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Lookout Landing

Series Preview: Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners

Seattle: 10-10
Baltimore: 11-8

GAMES

Game 1: Felix Hernandez vs Jeremy Guthrie
Game 2: Carlos Silva vs Daniel Cabrera
Game 3: R.A. Dickey vs Adam Loewen*

Oh goodie, we get to see Daniel Cabrera this time around, paired up in a battle of opposites with Carlos Silva. Cabrera's control problems aren't any better but he's compensated by striking out fewer batters and allowing more homeruns. Wait, that's bad. Which is good for us. Cabrera enters the series with a FIP of 6.57.

Guthrie still isn't striking anyone out and is allowing way too many homeruns to be successful long term. So far though his defense is bailing him out as he stands with a 5.76 FIP.

Adam Loewen has walked more batters than he's struck out, and allowed way too many homeruns. Sound familiar? So will this part. He's been awful and has managed to look only terrible thanks to his defense. He enters the series with a 7.30 FIP.

Star-divide

Likely Starters:
C Ramon Hernandez
1 Kevin Millar
2 Brian Roberts^
3 Melvin Mora
S Luis Hernandez
L Luke Scott*
C Adam Jones
R Nick Markakis*
D Aubrey Huff*

Scott and Markakis are off to rousing starts, but the rest of the lineup is...well...only Kevin Millar has an OPS+ over 100 and it stands at 106. They draw an average number of walks, strike out an average number of times and see an average number of pitches per PA. What they do do, is steal. 2nd in the AL in successful steals it will be important for the Ms to keep an eye on Roberts and Markakis. And for the love of sanity, don't let Adam Jones beat us.

CONTEXT

There's a small chance we could see Bedard back for game three which would be a big boost to the club, but I wouldn't be counting on anything. However, we should be near to getting J.J. Putz back into the bullpen which is going to necessitate a roster move from the bullpen. The lefties are safe as is Sean Green so the candidates seem to be Morrow, Corcoran or Lowe assuming Dickey stays up until Bedard comes back and Baek isn't dealt off. Corcoran's been effective for McLaren so it might be more likely to see either Morrow or Lowe sent down. Given that it is the Mariners, I'd start preparing for Mark Lowe to get optioned back to Tacoma.

Is Richie Sexson back? On one hand, it's a very small sample size and there are still games where he looks like Beltre sans talent at the plate. On the other, we've rarely seen Sexson be actually successful at the start of the year. Though the first 20 games, Sexson's OPS while with the Mariners have been: .821, .693 and .606 with nine walks being the most he had drawn in that span. Sexson's OPS stands at a robust .875 with 14 walks drawn and one can only imagine that with some renewed spark, he might start getting pitched around more. Hopefully he maintains his newfound discipline even in the wake of recovering power.

Is Kenji Johjima finished? On one hand, Kenji's been a fast starter the previous two years with OPSs of .854 and .913 through his first 17 games in 2006 and 2007. He's at a paltry .512 right now and while the increased walk rate is nice, he's hacking away at anything near the zone seeing a career low 3.2 pitches per plate appearance. One the other, Johjima's line drive rate is consistent with his career figures at 18.9%, a perfectly respectable number and his groundball rate hasn't changed much suggesting his overall approach isn't much different. What is different is a spike in infield flys and a correspondingly low BABIP. Expect both of those to regress and Kenji to go back to being an mild asset with his bat while we give Clement a year more to gestate and feed on Triple-A pitching.

THIS SERIES BROUGHT TO YOU BY:

Lions Winter Ale
Granville Island Brewery. Kelowna, BC

Good luck finding this one. Granville Island doesn't export outside of British Columbia but man oh man, this one is worth the drive up north to get. I am referring in specific to the winter ale, but it could be said for many of their lines for Granville Island is certainly a brewery worthy of considering amongst any of America's west coast. It pours a ruby red and through taste and smell is very reminiscent of Newcastle Brown Ale, possibly even a touch better and with a smidgen more of a chocolate finish. I should mention that Newcastle [on tap] is one of my favorite beers. Pity their football team blows ass. Overall this instantly jumped up the ranks to settle in as one of my preferred beers and will certainly be a must get every time I head across the border.

