I’ve almost given up on this year. Not the TEAM mind you, but this year. The sooner I can accept the fact that we mortgaged the future for the present, and yet the present still sucks, the happier I will be.
Once I accept the fact I can just watch the games because I love baseball, and not worry so much about individual wins and the standings.
BTW, if I had booted a ball twice in softball like Lopez did on that play, I’d STILL be getting shit from my teammates. That was more than a tad frustrating.
Basically the kids don't want to play baseball, so they are trying to lose on purpose
but every other team they play also wants to lose so they can go home and play video games. They keep winning until they are at the finals and they finally lose to Denver. Its a good episode, especially since we can relate this to the Mariners right now.
Unless you consider 84 degrees, every day, all summer long to be hot, in which case anything south of the 45th parallel will be too hot. San Diego’s real problem is that it’s obscenely expensive. Stupid idyllic climate.
and I’ve got enough saved video clips of that swing to last me several years. I just hope he has the good grace to go when he needs to go and not hang on for way longer than he should.
It’s the death of a large part of my Mariner fandom from the 90’s.
EVERYONE’s Mariner fandom from the 90’s. Junior was our great hope, and I very literally grew up with him. I was four when he came up and six when I went to my first M’s game with him. My dad always used to tell me just to watch Griffey sometimes – not to even watch the game. He was that special of a player.
And I was there in ‘95 when he slid into home to send us to the ALCS. I remember not really knowing what was going on except that it was past my bedtime. It was probably three or four years before I realized how special that game really was. I have tons of ticket stubs littering my room, from Safeco, the Rose Bowl, Pauley, Qwest, Husky Stadium, you name it. I just wish I still had the stub from that game. One of the best days of my life, retroactively.
A huge part of me wants to see Junior hit a bomb off the Hit It Here Cafe wearing Mariners blue because it would bring back all those memories of 91-99 when he was the best player on the planet. Hell, why do you think that cafe is in right field, anyway? I’m grown enough now to know that he’s nothing more than a shell of the player we once saw, but I still want to see it anyway.
Bringing Griffey back has absolutely not baseball reasoning behind it. I know he’s a terrible defensive player (hell, he’s even starting to drop the ones he DOES get to, if last night is any evidence), and that he doesn’t hit well enough to be anything more than an ~average DH at age 38.
Maybe I’m being too sentimental, but I loved Griffey. He WAS the Mariners to me when I was little. If we’re not going to be good this year, I wouldn’t mind at all getting to see the Junior reunion tour. Even if he’s a disaster on the field, I’d still enjoy it. It would just be an everyday reminder of how awesome growing up right when the Mariners got good was.
I’d be happy to send em Johnson or Feierabend. I’d also like it if we re-worked his contract, but if they spend the $16M and they weren’t gonna spend it on the roster otherwise, hell it’s not my money.
Griffey’s OPS peak is comparable to Willie Mays, like I said. This is close to a Williams-DiMaggio discussion (except with Ted WIlliams being able to field and run, but still playing LF).
My uncle did some stats research for a baseball org, possibly SABR. He found that in all sports, the 56 game hitting streak is the only time in any sport that a player was actually “Hot” and not just meeting his own probability. I hope I’m explaining that right, I hadn’t spoken with him about it for like 5 years.
When people say hitter, they tend to mean batting average.
He is often compared to Tony Gwynn and players like that. If the MSM believed he was one of the greatest offensive forces ever the debate would be between him and Ruth.
Bonds was already close to the best hitter of all-time before Roids. I don’t know, I’m not sure I believe Steroids can add 35 HR to your bat in one year. I don’t know.
and that those PEDs didn’t turn him into superman.
I can’t remember where I read it, but there was an article that played out the odds of a 37 year old man legitimately hitting 73 homers—and those odds were worse than having a LD% of .008
So OPS+ is adjusted perfectly for Safeco screwing righties and being OK for lefties? I thought it was a bit broad-brush for that.
