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Community Projection Results: Adrian Beltre

AB: 599 (595)
2B: 40 (41)
3B: 2 (2)
HR: 29 (26)
HBP: 4 (2)
BB: 43 (38)
K: 102 (104)
SB: 12 (14)
CS: 4 (2)
GB%: 42 (44)

BA:
.288 (.276)
OBP: .340 (.319)
SLG: .506 (.482)
IsoPa: .052 (.043)
IsoPo: .219 (.207)

What can I say? You guys love Adrian Beltre almost as much as Adrian Beltre loves fishing.

Adrian_beltre3_medium

For sliders. Not fish. That probably could've been clearer.

1 recs  |  26 comments

Comments

But he's so unclutch

You'll never guess who entered the lowest projection

Red?

Okay let's try this again

you'll never guess who entered the lowest projection

Guess #2

A professional statistician and Alan Parsons Project fetishist?

I won't not say yes

Next-lowest projection: +51 points OPS

I like how he's moved on from 'not clutch'

to 'sucks', apparently.

Who is this?

Beltre. He's unclutch and sucks

couldnt agree more

worst signing in team, nay, mlb history. I mean just look at his 2004 numbers. The guy's just plain washed up...

I'm glad you people are finally starting to see sense

Yeah, thanks.

That was clearly the question I was asking.

Search is broken

But 'Pirata Morado' is the guy you want to be watching for.

He might pop into this thread, but the last time he appeared even Dave wandered over from USSM to call him a moron, so he might not.

Ah, thanks.

If he pops up, I'll call him a moron as well just so I can be one of the cool kids.

rturk89?

Skoorbo?

A couple years ago,

Jeff, you took a look at data from Baseball Info Solutions and wrote about how Beltre stopped hitting both sliders and fastballs. Beltre's bat has improved since that first turn in Seattle, but I'm curious if you've seen the BIF data for the last couple of years, and, if so, whether he has continued to struggle with fastballs.

Can't speak for Jeff

But if you watch good Beltre, he's stopped fouling off so many fastballs over the plate, and just started crushing them instead. Bad Beltre would foul them straight back.

According to Josh Kalk (not BIF)

Beltre vs. fastballs, 2007: .296 BA, .543 SLG
Beltre vs. sliders, 2007: .295 BA, .500 SLG

Jesus Christ just throw him curveballs

Okay

enough time has passed that I can probably get away with sharing the Beltre data I had.

BPS = BA + SLG

2005 BPS vs. FB: 1.112
2005 BPS vs. CU: .672
2005 BPS vs. SL: .845
2005 BPS vs. CH: .886

Source = Baseball Info Solutions

2007 BPS vs. FB: .852 (includes fastballs, cutters, sinkers, and splitters)
2007 BPS vs. CU: .429
2007 BPS vs. SL: .795
2007 BPS vs. CH: .918

Source = Josh Kalk

Um

From that old story:

Adrian Beltre was not a good fastball hitter in 2005. He wasn't even close to doing what he did in his breakout season.

And from your comment above:

BPS vs. FB: 1.112.

I don't see how those statements can be reconciled.

Whooooooops

It's early. Change 2005 BPS to 2004 BPS.

We can't all be superstars

Not before noon :(

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