0 recs  |  263 comments

Comments

I will kill someone if we don't win this series.
Well said.
Kenji's LD% is 20.4??

Weird the things that stats tell you that the naked eye doesn’t

Hmmm

fangraphs has him at 18.9%. Did you get the LD data from somewhere else?

I got it from THT, but I got it yesterday night before that day's stats were in the DB.

I’ll update it.

I was just thinking that

exact same thing, because I don’t remember any line drives hardly at all from Kenji… unless they consider floaters over the infield that fall for hits to be linedrives.

Well I'd assume those are counted as line drives

but I don’t think its necessarily repeatable to be able to hit bloop liners over the IF to get to a ~league average LD%. Does seem like Kenji hasn’t really hit the ball hard this year though.

floaters usually aren't considered line drives

but it’s up to the discretion of the game charter.

What do they count them as? OF flies?

Seems kinda counter-intuitive to me I guess

yeah, flyball is what I'd guess.
or, depending on the PBP data company,

they can be called “fliners.” Where these end up in the GB/LD/FB trichotomy, I don’t know, but I guess I’d assume FB.

heh... floaters...
KJ walking
“while the increased walk rate is nice, he’s hacking away at anything near the zone seeing a career low 3.2 pitches per plate appearance”

So he’s walking more (min 4 p/pa) yet seeing fewer pitches, which implies that in his other ABs are far worse than 3.2 p/pa.

Gosh.

Based on that pitching, how is Baltimore 11-8?
Team ERA is barely worse than league average

Defense and luck are aiding them a ton. And their offense hasn’t been bad.

that would be thanks to us

if we didn’t blow two games they’d be 9-10, and if we’d beat the tar out of them as we fucking should have done they’d be 7-12 and we’d be at the top of the division. The fact that we’re at only .500 with our schedule is nothing short of pathetic.

I just checked their schedule so far.

Baltimore has been played pretty tough by Tampa Bay, they’ve split series with Toronto and the White Sox, and they were destroyed by Texas. But, they’re coming off a series victory over the Yankees.

I’ll describe them as erratic.

Well, we've lost two of our key pitchers...

I’d say that with Bedard and Putz out as long as they have been—being at .500 is very respectable. Especially since we’re .500 vs. LAnaheim.

Huzzah to Newcastle on tap

Although I’m a fan regardless.

you drink that filth?

I’m pretty sure its just carbonated ethanol with artificial beer flavor

This is a false statement

Newcastle on tap is damn nice.
Still probably one of my favorites. Yeah, it’s not as complex as some of the great winter ales, but it’s so damn drinkable.

I always find it odd that the Granville Island Brewery

isn’t on Granville Island. Maybe it used to be – who knows?

I always found it odd that Granville Island isn't an island.
I found it surprising how painful the next day can be after playing all night on a poorly lit private ski slope.
It used to be an island.
How can something go from being an island, to not being an island?
By becoming connected to the mainland
I understand the concept, but this doesn't usually happen via natural processes.
Sandbar growth would do it
Is that what happened in this case?

I would think that’s a fairly rare occurence.

I looked it up, apparently they used landfill to connnect it to the mainland as an expansion project for industrial land.
But worse, it wasn't originally an island, either.

In 1886, the area was dredged and filled to create more land for industrial uses, and two sandbars were inadvertantly converted to an island. This was named “Industrial Island”. However, the island sat directly below the Granville Street Bridge, and the name Granville Island was more widely used and eventually stuck.

Then, there was a plan to fill the entire inlet to create yet more land, but most of the industries on Granville Island relied on the ready supply of water that came from being on and island, so they lobbied to have only the area just south of the island filled, and this converted the island into a peninsula.

So, it was a man-made island, and then made made it not an island anymore.

God Bless Man.

Where would Nature be without him?

That's nothing

Those whole man-made islands in Dubai … now that’s a definite sign of Man being a little to intelligent in the “how to do it” department….

