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Two Draft Picks Ahoy!

Larry LaRue says today that Raul Ibanez will decline arbitration, further noting that ten teams are interested in signing Raul. The rest of the story is typical Raul fluff, but hey, now that we don't have to deal with his defense anymore, it doesn't raise my ire.

Since there's not too much else to the story that we haven't already talked about, how about a game of guessing his team and contract? The poster who gets closest to his actual contract, without going over, gets to be mod for a day*

I'm going to say the Phillies at three years and $30 million

Star-divide

* offer void in Utah, Puerto Rico, Alaska, Hawaii, South America, Papua New Guinea, Europa and wherever you actually live or currently are both physically and spirtually.

0 recs  |  96 comments

Comments

Mets

3 years 25 milli

Also you didn't guess his team
As long as it is not the Cubs I will be happy.
If he signs with the Cubs that will make me very happy.

Cubs: 3 yrs / $34m with 4th year option of $12.5m and a buyout of $1m

Wooo, draft picks!

Since 2000, the only years we’ve had more than the standard number of draft picks were 2007 (1, Mangini) and 2001 (2, a second rounder and a third rounder, but that draft was pretty awful overall). Three times’ we’ve had less than fifty picks.

I favor systems that theoretically bring us good players on the cheap. Roster flexibility is crucial.

3 yr / $33m

Cubs. Hellooooo, Sweet Lou.

3 at $31.5m

Going to the… Yankees!

I will miss Raul, but god it’ll be nice to not have to watch him in the field.

I would go to EVERY Yankees game to watch Raul in pinstrips!
3 yr/$34.5 mil

The Mets. How can Omar Minaya resist?

3yrs/$27mil from the Mets

Well, that is what I hope happens. That would give the M’s the 25th pick in the draft. Of the teams going after Ibanez, the Mets would give us the best compensation.

The M’s could be looking at a really nice draft this year, particularly if they don’t sign Fields. If the Met’s sign Ibanez, and don’t sign any higher-ranked free agents, the M’s could end up with the #2, #21, #25, and #40 in the first round. That would be a pretty interesting draft.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DaJUEXxf8pY

Angels, 3/30
Oh no! If he signs with a divisional rival we will rue this day for years.
I will miss the laughter the most
aw, what are the odds that if he signed with a rival they'd actually let him see the outfield?
We can hope!

The Angels seem unable or uninterested in defense. They would put Raul out there for a 100+ games.
I’m sure he will have enough options to choose the team that will allow him to be an everyday starter.

Raul in left, Hunter in center, and Anderson in right! Yes!
It's the black hole, might as well have nobody out there
Garrett Anderson's contract was not picked up for 2009 by the Angels.

But!… they still have GMJ. His defense is definitely better than Anderson’s, but I don’t know exactly how great he ranks defensively.

Since he can still run he's not a defensive disaster on a corner

or so one would think.

What about metaphorically?

3 years/24 MM from the Cubbies.

Dodgers

Two years guaranteed for $12 mil per, third year option at $13 million

Phillies

2 yrs/22 mil plus option for third year at 12 mil

Ha

This was EXACTLY my guess. Gillick can’t pass up the opportunity to sign Ibanez through his ‘advisory’ role a second time.

By way of differentiating, I’ll knock Ibanez a bit for the economy and say 2/20 with an $11 mil third year option.

Mariners

5 years/$70 million

That's just not funny.
I'm still trying to kick the whole pessimism thing.
"Actaully" isn't a word, I expect to be made mod for a day when he signs with the Mets for 2/21
Mets

2/23 with a third year option at 12.5 and 1.3 buyout.

He signs with the Mets for 3/30
Yankees, 2/23m, 3rd year option for 13m
3yrs/$20m with a 4th year option

My Prediction: The Dodgers
My Hope: Angels

I think he wants more years than money.

Would there be any residual hard feelings between Ibanez and Lou from their previous Coach/Player relationship?

Lou didn’t seem to believe Raul was starter worthy at the time. So does Raul believe Lou hindered his progress?

Most likely the best monetary offer wins.

