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Lookout Landing

A Little More On The Signing

First things first - Pravda's reporting it as a one-year deal. Financial terms weren't disclosed, but since Branyan's always been dirt cheap, I'd be surprised if we're looking at anything over $1.5-2m. For this organization, that's pocket change. There's no risk.

Moving on to more interesting stuff from Baker's latest:

Mariners GM Jack Zduriencik said he's prepared to "give Russell as many at-bats as he's had in his career.''

Branyan will get a shot at the everyday first base job.

"It looks that way,'' Zduriencik said. "I know what Russell can do.''

Things could obviously change between now and Opening Day, but as of this moment, it looks like we'll be in for some fun - Branyan's probably the strongest left-handed Mariner hitter in Safeco history, and given enough playing time, he could hit 25-30 home runs, none of them boring. Perhaps this'll spell the end of Ichiro being the biggest draw in BP. Like Richie Sexson a few years ago, Branyan's a threat to go deep every time he comes to the plate, but unlike Richie Sexson a few years ago, he doesn't carry the burden of expectations. So he's a more freeing experience. People won't be yelling at him when he strikes out in a clutch situation (and he'll do that a lot). It'll be more like "oh yeah" "what did we expect". And then when he crushes the ball he'll be treated like a hero. It's funny the way money changes the way players are received.

Russ Branyan's a stopgap. He's just a guy we brought in to hang out while we look for a longer-term solution at first base, and he's almost certainly not going to be a part of this organization's future. But he's cheap, he's entertaining, he's pretty good, and his signing is an indication that our new front office understands way more about effective roster construction than the last guys did, so I just don't see any way a reasonable person could hear about this and not be pleased. He's 95% the fun of Adam Dunn for a tiny fraction of the cost. That's good. We did good. We did good.

Update: ESPN calls it a $1.4m/1yr deal, with $500k possible in incentives.

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Comments

Branyan’s probably the strongest left-handed Mariner hitter in Safeco history

Junior had very little Safeco history
More than Branyan
I think Branyan may be stronger
I don't know about that.

Jr. may be a fraction of what he used to be, but god damn could he shoot some missiles off that bat. His bat speed was pretty damn absurd.

bat speed is not strength

Beltre is stronger than Griffey.

I think they broke down...

That bat speed is the most important component of batted ball distance, but my memory is probably crap.

Well as far as brute force, yeah.
Can you explain this "We did good" concept to me

I can’t fully understand what it means

Ok. Think of the feeling you got when you heard about the Jose Vidro trade.

Now, try your best, because this is very hard: Try to imagine the opposite feeling.

That is what good feels like! That’s the feeling you get when your team doesn’t hilariously, dependably screw something up.

Remember when you took the garbage out as a kid

and afterwards you got some money, which you used to buy candy or video games or the like? It’s like the feeling when you first got the money, before you spent it.

I was wondering the same.
Biggest source of optimism...

is that Zdiurencik’s first move went straight to a hugely undervalued commodity: 1B/DH former top prospects who many consider washouts. This is how the Rays found Pena and the Red Sox found Ortiz. Branyan obviously doesn’t have the same upside, but taking a flier on these guys is a great way to get solid production for next to nothing.

If Zdiurencik follows up by bringing in a SS and CF with plus gloves (regardless of offense) as stopgaps to make our fringe SPs look a little better, I’ll whoop with joy. I don’t whoop often.

"1B/DH former top prospects who many consider washouts"

Bladergroen? Maybe there’s something still there.

Was he ever really a *top* prospect, though?

I’m not sure, but I would have said that between him and Brito, Brito was the more highly-regarded, back in the day when they were actually considered prospects, and I don’t recall that Brito was ever thought of as a highlight guy.

Blade was the number four prospect in the Mets system after his SAL campaign.

I don’t know anything about Brito though.

Brito was in the top 20 of a decent system, but - at least to me - never as highly regarded as Blade.
Thanks, you two

Must just be West Coast bias on my part — I hadn’t realized Bladergroen was ever ranked that highly. (Although, what did the Mets have at the time?)

Lastings Milledge, Yusmeiro Petit... Gaby Hernandez...

Hindsight is depressing when looking at prospect lists.

Well...did BA ever rank Petit that high, or was that all BP?

I remember getting pissed off when Petit’s MLE/PECOTA blew Felix’s out of the water when both were in A ball or whatever.

I'm looking at BA.

All three were ahead of Blade, in that order.