Everything is crazy in Dubai

Too much money.

^Palm island under construction

HA HA!

...phallic.

So what's the outer ring?

A diaphragm?

If you're serious, it's a seawall to protect the inner (main) island.

They’re also working on a set of islands that will look like a map of the earth from above.

The amount of energy going into these products is stupid
There's 3 or 4 different sets of those man made

Palm, the world and a couple others I can’t recall right now…. I’ve seen the making of them on the discovery channel or one of those other learning type channels.

For the world islands they’re having problems finding enough under water sand.

I've seen the same shows.

It’s interesting how they dredge for the sand, but seems a little like they are raping the ocean floor.

yeah I thought the same thing

wonder what the ecological studies were on doing something like that… . oh wait they probably didn’t do any….. there are 3 palm islands and the world islands in Dubai….

PS.. anyone else having problems replying … everything I click reply it asks me if I want to join… when I ok it it says I’m already a member of LL… this just started happening.

I've been having that problem

for the last hour or so.

It's doing it to me too.
It did it for me once.

I just logged out and logged back in and haven’t had a problem since.

the ocean floor is asking for it

going around all tarted up like some hussy

you beat me to it asshole

but I’m still posting mine because I skipped over the “thewolfweb.com” image in my GIS.

Here in Mariner land, we like to go for the most blatantly available

rather than the one that makes the most sense or is of the highest quality.

hahaha

hilarious.

Sure it does.

The entire northwest from about Spokane west is made of Microcontinents, roughly the size of Vancouver Island. As the North-American plate travels west ward, it picks these islands up. Imagine Carlos Silva colliding with Willie, which would create a super greasy, gritty, ground-baller who could steal bases.

Adam Jones

At the risk of sounding like a bad Mariners fan, I’d really like to see Adam Jones do well in this series (and for the entire year).

I don’t feel like the M’s organization ever gave him a fair shake, and I’m excited for him to have the good career we are all expecting from him even if it’s not in a Mariners uniform.

I already hate Adam Jones
What happened to buying a Baltimore Jones jersey?
I saw him in a Baltimore Jones jersey
Clement will be glad to know he doesn't have to feel Jealous of Adam at all anymore.
he made sport centers top ten plays in a baltimore jersey

that kind of makes me not like him

Your mother would be ashamed of you.
Probably, but for reasons other than that.
"Why can't you be more like your brother, The Science Guy" - Jeff Nye's mom

Am I right?

My mom wants me to shave and get a haircut. And move to Sequim. She’s 0-fer.

who the hell wants to move to Sequim?
Old people, apparently.
The weather is mild and very dry for western Washington

and a small ski resort is very close by. I’d get bored of the area pretty quickly, but it has its attractions.

my father in-law wants to retire there
Stop touching yourself in her bedroom closet.
Question about beers

I recently started taking an interest in trying to find beer that I enjoy

(so far Guiness is meh, Sam Adams Spring Ale isn’t too bad)

I know there’s been tons of discussion on beer, but is there an easy way to find some of the threads on LL approved booze?

Is search still borked

borked?

gah hit post too soon!

What kinds of beer do you like now?

You can’t have had only two beers…. what’s your favorite right now?

I'm pretty certain

that I’ve only had 2 types of beer so far. I really haven’t done much drinking in my life.

Then you've come to the right place
Uh, OK.

You should probably just try some stuff and see what tastes good to you. But like Jeff says, you’ve come to the right place – go to the beer thread and just…I don’t know, go nuts (in a responsible fashion that does not involve drunk driving).

But do not begin with IPA's or anything rough

start with wheats or pale ales or something and work your way up. Otherwise you’ll just blast yourself right out of beerdom forever.

Well

If you’re looking for something you can probably find at your local grocery store, I’d recommend Rogue, Alaskan Amber, or HW Pyramid, and Fat Tire is okay.

Fat Tire is a good one for beginners. Although I wouldn't recommend having as many of them as I did this weekend.
Or you can start like I did on the smooth smooth taste of Henry's Private Reserve.