LaRue wrote:
Lou Piniella, who saw the drive but never the payoff in Seattle, was in favor of letting Ibanez go in 2000. When he watched Ibanez play for the Royals, he told Mariners scouts he wanted that left-handed bat back.

I imagine there are no hard feelings. And Raul probably wants to play for a winner.

Dodgers

3/27 with 4th year option at $10M

Cubs

3/30, something like 9.5/10/10.5

Dodgers

3 years/$32 Million

So we want to root for the worst team signing him so we get the best picks yes?
Kind of depends

Remember, the first 15 picks are protected.

We want him to sign with the worst team that finished in the top half of baseball record-wise.
And...

also isn’t planning on signing any free agents that graded higher than Raul.

The Dodgers...

If the Dodgers sign him we get the #16 pick.

Wait no, #17...D-Backs are #16...

GO NL WEST!!!!

If there's one thing Arizona doesn't need, it's an outfielder.
I think they can make an exception in this case.

;)

Cubs. 3@$30M. $8M 1st year $10M 2nd $12M 3rd. Mutual option for 4th year at $14M (a token gesture) $1M club buyout.

I assume Ibanez a little less expensive than Abreu and Ibanez maybe more open to lesser front money allowing the Cubs to receive lefty bat now and let new owners shoulder the higher dollars in other two years.

I’d save the draft pick and opt for Abreu or Dunn.

Hmmmmmmm

What if multiple people are close to the actual deal?
My guess the Marlins 3 years/around 32-34 with a option for a 4th year

Then everyone who was close gets to not be a mod.
Phillies, 2 yrs, $16 million
Houston, 2 years 20 million, third year option for 12.5 million

If you can count on anything, it’s Ed Wade’s stupidity.

I thought Houston was in extreme cost cutting mode.
Well they just gave Mike Hampton $2 million that they could've just thrown into a fire instead.

It would’ve be a much faster.

I look forward to him unseating Hunter Pence in RF
Ibanez isn't a reliever.
Not until he goes the Jeff Cirillo way.
2 years and 24 million
Team?
It's just going to fall from the sky.
Man you guys don't miss anything

I’ll say the White Sox after that trade

The Dye trade didn't happen, if that's what you're referring to.
Yeah I need to read things before I posted this

I was hoping I could leave it and not say anything. Fine…I’ll be boring and say the Mets.

Neat little contest

My guess here

Robert you're a clever sumbitch
You are soooooooooo going to go over.
Tim McCarver is now in my head explaining how you covered all the bases.

And how it’s such a veteran move. You don’t know how much therapy it took to get his voice out of my head. You sir, are the devil.

Wow, you have WAY too much time on your hands.
I wrote out all 11,000+ scenarios individually in just 20 minutes
this is not necessarily something to be proud of
That takes dedication
The prize seems like it could be interesting
Once I win, I plan not not sleeping or leaving the house that day.
There's a loophole
How long do you think it would take to ban Jeff Matthew and Graham?
Using the terms of winning this contest

I’m betting it’ll take a long, long time.

Since I would be a mod for a day if I won

I think it would take less than a day

Pretty sure if you read the small print that you won't be mod for the day though
I think you need to read the article again.
Are you going to argue that your spirit is somewhere else?
If that fail I can kick myself for not stealing Matthew's blackeberry
The case could certainly be made

that one whose spiritual being is separated from his physical being might be a wise choice for mod status.

All i have to do to become a mod is win this contest and shed my mortal coil!
What if I agreed to kill myself at the end of my term?
I'll go low:

Mets, 18 mil (8 first year, 10 second), team option 12 million third year.

Phillies 4 years @ $11M
Cubs

3yrs/$33M.

Rays 2 yrs 25M club option for another at 14 with a 2.5 buyout

Figured I would try one of the least likely destinations, but hey, they do need a lefty DH.

No way the Rays give him that much. They don't HAVE that much.
Cubs, 2 years @ 10mil per year, team option 12 mil 3rd year with 2mil buyout

Though I wouldn’t be all that surprised if he is a Mariner next year

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