Basically, I’m saying that Aaron figured out how to work his park to his advantage in his mid-late 30’s, and he couldn’t do that in his 20’s because County Stadium didn’t offer an advantage, and that if you put 25 year old Hank Aaron in the same park playing home games as 35 year old Hank Aaron for a couple of years, I think 25 year old Hank Aaron wins, and the road splits seem to bear that out.
Bill Dickey is another guy who started showing extreme home/road splits later in his career, FWIW… and it looks like he also got a boost from the park.
Every time he’d do something amazing, I’d think “he’s (insert age at time of awesome thing), I’m (same age), and I work in a financial services company. What the hell did I do wrong?
All I want out of a Junior return is the Crash Davis “one more day in the sun”. Especially if this season keeps up the way it’s going – I will unashamedly give in to unabashed sentimentality for the rest of the summer if the M’s still blow and Griffey’s in town.
Also Tim Lincecum was a senior in high school when I was a freshman, and I was friends with seniors when I was a freshman. Also, he went to the rival high school, Liberty.
a league average DH as long as we don’t give up too much for him. Add Griffey, subtract Vidro, that’s got to be worth a couple of wins, even if Griffey does suck in the outfield.
I'd like to call a moratorium on "he's going to cost too much"
because I think the Junior supporters KNOW that he’ll cost too much, which is why we always add “as long as we don’t ridiculously overpay for him” to the “bring back Junior” comments
We are the worst!
We are the worst! We are the worst!
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
Woooooooo!
High Five!
Goose - May 13, 2008
High five???
LOW FIVE!
WOOT!
Wilder. - May 13, 2008
Wait, you missed! TRY AGAIN FIVE!
pdb - May 13, 2008
TOO SLOW!
Wilder. - May 13, 2008
Eyebrows - May 13, 2008
Well played, sir.
BrianL - May 13, 2008
High-fiving white guys.
kentroyals5 - May 13, 2008
Bill Nye before he was the science guy...
I remember the old days of “Almost Live”
Fin - May 13, 2008
I've got those old episodes.
My dad taped em years ago. Great stuff.
BrianL - May 13, 2008
And for those that don't...
King 5 still has the page they put up to promote the reunion show a few years ago. It has a few clips on there.
The Lame List was the greatest.
But of the sketches on that page, the Green River Dance is the best.
PositivePaul - May 14, 2008
Wonderful.
I’ve almost given up on this year. Not the TEAM mind you, but this year. The sooner I can accept the fact that we mortgaged the future for the present, and yet the present still sucks, the happier I will be.
Once I accept the fact I can just watch the games because I love baseball, and not worry so much about individual wins and the standings.
BTW, if I had booted a ball twice in softball like Lopez did on that play, I’d STILL be getting shit from my teammates. That was more than a tad frustrating.
Thingray - May 13, 2008
Uh... I gave up on this year over 10 days ago.
Get with the times.
CapSea - May 13, 2008
I was busy this weekend.
Missing out on watching a few games took a toll on my pessimism.
Thingray - May 13, 2008
We now indeed.
CapSea - May 13, 2008
Hey Giants, you guys are a bunch of winners!
We’re going down!

Fin - May 13, 2008
I didn't see this one.
CapSea - May 13, 2008
I THOUGHT THIS WAS AMERICA!!
Thingray - May 13, 2008
Fin - May 13, 2008
That's the one!!
Thingray - May 13, 2008
Basically the kids don't want to play baseball, so they are trying to lose on purpose
but every other team they play also wants to lose so they can go home and play video games. They keep winning until they are at the finals and they finally lose to Denver. Its a good episode, especially since we can relate this to the Mariners right now.
Fin - May 13, 2008
I'm so excited to play the Padres
For the outside chance that the game will go 45 innings
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
I'm excited to play the Padres
This could really be a pivotal series.
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
Strasburg is rooting for us to win
So he can stay in sunny SD with Jeff.