Can’t get enough of that wonderful Henry’s.

I forgot to say that it fills your Q Zone with pure beer goodness.
Henry's was the beginning of my beer snobbery.
You've come so far.
Actually, it was a Fat Tire weekend, so I've regressed a bit.
Never let your girlfriend by the beer for a trip to the mountains.
Fat Tire actually sounds like a good beer for that.

It’s pretty light, has a decent flavor, and can be consumed in great quantities. Though sounds like you might’ve had a bit much this last weekend.

I'm not sure if it was too many beers, too many high-speed crashes on the slopes, or a combination of the two.

But I feel like I was hit by a bus today.

I am quite a fan of Henry's PR
I still drink it on occasion.
For a fruity chick beer, their blackberry wheat was pretty good.
I haven't had that one.

I just know that the McMenamins’ Ruby Ale is fucking DISGUSTING.

Man, I haven't been there in a long time
Well, if you go in the future please, for the sake of your taste buds, don't drink the Ruby.

It’s fruity disgustingness.

some of us like fruity...
Have you had the Ruby?

I understand liking fruity beers. I’ve had some that aren’t too bad, but the Ruby is especially bad.

I wouldn't

I’d stick with the stout and their darker ale whose name I forgot. Hammerhead?

Yep.

Their stout (Terminator) is quite good, too.

yeah, those are the only two I've had

I think they came up in a thread here about a year ago which is when I first gave them a looksee and in that thread there was much lamenting about their ruby ale sucking ass.

Maybe it's just me, but I didn't care for Henry's PR.

I really didn’t like the aftertaste. I liked Henry’s Blonde Ale some and I liked their Belgian Style Wheat, but the PR turned me off of Henry’s for a good while.

I haven’t heard many good things about Blue Boar, but I’m anxiously awaiting to see some more of their Summer Wheat Ale as the weather warms up. I’ve been really meaning to try that.

I haven't seen Rogue

but I think I saw Alaskan and I know I saw plenty of HW Pyramid. I grabbed a chocolate stout by some company whose name I can’t recall, and I think after that I’ll try some Pyramid.

Alaskan is pretty prevalent.

The Amber is excellent. I’m working on a 24 of Summer that I got at Costco at a good price.

bookmark this link

http://beermapping.com/brewery-maps/

If that was a rickroll I was gonna be pissed.
I don't rick roll
Especially not when a beer link is involved.
especially. It's a pretty comprehensive list

I’m moving to San Fran so I have to figure out the better places to drink beer.

Ireland's 32

is a great bar. As is Murio’s Trophy Room, and the Owl Tree. But I have an affinity for dive-y bars, so if you want something more sophisticated, I can’t help you.

But Murio’s Trophy Room does have a whole bunch of Anton LaVey art on the walls, because he was a regular who paid his bar tab in art instead of money, so that’s something.

I don’t care about ambiance, just that they get good beer.

I’ll check them out when I get down there.

They do.

None of them brew their own but they all have good stuff on tap.

perfect
I just looked at Ireland's 32 web site I think I could almost walk there from where I'm going to live
I'm jealous that you're moving to San Francisco.

I love the Northwest, but there’s something about San Francisco that makes me fall in love with it every time I’m there.

Just watch out for hippies.
i went to western and lived in OLY

I think I’ve learned how to deal with them

argh I hate hippies more than Cartman
so i'm guessing you don't live moscow
Moscow is a fucking ghetto

Pullman is where it’s at

Pullman is ghetto too
It's fucking Fort Lauderdale compared to Moscow
i'll give you that
I have a good friend in Pullman

He has a Purple Heart.

I now this might sound silly

I love it there, but I’m pretty happy here in spo-town

Young's Double Chocolate Stout?
it's the only chocolate stout you'd ever need.

shit, craving.

I'm beginning to regret my insistence on always buying something new
this is why I buy two of everything

and keep a reserve stock of beers I know I enjoy. My wine rack has slowly become dominated by 750mL beer bottles. I think I have a Young’s still in stock.