I’ve never actually had a BP subscription, and with the financial situation I’m in right now, I don’t expect to any time soon.

Branyan/Johjima for first!
Back-Spasm-Brothers
Not the same ring as the Bash Brothers though.
If we get one thing out of the Bavasi error it's that now even barely competent moves make us feel fantastic
I did a back-flip....I've been waiting to do one since Dave or DMZ (forget) told us to do one because we were trading Washburn.

But it’s nice to be excited, even about a small move.

I vote for referring to the period of time that Bavasi was our GM as the Bavasi Error

from now on.

I read right through it...dang. So I'm for it.
I read right through it, too.

But I will second Matthew’s nomination.

It stopped me cold.
the Bavasi Error

sorta like the Korean Conflict

Bavasi Blunder

it’s not just the alliteration. It really seemed like blindly stumbling – blundering – through baseball.

But that sounds like one discrete event

like Bavasi only made one blunder. But then again so does Bavasi Error. Oh, the dilemmas.

This is my finest typo
No, we cannot decide to come up with a name for it. It will never stick.

This happened organically through a typo (sort of). This stays, I have decreed it.

ESPN is saying $1.4 mil with incentives of up to 500k depending on plate appearances.
Niiiiice.

I like this even more now.

I'm happy with the first move.

I can now officially begin to have an optimistic off-season.

Of course Branyan is the starting 1B as of now. It's not like he has someone to displace.
When can I wear my LaHair jersey now? :(
Rainiers games?
To be clear..I don't really have one.
A couple more things for the Branyan primer, just so you know

Branyan likes to walk up to “Hell’s Bells”, and he occasionally swings 3 bats in the on-deck circle. It’s the most intimidating thing you could imagine when that dude comes up. Then he’ll just crush a ball on someone and just have this content, satisfied look on his face.

All the Brewer fans are pretty upset about this, as you can probably tell. Have fun watching the Grand Branyan. He’s also the career leader in 3T0% (HR+BB+K/PA), ahead of Adam Dunn and Rob Deer.

Not only is this a good baseball signing,

it’s a good entertainment signing. I couldn’t be more pleased.

The Grand Branyan

Good nickname.

I'm digging it

I love clever nick names.

They're rare nowadays.
He also

goes by 3TO and Russell the Muscle

Russell the Muscle is lame.

I like 3TO though.

I am so not going to miss BP sessions next year.
Speaking of Dunn, I can't believe he wasn't offered arbitration
It's cool to hear other teams messing that up though!
Fuck you both.
Didn't they trade for Dunn just for the draft picks?
They traded for him to cock block the Dodgers

which ended up hurting them more.

Could that move have possibly backfired any worse? I say no.
I believe Byrnes even said so.
Yeah and then he said this:
“That was a premise of the deal,” Diamondbacks GM Josh Byrnes said in regards those hypothetical draft picks. “The chances at that time were very good, but quite a few things have changed. I think it’s fair to say it’s maybe a little different situation than we anticipated. The poor economy has affected some things.”

So basically they’re crying poverty. Wooo we’re the Marlins of the NL West! The only thing that remains is to trade Justin Upton in 3 years for somebodies farm system.

Does he know something we don't?

I just can’t imagine why Dunn would accept arbitration. Are GMs worried that guys would rather wait a year and get a heftier contract in better economic times?

No idea.

What I don’t get is apparently they offered him a two year deal hours before declining to offer him arbitration. Though since they’ve pretty much said they only have $10M to spend this offseason and already lowballed RJ, I’m guessing it was something like 2/$12M

I think so. Next year there will be fewer corner guys on the market too

But a guy like Dunn should take the money and run before he collapses.

…and if he accepts, why couldn’t he be traded?

My favorite part of this offseason is that it's basically bizarro world so far.

One of the reasons I decided to find a 2nd team years ago was that I needed to root for somebody smart to keep from going insane.

Almost everything the DBacks have done this offseason has been stupid. Almost everything the Mariners have done this offseason has been smart.

What?

I'm sure they're being given orders from on high
Budget wise I imagine so.

But who on earth honestly thinks Dunn would stay in Arizona for 1 year at MAYBE $12-$15M when he could sign elsewhere for something like 5/$70M?

I think it's certainly possible

You’re looking at a cautious market flooded with corner/DH types. He could rebound, get the OBP over 4 and hit the market next year.

That said they should offer him arb because he's tradeable.

Maybe, just maybe, the Diamondbacks were thinking about saving money on having to sign the two extra draft picks.