Sec 108 - May 13, 2008
I will kidnap that motherfucker if I have to
Jeff Sullivan - May 13, 2008
I still think he's pitching today
and I just realized that SDSU isn’t in Chula Vista. I thought it was a hell of a lot farther away than it actually is.
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
I would move to San Diego just to watch a rotation with him and Peavy in it
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
Chris Young also doesn't suck.
JI - May 13, 2008
Every time I go down there to visit one of my best friends
My wife asks why we don’t consider living there. She hates it when I always answer that Safeco Field is the only place I have front row seats.
Sec 108 - May 13, 2008
Cause the weather sucks.
Hot = bad.
Llewdor - May 13, 2008
A/C = wonderful invention
Thingray - May 13, 2008
San Diego is not hot
Unless you consider 84 degrees, every day, all summer long to be hot, in which case anything south of the 45th parallel will be too hot. San Diego’s real problem is that it’s obscenely expensive. Stupid idyllic climate.
pdb - May 13, 2008
It's been SCORCHING this spring :(
like LA in August hot
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
That's crazy
but then again, it’s supposed to hit 90 in Portland on Friday and Saturday, so I guess crazy is relative.
pdb - May 13, 2008
90's in Seattle this weekend as well.
Thingray - May 13, 2008
BULLSHIT
I gotta check the forecast.
Eyebrows - May 13, 2008
ok 83
still pretty warm, but not 90s
Eyebrows - May 13, 2008
I was pretty surprised too
it takes a pretty severe heat wave to get Seattle into the 90’s this time of year. 83’s about perfect.
pdb - May 13, 2008
I was just going by what they said on the news this morning.
I’d be surprised if it actually got that high though.
Thingray - May 13, 2008
I do.
Llewdor - May 13, 2008
It's gonna be the World Series of Suck.
Goose - May 13, 2008
And my boss gave me tickets to the Friday game already!
Between home and first, 20 rows back! Plus I’m taking a hot girl. This is going to be awesome
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
(Crap, I meant for the June series)
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
NIce
Fin - May 13, 2008
I'm so glad I didn't spend a bunch of money to drive over there and see Edmonds play.
JI - May 13, 2008
This team needs more Bocock.
JI - May 13, 2008
This team needs Mocock?
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
Who doesn't want Mocock?
JI - May 13, 2008
Fresno
Jeff Sullivan - May 13, 2008
They have bad taste.
JI - May 13, 2008
(insert dead meme here)
Thingray - May 13, 2008
That's what she said?
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
That'll work.
Thingray - May 13, 2008
isn't insulting Fresno kinda redundant?
pdb - May 13, 2008
I have family in Fresno.
I hate that place with a fiery passion.
BrianL - May 13, 2008
Sounds like they could use more Bocock in their lives
Jeff Sullivan - May 13, 2008
Or less Fresno.
pdb - May 13, 2008
I am petitioning to shorten "more Bocock" to simply "Mocock" or "Mo'cock"
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
I didn't want to risk Mocock overexposure
You have to be careful with funny.
Jeff Sullivan - May 13, 2008
I'm glad that sentence ended with the word "funny"
pdb - May 13, 2008
Cameron > Cuddy.
Phil Hatzenbuehler - May 13, 2008
You are correct.
BrianL - May 13, 2008
JI - May 13, 2008
I chuckled.
Well played.
andrewgolfsalot - May 13, 2008
We will keep saying this until you get it right.
BrianL - May 13, 2008
13>CTB>Cameron>Cuddy
AZSEAfan - May 13, 2008
No.
Cameron > 13 > CTB > Cuddy
BrianL - May 13, 2008
Bea Arthur > Rue McClanahan > Betty White
oh, wait, I thought we were talking about the Golden Girls.
pdb - May 13, 2008
::Vomit::
BrianL - May 13, 2008
I just got tired of seeing the exact same House discussion from yesterday
pdb - May 13, 2008
Let's talk about WNBA players then
I think that one 7 foot Russian chick is hot
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
If you're tired of seeing it
Tell JI to get it right.