...looks like Jeff may be headed back to the store...
Yes that was it

I take it this was $2 well spent?

Mother of God yes
Like drinking ice cream..

only at 6%

If ice cream were like 500 times more delicious
Right. If that.
Should be in the HOF threads.

Also, Mac and Jacks.

I love this

That may be my favorite IPA
I also enjoy Boundary Bay
Let me guess, you're a Banner Bank customer?
It's amazing how we're all connected to the same beer.
Ed was at a Boundary Bay event at a local bar

and all I could think about was that damned ad.
Hey, does that Dave Marshbank guy like, want to hang out now? Is he always begging for free beer?

i hate those Commercials
They did give Bucky his last baseball related paycheck.
Sam Admas had a recall

something about glass shards in their bottles.

I am the single most unlucky bastard here.

Underage and a chronic liver problem.

No beer for me. Ever.

:(

Ouch! That sucks. At least you can put all the money you save on beer to good use on baseball stuff.
Hellooooo Felix jersey.
straight to heroin for you, then
Well I suppose that works.

I’m a jazz saxophonist after all. I think it’s in the job requirements.

Quick question

Guessing this has been explained in the past, but the asterisk next to Adam Loewen – does that just mean you aren’t sure who is starting? Is their rotation really not set yet? Just curious, because I was hoping to see Brian Burres pitch (met him last year here through my girlfriend). I know he started earlier in the year, but I couldn’t tell you for sure if he’s still in the rotation. I know he bounced back and forth a bit last year.

* is LHP
oh.

thanks.

yeah, asterisk = left-handed; carot = switch
Heh...
“I’m just waiting to see how I get received,” said Sherrill. “Usually, they’re pretty good about it - unless you choose to leave them. They get on [Alex Rodriguez] pretty good. It’s going to be good to see the city, the stadium and everything.”
- From the Oriole’s web site…

Yeah, like people will boo someone they probably don’t even know was a Mariner. I know I’m completely biased, but I still say GS52 is one of the most underrated and under-appreciated players in the game. I’ll still never forget having to point GS52 and Putz out to the reporter when they were down here in Oly for the Caravan (and the reporter was assigned to cover the event).

But, yeah, thanks to GS52 (and elsid, of course), I’m taking Joey to the game tomorrow. I cannot wait to see the look on his face when I tell him to bend his freakin’ brim!

I don't know about you,

but I’m bringing batteries.

The last time I was at a Mariners game, the fans around me didn't even know who Sherrill was

when he came into the game.

But then, these fans were calling on Putz in the 7th, and thought he should be able to pitch 3 innings every game.

Exactly. This is precisely what I'm saying...

I’ll wear my 52 Sherrill M’s jersey with pride tomorrow.

Back when soldiers walked into battle, closers went three innings every game.

I’m sure that’s what they’re thinking of.

and throw 100 lbs balls
Is this another one of those Coach moments I missed?
I'm sure you were part of the community then

since it happened three weeks ago

It’s in the LL HOF – Soldiers have it easy now-a-days

I love the thread.

But HOF worthy? Debatable. I doubt anyone will remember this, save for the occasional meme.

I think the thread is HOF worthy also for the precedent of 1000 comment pregame threads

that involve at least one meltdown from Coach

But this is also why we should have voted on the Hall of Fame
Still not too late

not like it’s been sidebar’d

I say we go for a voting system

complete with secret ballots, articles on ESPN.com, and the blacklisting of articles suspected to have used PEDs

also this thread has been cited as an all time favorite by some
Ah that's how I missed it.

I was actually celebrating Felix Day at Safeco.

Coach Meltdown > Felix Day

or something like that…

Nothing > Felix day.
A night with Scarlett Johansson?
And that's all you get because

she doesn’t believe in monogamy.

And all of America’s men rejoice.

That's all I ask for.
100 pound balls?
It makes walking tough, but you look bad-ass.
But you'd be terribly vulnerable to COCKPUNCHER!

STEVEN SEAGAL

IS

COCKPUNCHER

That 100 lb. halberd thing really bothers me.

