season batting average by a full ten points.

...and on and on and on. There's just no way to feel anything less than totally satisfied with the way this game played out. These are the things that can soothe a tense fan base and loosen up a roster that's been fighting itself since the season began. God bless Scott Baker and the rest of the Twins for providing at least a temporary cure for all of our problems.

To the chart:

Biggest Contribution: Kenji Johjima, +24.4%
Biggest Suckfest: Carl Everett, -6.2%
Most Important Hit: Johjima homer, +17.4%
Most Important Pitch: Ford single, -9.3%/Morneau DP, +9.3%
Total Contribution by Pitcher(s): +20.2%
Total Contribution by Hitters: +29.8%

(What is this?)

The only questionable decision I had to make in adding up today's Win Probability Added was figuring out how to score Kenji getting caught "stealing" second base in the top of the fourth. In the end, I decided to penalize Yuniesky Betancourt for the out, since it was very clearly intended to be a hit-and-run but he swung through the ball, hanging Kenji out to dry. But that's just my opinion, and your mileage may vary. This is why you'll almost never get identical WPA ratings from two different people tracking the same game. It's a fun tool, but it's also an inexact science.

Anyway, the following is a complete transcript of my game notes from tonight:

"idiot bert"

There's only so much you can do with that little material, so I say we should all just go to sleep happy with the team's performance and excited for tomorrow, when Jarrod Washburn gets to remind Johan Santana that he can't win if he doesn't get any runs. Yes, this is me acting confident that the Mariners can beat one of the best pitchers in baseball. You see what games like tonight's do to me? This is such an unusual feeling, I don't even know what to think anymore.

0 recs  |  24 comments

Comments

Funny to me that Beltre gets a neg WPA
I understand why it happened, but just goes to show you how much context plays an integral part in WE.
That's what I like about it
It's as contextual a baseball stat as there is.
Current Lines:
Ichiro:.283/.347/.345
Jose Lopez:.288/.313/.514(Awsome!)
Rual Ibanez:.306/.347/.509
Richie Sexson:.214/.306/.378
Carl Everett:.209/.327/.419
Kenji Johjima:.291/.360/.468
Adrian Beltre:.211/.299/.274(over the mendoza line!)
Jeremy Reed:.185/.247/.277(only regular below the mendoza line now)
Betancourt:.282/.291/.412
WE for Hargrove
Guys miss sometimes on the hit and run.  It's Hargrove's call, so you could give him all the WE for the caught stealing, or have him split it with YuBet.
Re: WE for Hargrove
And guys sometimes get caught when the manager calls for a steal. Still have to put it on the player.
Scored Correctly
I'm with you on the scoring of that play, Jeff. If the batter doesn't find a way to make contact, the runner is dead meat (and that only served to divert Bert's vultures for a few seconds).
Yeah
I agree.  Now that I've gone back to sleep for a couple of hours, I'm thinking more clearly.
Why is it Hargrove's fault
that Betancourt swung through a fastball down the middle?
From the Seattle PI
Outfielder Chris Snelling, 24, is close to returning after spending the past four weeks in extended spring training. He's hitting, running the bases and playing some in the field, testing out the left knee that required surgery in September.

"I caught a few games down there and he looks ready to me," said the scout. "I wouldn't be surprised if he's playing in Seattle by the end of May."

http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/baseball/268730_mfarm02.html

Aaaaaah!!!
You so just jinxed it. :(
From the Seattle PI, June 1
Outfielder Chris Snelling may be forced to retire after both his legs spontaneously exploded while running the bases during a simulated game.

"His legs exploded like a rock in that game Asteroids," said one scout.  "We were gonna try to put him back together, but (closer) Eddie (Guardado) ran out and ate everything."

HAHAHAHA
I love it.  I think that counts as an un-jinx too.  I love the extra Eddie touch.  
The Rev
Jeff said:

so I say we should all just go to sleep happy with the team's performance and excited for tomorrow, when Jarrod Washburn gets to remind Johan Santana that he can't win if he doesn't get any runs.


You're starting to sound like the Rev, Jeff.

No he'd be the Rev if he predicted we'd win
tommorow, and the next day, and everyday after that.
hits/runs
Ms: 14/11
Twinkies: 6/1
Ouch
That is a high octane insult there phildopip!
Oof, yeah
I just re-read that, and it does sound kinda bad. It was meant as a joke and not an insult. Sorry, Jeff!
Oh Willie
The swelling in Bloomquist's right forearm has gone down, and Bloomquist says he's ready to play. Of course, he said, "I was ready to play yesterday, too." He said he wouldn't be wearing a protective pad on his forearm. "Whenever I wear those, I think about the injury," he said. "I don't want to think about it."

He so tuff and dreamy especially in his rollerskates....

Willie should play with no helmet
That way he wouldn't think about his own head...

Seriously, it would be real grit -- like when hockey players didn't wear helmets.

LOL Willie Mactavish
lol
I love that picture.
Burt
I've never had the (dis)pleasure of listening to Blyleven call a game. What is so bad about him?
Like many other announcers
I just find him and his habits irritating. This included.

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