BrianL - May 13, 2008
I'm gonna pretend you're talking about baseball
so this is what I think you’re saying:
> 
Eyebrows - May 13, 2008
Mike Cameron and Michael Cuddyer?
BrianL - May 13, 2008
You know what would improve our defense? A Gold Glove CF.
BRING BACK GRIFFEY!!
!1111
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
I thank you for giving me the chance to post this again.
BrianL - May 13, 2008
I can't see it but I'm going to assume it's the worst player in baseball picture
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
Ayup.
BrianL - May 13, 2008
I still think he can't possibly be worse than Mike Morse
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
I know it's the truth
but that picture still makes me sad.
pdb - May 13, 2008
And why is that?
BrianL - May 13, 2008
Because I don't want KGJ to be the worst player in baseball
even though empirically I know he is. It’s the death of a large part of my Mariner fandom from the 90’s.
pdb - May 13, 2008
It is pretty depressing to see what has become of him.
BrianL - May 13, 2008
Nothing will ever take away from how awesome he used to be
Jeff Sullivan - May 13, 2008
This is true
and I’ve got enough saved video clips of that swing to last me several years. I just hope he has the good grace to go when he needs to go and not hang on for way longer than he should.
pdb - May 13, 2008
You could probably make the argument that he's already hung on too long
in light of all the injuries he’s had
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
Yeah, he probably has.
pdb - May 13, 2008
Everybody hangs on way longer than they should
I don’t think anyone deals with the realization that they’re old and bad very well.
Jeff Sullivan - May 13, 2008
Barry Bonds isn't playing
he could still play.
JI - May 13, 2008
Griffey was that team for me when I was little.
EVERYONE’s Mariner fandom from the 90’s. Junior was our great hope, and I very literally grew up with him. I was four when he came up and six when I went to my first M’s game with him. My dad always used to tell me just to watch Griffey sometimes – not to even watch the game. He was that special of a player.
And I was there in ‘95 when he slid into home to send us to the ALCS. I remember not really knowing what was going on except that it was past my bedtime. It was probably three or four years before I realized how special that game really was. I have tons of ticket stubs littering my room, from Safeco, the Rose Bowl, Pauley, Qwest, Husky Stadium, you name it. I just wish I still had the stub from that game. One of the best days of my life, retroactively.
A huge part of me wants to see Junior hit a bomb off the Hit It Here Cafe wearing Mariners blue because it would bring back all those memories of 91-99 when he was the best player on the planet. Hell, why do you think that cafe is in right field, anyway? I’m grown enough now to know that he’s nothing more than a shell of the player we once saw, but I still want to see it anyway.
Bringing Griffey back has absolutely not baseball reasoning behind it. I know he’s a terrible defensive player (hell, he’s even starting to drop the ones he DOES get to, if last night is any evidence), and that he doesn’t hit well enough to be anything more than an ~average DH at age 38.
Maybe I’m being too sentimental, but I loved Griffey. He WAS the Mariners to me when I was little. If we’re not going to be good this year, I wouldn’t mind at all getting to see the Junior reunion tour. Even if he’s a disaster on the field, I’d still enjoy it. It would just be an everyday reminder of how awesome growing up right when the Mariners got good was.
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
Me too.
Insert sarcastic “surprised face” here.
CapSea - May 13, 2008
Sorry, that comment was super emo
I just really liked Griffey and would love to see him finish his career here.
Providing we don’t break the bank and praying he’s not too much of a trainwreck.
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
I was agreeing with you.
CapSea - May 13, 2008
"those memories of 91-99 when he was the best player on the planet."
Except for Barry Bonds
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
That would be a much awesomer farewell tour
Jeff Sullivan - May 13, 2008
Less Bonds, more tanking, dammit
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
needs less good
Jeff Sullivan - May 13, 2008
That's good.