Throughout history, major conflicts have always been won by the side where the soldiers carried total gear (weapons and armour) weighing closer to 70 lb. While the sorts of medieval types who wielded halberds did carry way more than 70 lb. of gear (which is why the Mongols kicked their ass at the Battle of Wahlstatt), most of that was armour. While the halberd was too heavy to be much of a swinging weapon, it was used much like a long spear, and 100 lb. out at the end of a pole would be far too heavy for any human to wield effectively.

Yes, that's why it's funny
You know what else is funny?

Christopher Walken whenever he hosts SNL.

He should carry a halberd next time.
Maybe he should!

And he could poke sleeping people with it!

Are they trying to sneak into a castle hidden on a wagon?

This is so an in-game cinematic from Medieval II: Total War.

Don't you feel the least bit dirty about that?
A halberd would never weigh more than 30 lbs

20 is more like it at the most generally.

Adam and George - Expulsion from Eden

Not to nitpick but....

Jones is mirrored and in a Rainiers jersey. I like the idea though.

Yeah...

And that AJ picture looks familiar…

i'm planning on going myself tonight

I am gonna try and catch George when he’s in the bullpen and give him some applause/congrats. Hopefully he doesn’t get to appear in any save situations this series.

I bet the Mariners hitters

beat up Adam Loewen in game three.

Just like they *didn't* do in the last series?
They always do in MLB 2K8.

Loewen is so easy to hit in that I can’t believe it.

MLB 2K8 is also part of the worst video game "franchise" ever.
Because it doesnt come out on the Wii?

Just because your mom only wants you playing Wii Checkers, does not mean that all other games are worthless.

No. MLB 2K games suck.

MVP was good.

High Heat was the best.
I wanted to play that game. But sadly it didn't come out on

Xbox.

Regardless of how much I enjoy 08 the show

The peak of baseball games died with MVP 2005

At least you can get updates for it!
I'm playing on the PSP and for some reason I can't get WiFi to work on it...
I haven't gotten Wifi on the PSP version

of the Show to work this year. I think its fuxxed.

baseballmogulbaseballmogulbaseballmogulbaseballmogul
I'll wait until they give it away for free again

I almost flunked my last set of classes because I spent all my time leading the 1995 M’s to the glory they should have had.

This is the sole reason I won't get into Baseball Mogul.

I just know I’ll get too addicted to it and it’ll ruin my life.

yesyesyesyes
Although you're titled to your opinion, Christian.
Strike one.

entitled.

Your sense of what is good and what sucks, I feel really no one takes seriously.
Well, the 2K games ARE pretty shitty.
To clarify, EA fixed the flaws in Madden (most of them) despite getting exclusive liscence to the NFL

2K seemed to take having the only baseball game on the market for granted.

I'm still trying to get over the fact

that EA bought Bioware.

I’m calling it now. Mass Effect: The Street will be in stores Q1 2009.

Ice T and Shannon Sharpe as your soldiers.
That makes me die a little on the inside.
At least they have kept Tiger Woods Golf decent and havent came out with

Tiger Woods Golf: The Public Courses ‘08. Announcers Charles Barkeley and Stephen A. Smith.

Yes! So I can expect KOTOR III to be even better!
EA's been pretty frank about how badly they screwed up with Westwood

and Bullfrog (they still think Origin was sabotaged from within), so they might not screw up BioWare as much (or as quickly) as they have screwed up other developers in the past.

And either way, I like that Ray and Greg made a killing off the sale.

The new patch really made the offline modes a lot better and with the promise

of fixing the online aspect of the game, I won’t say its great. All the problems people have with 2k8, only advanced controls in ranked games, the lag, the speed of the pitches, the Network Difficultie problems have all been addressed by 2k sports, and have said they are working on patches.

Not like it matters though. 2 weeks from tomorrow is GTA 4.

2 weeks?

22 + 7 = 29… It ships on the 29th…

I could not be more excited for GTA IV.

btw, Christian, I finally stepped up to Xbox Live Gold, so when GTA IV comes out Scruffy, you and I need to do some multiplayer.