But this totally screws the logic of trading for Dunn in the first place. (Dunn wasn’t the answer to making the playoffs and winning the World Series)

I can't imagine that being the case though.

While the economy is likely to be better this time next year, it’s not like baseball is in any danger of closing up shop. The FA market isn’t going to be THAT depressed. Is the difference in salary worth risking injury/collapse? I can’t imagine that it is.

Dunn 4 LF!!!!

Replace Ibanez with his younger equivalent!!

Absolutely love this signing.

Can’t wait to find out what’s next on the agenda.

Dare I say…Go M’s?

From Rotoworld
The New York Post reports that the Padres are close to trading Khalil Greene to an undisclosed team.
It’s believed that they’ve pffered him around to the Orioles and Tigers, but they were having trouble finding a deal they liked. St. Louis and Kansas City could be possibilities here.

Churchill said he heard a trade could follow the Branyan signing and would likely be for an infielder. Perhaps Greene is that infielder?

YuBet for Khalil straight up, please.
Oh no! Not Robo-Khalil!
I would welcome this for non-baseball reasons
The robot/cyborg/android photoshops would be numerous.
Who needs Photoshop?

It's like an expression frozen in time

I want this to happen so bad.

Safeco's dimensions would push his ability to remain expressionless to the limit

It would be the game within the game

This one's still my favorite

I laughed at this for almost an entire minute
Heh, me too. The ball just sitting there in the background is perfect.

It’s like his battery just died.

Clearly not solar-powered.

Or possibly built by Graham.

I think his logic center would conclude that breaking his other hand on a water cooler would be a better use of system resources than to feel emotion.
I just thought he was meditating.

a lot.

SON OF JOR-EL!

KNEEL BEFORE ZOD!

He's a terminator...
I see Tuesdays with the Green(e)s in the future.

Sean and Khalil as baseball’s most dynamic and expressive duo.

Khalil Greene joining the cast in Season 2 would be enough to get me watching that's for sure.
Get out of my head
How has Gas Lamp ball not done this already w/Khalil and Cha Seung?
The possibilities are endless..

Charity staring contests!

Very good call.
I miss Yuni already
I'll take Greene's mullet over Yuni's girth any day.
It is not a mullet

It is the most horrifying thing to ever be seen.

Still not as horrible as Yuni's horribleness (whatever that means)
Without a hat on, he really is disgusting.
Oh please God yes this would be awesome.
There's a guy on Churchill's blog who wants to trade Beltre and JJ for James Loney
Jim Street thinks we should trade JJ for Prince Fielder.

Then again, Jim Street is kind of a retard.

I'd rather trade JJ for Prince Fielder than trade Beltre and JJ for James Loney
I would trade JJ for Fielder about 700,000 times.
It's kinda funny to see the name Fielder next to such a large number.
That's a good trade.
Is it?
I'm skeptical

but off the top of my head, it doesn’t seem like an awful trade

Loney is a good player, but I think you could get more packaging them separately.
I might be wrong now that I look at the numbers a bit more.

I think it depends on whether you think Loney is closer to the ’07 version than the ’08 version.

I'd rather see if Putz can rebound than trade him for Loney.
A better version of Ryan Howard who is under club control

in exchange for a broken down closer?

How couldn’t it be?

You don't think you could trade JJ for something else

and send Beltre + less to LA for Loney?

I thought we were talking about Putz for Fielder
No, Beltre + Putz for Loney.
Dammit.

I’m a rtard

That's just a bad trade.
Hence my poorly placed smartassed remark.

Well now I look like a dingleberry.

On a true talent level, you think Loney is better than Howard?

Is his glove good enough to make up for the hitting discrepancy? I don’t know a lot about Loney.

This is a joke, right?
I think I fucked him up by being dumb.
Correct.

Jerk.

Oops. I just misread which comment you were replying to.
Regardless, I don't think Loney is that great unless he hits .330

So call me skeptical.

I'm too high on him either.

In fact, I thought for a second that you had gone batshit crazy until I realized you were talking about Prince.

not
I wouldn't blame you.
95% the fun of Adam Dunn?

I’m assuming that by “fun” you are basically saying “power” because any other meaning is just….well something I’d expect to see on the Giants blog.

I'm not sure what you're trying to imply by this comment.
Hey, I like McCovey Chronicles.
I can't tell what to make of this comment
Oh wait I think I get it now.

Having fun is totally gay.

mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

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