Or wait, that’s bad?
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
Depends if it contains sodium benzoate.
Jed MC - May 13, 2008
So more Griffey --> more tanking --> more Strasburg
right?
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
Yep
I fully endorse a Griffey trade as long as Clement/Wlad/Aumont/Ramirez/Triunfel do not leave us.
Clement especially.
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
Hence why I keep repeating
I’d be happy to send em Johnson or Feierabend. I’d also like it if we re-worked his contract, but if they spend the $16M and they weren’t gonna spend it on the roster otherwise, hell it’s not my money.
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
And are we at the point where we're mortally terrified
of Bavasi actually sending them Clement?
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
Well, if it happens I will be shocked
I’m definitely afraid of it happening, but it’s irrational.
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
Common mistake made by people up here.
I think BWAA made that mistake too.
Sec 108 - May 13, 2008
Even if Barry Bonds WAS the best player on the planet
I have decided that he is an asshole and jerk so that in my Seattle-centric world, Junior can still be the best :(.
But Junior was really, really, really damn good, even if Bonds was better.
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
True enough
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
Also, we need to consider the "no chemical additives" + CF/LF factor
Barry’s peak as a player comes after he starts visiting Balco for cream and clear.
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
I'm only talking 1991-1999
Bonds is quite clearly the better player.
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
I'm with Graham on this
I wish people would stop thinking Barry got good all of a sudden in 2000.
Sec 108 - May 13, 2008
He just became God-like all of a sudden right about then
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
He went from the best player of his generation
To the best player of all time.
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
You know, I never realized he's only hit fifty homers once
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
Not enough at bats.
Phil Hatzenbuehler - May 13, 2008
Holy crap
2004 – 232 BB, 120 IBB, .609 OBP
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
45 homers in 373 at bats.
Phil Hatzenbuehler - May 13, 2008
I still don't believe that number is real.
JI - May 13, 2008
263 OPS+
and that isn’t even the highest of his career
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
22.23 RC/27
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
I know
2002 is a tick better.
JI - May 13, 2008
buh?
JI - May 13, 2008
He's fifty points clear of the third best mark of ALL-TIME for OBP in 2004
(he owns the second best season)
I will also argue that had it not been for WWII, Ted Williams may very well have eclipsed the .600 OBP mark at some point
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
Yup.
Although to be fair, it’s hard to do that when you get IBBed 120 times.
JI - May 13, 2008
He did post OPS+s of 200
in 1992-93
JI - May 13, 2008
165-170 OPS+ in CF isn't exactly jaking it.
Barry’s godfather’s peak in OPS is around 180, and he was more in the 165-175 range, like Griffey was at his peak.
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
Griffey's highest OPS+ was 171
Barry Bonds beat that 5 times between 91 and 99
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
Right, playing LF.
Position being played does make a difference when evaluating offensive contribution.
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
Legitimate question:
Could Bonds have been a plus defensive centerfielder?
JI - May 13, 2008
With his tools, why the hell not
I’d say in his prime he could have easily been average to plus
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
was Griffey even?
some stats don’t think he was.
Matthew - May 13, 2008
No he was not
Sec 108 - May 13, 2008
I would say he was plus on sheer athleticism
until he started to slow down in the late 90s. Of course I can’t really back that up…
JI - May 13, 2008
It's more or less cancelled out by baserunning
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
I dunno, man
Griffey’s OPS peak is comparable to Willie Mays, like I said. This is close to a Williams-DiMaggio discussion (except with Ted WIlliams being able to field and run, but still playing LF).
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
No, it isn't
But then I am not in the mood to talk about Jr’s defensive deficiencies today.
Sec 108 - May 13, 2008
I just don't see it
Bonds absolutely kills him on OBP. His worst season over than stretch would rank as Griffey’s 4th best.
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
Williams was a better hitter than DiMaggio, which was my point.