Wrong.

The worst franchise ever is clearly Duke Nukem. How long have we been waiting, 3D Realms?!?

HOW FUCKING LONG!?

All I have to say is the more video games you play that few girls you will sleep with.
Not if you count digitally animated girls.

I’m tempted to post a list of such games…

Release Date is the same day Goonies 2 comes out.
Goonies 2 the videogame?

Because that already came out.

The movie.
Well

they made Lost Boys 2, so maybe Corey will be ready to sign on for Goonies 2 next!

This is a movie that should never have a sequel. It was just something rumored

for a long time. The forums for that movie were one of the first sites I ever bookmarked when I first found the internets.

And Chinese Democracy will be the soundtrack to the game.
That album finally came out?
No. That's the joke.
I heard that it's finished

...which makes me sad: Guns & Roses is terrible, and this saga is hilarious.

I've heard that so often in the last 10 years

that I will believe it when I see it. But when I do see it? DR PEPPER BITCHES.

Oh, and Guns n Roses weren't terrible

when all they had was Appetite For Destruction. That was and is a phenomenal record. I fear that every song on Chinese Democracy will be November Rain mixed with, oh god, I don’t know what. But it’ll be epically bad, I’m sure.

I don't know, I liked Use Your Illusion I and II.

And November Rain was fantastic.

wrong

Guns & Roses is a terrible fucking band and Axl Rose is a horrible singer whenever he opens his mouth is sounds like someone is stepping on his balls.

I think some magazine has reviewed it.
argh

I bought tickets to see them in Sacramento LAST JANUARY and they cancelled to “finish up the album”

Lol at actually buying G & R tickets this century.
The question is, with Duke Nukem Forever

be worse than Daikatana?

That would be a pretty hard thing to accomplish.
I have a feeling it'll be like Turning Point: FoL

Overhyped and unfinished

No one's hyped DNF since 2002
I dunno

there was a new teaser a few months ago!

When it's about to come out, they'll hype it like crazy

Then it will end up being a piece of crap with 4 year old graphics or something.

Question

is there a key somewhere explaining the stats Jeff likes to use here. There are a lot of acronyms and I only know what some of them mean (and I could have those wrong). I’m thinking maybe a post somewhere not just saying what they are but why Jeff (or others) consider them to be better indicators of succes.

any links?

thanks

the references sidebar on the left

are where most if not all of the stats mentioned are housed, but if you have any specific questions, feel free to ask.

This comment gives me a good idea...
Snuffleupagus is the Babe Ruth of muppet like characters.
Huh?
Expect both of those to regress and Kenji to go back to being an mild asset with his bat

Mild asset? He might not equal Clement’s potential, but Kenji is one of the best hitting catchers in baseball. Can you explain this, Matthew?

He's not talking relative to position I don't think. A .750 OPS is a mild asset with the bat.

Regardless of whatever any other catcher does.

I was considering position

I was just considering 2008 going forward, rather than 2006 or 2007, when yes, Johjima was one of the better (best is pretty strong) hitting catchers in the majors, roughly 10th best in both ‘06 and ‘07.

was != is

I don’t expect him to match 2007 numbers.

He -was- one of the better hitting catchers

Now he is not. He has aged another year and that regression needs to be factored in.

Catchers do not tend to have long careers and it wouldn’t be unprecedented if he completely tanked this season…..even though I personally don’t think he’ll be as bad as he has been so far.

Keep in mind

Catchers seem to be the halfbacks of football. Their expected lifetime isn’t as long as most other positions, which is why you saw guys like Piazza moving to 1B or DH later in their careers.

Kenji may be getting to the point where the physical wear and tear of being a catcher for so many years is starting to take its toll when he’s at the plate.

halfbacks of baseball, dangit.

I’m going to sleep and try this again in the morning.

Where the obvious lesson to be learned is

that amount of hits taken and career length are inversely proportional (duh)

Beer threads make me sad.
Not as sad as they make me.

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