And by “better” I mean “arguably the best hitter who never used cream and clear”.
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
...plus all the steals
JI - May 13, 2008
exactly
since people thinking DiMaggio was better are also clearly wrong.
Matthew - May 13, 2008
People actually think that?
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
morons?
Matthew - May 13, 2008
Check the 1941 MVP voting.
JI - May 13, 2008
Well, isn't the story that it was a close race
and that some sportswriter who hated Williams didn’t even put him on his ballot?
I think Williams’ personality killed him in those kinds of votes
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
wow, that's not analgous to today's world at all
Matthew - May 13, 2008
Everyone who voted for that is dead so I don't expect them to be enlightened
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
People in NY do
Sec 108 - May 13, 2008
Is DiMaggio's 56 game hit streak the most unbreakable record in baseball?
or is it Bond’s .609 OBP
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
you know what's a dumb debate?
most unbreakable record debates.
(not picking on you, your question is actually fine, it just sparked a memory)
Matthew - May 13, 2008
Cy Youngs 511 wins!
Fernando Tatis’ 2 GS in one inning!
JI - May 13, 2008
Fun fact:
My uncle did some stats research for a baseball org, possibly SABR. He found that in all sports, the 56 game hitting streak is the only time in any sport that a player was actually “Hot” and not just meeting his own probability. I hope I’m explaining that right, I hadn’t spoken with him about it for like 5 years.
CapSea - May 14, 2008
Williams is one of the most underrated players ever.
JI - May 13, 2008
That's incredible, given just how highly rated he is, BTW
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
This word, "underrated"?
I don’t think it means what you think it means.
pdb - May 13, 2008
People tend to undervalue how great his hitting was
because he missed 5 prime years and much of his value was tied up in OBP.
JI - May 13, 2008
I think people undervalue those missed years
age 24, 25 and 26 seasons. Absolute giant years for an established hitter.
Matthew - May 13, 2008
Which people?
I’m not trying to pick a fight, but Ted Williams is pretty much universally regarded as one of the, if not the, best hitters of all time.
pdb - May 13, 2008
When people say hitter, they tend to mean batting average.
He is often compared to Tony Gwynn and players like that. If the MSM believed he was one of the greatest offensive forces ever the debate would be between him and Ruth.
JI - May 13, 2008
Yup
Also, the best regular season record from 1946-1950, the years we hear OMG TEH YANKEES AND DODGERS?
The Boston Red Sox. Led by… Ted WIlliams.
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
Underrated in that he
Was an amazing hitter, fighter pilot, Marlin fisherman and frozen head.
Sec 108 - May 13, 2008
His latest years as a frozen head have been disappointing
but I tend to blame that on the leaking freon.
pdb - May 13, 2008
Williams' head needs more Futurama.
Jed MC - May 13, 2008
He would rule at Blurmball
Sec 108 - May 13, 2008
easily the third best hitter in baseball history
Matthew - May 13, 2008
I think there's an arguement to be made
that he was a better hitter than Ruth.
JI - May 13, 2008
I hate Babe Ruth's fucking comic book swing
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
at least he relaized that small ball was for retards
for that we can be forever greatful
JI - May 13, 2008
I agree, there's an argument to be made.
I don’t believe it though.
Bonds – Ruth – Williams
Matthew - May 13, 2008
I think Bonds' peak was far and away the best
but Williams was a lock for a ~.490 OBP well into his late 30s.
JI - May 13, 2008
Second best if you don't count cream or clear
I’d say Williams at peak > Bonds. As a hitter.
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
Ignoring the PEDs
I’d disagree.
JI - May 13, 2008
we get it
Matthew - May 13, 2008
That being said, Bonds should win out on baserunning/fielding
and there’s pretty much a tie on “dickhead” factor.
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
Was Williams an ass to non-media people?
Jed MC - May 13, 2008
Um, yup.
There’s the spitting incident. OTOH, he was a big guy for the Jimmy Fund. He was just kind of a jerk.
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
But do we really know how much roids helped him?
Bonds was already close to the best hitter of all-time before Roids. I don’t know, I’m not sure I believe Steroids can add 35 HR to your bat in one year. I don’t know.
BrettJMiller - May 13, 2008
I don't think Bonds was close to the best hitter of all time before the PEDs
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
he wasn't
Matthew - May 13, 2008
I think the roids made a pretty fucking huge difference.
JI - May 13, 2008
Go find me other players who hit career peaks at age 36.
Even guys like Edgar Martinez, Patron Saint of the Late Career Peak, peaked at 32.
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
Ted Williams
.388/.526/.731 aged 38.
JI - May 13, 2008
Hank Aaron
.327/.410/.669 aged 37
.301/.402/.643 aged 40
Williams:
.316/.451/.645 age 40
JI - May 13, 2008
Nope, not his peak.
1941: 235 OPS+ in 143 games
1957: 233 OPS+ in 132 games
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
Just as good as his peak.
JI - May 13, 2008
and the '57 season was the one I referenced.
Which you could argue was more impressive considering there was a much wider talent pool than there was in 1941.
JI - May 13, 2008
it is more impressive
adjusted lines:
41 – .390/.537/.705
57 – .392/.529/.741
Matthew - May 13, 2008
games played makes a difference
Also, check out the year before/year after for both years.
There’s no way you can say Williams in late 30’s = Williams in 20’s.
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
No I agree Bonds is unique in that aspect
but some of the greatest layers ever were fairly consistent into their late 30s/early40s.
JI - May 13, 2008
Right, but consistent =! career peak
Esepcially when it’s going from 180-200 OPS+ to 220-250 in your late 30s.
THAT is why he’s not the best without PEDs.
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
I don't think anyone sane will disagree with you
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
Nobody is arguing that Bonds didn't take PEDs
and that those PEDs didn’t turn him into superman.
I can’t remember where I read it, but there was an article that played out the odds of a 37 year old man legitimately hitting 73 homers—and those odds were worse than having a LD% of .008
JI - May 13, 2008
Hank Aaron?
best OPS+ years were in his mid/late 30s
Matthew - May 13, 2008
beat me to it
JI - May 13, 2008
Check his home/road splits in Atlanta for HRs
Basically, Hank Aaron went from a crappy HR park in Milwaukee to a good home run park in Atlanta.
If you look at his ROAD career, he peaks around the same time as everyone else… but his HOME career peaks late.
I say “park effects”.
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
which OPS+ adjusts for
Matthew - May 13, 2008
Does it?
So OPS+ is adjusted perfectly for Safeco screwing righties and being OK for lefties? I thought it was a bit broad-brush for that.
Basically, I’m saying that Aaron figured out how to work his park to his advantage in his mid-late 30’s, and he couldn’t do that in his 20’s because County Stadium didn’t offer an advantage, and that if you put 25 year old Hank Aaron in the same park playing home games as 35 year old Hank Aaron for a couple of years, I think 25 year old Hank Aaron wins, and the road splits seem to bear that out.
Bill Dickey is another guy who started showing extreme home/road splits later in his career, FWIW… and it looks like he also got a boost from the park.
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
Behind Lopez?
Last Fan Of Jose Lopez - May 13, 2008
Exactly
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
Lou Gehrig seems surprisingly underrated as well.
CapSea - May 14, 2008
I'm six months older than Junior
Every time he’d do something amazing, I’d think “he’s (insert age at time of awesome thing), I’m (same age), and I work in a financial services company. What the hell did I do wrong?
All I want out of a Junior return is the Crash Davis “one more day in the sun”. Especially if this season keeps up the way it’s going – I will unashamedly give in to unabashed sentimentality for the rest of the summer if the M’s still blow and Griffey’s in town.
pdb - May 13, 2008
Right now, I'm the same way with Felix
right down to being about six months older than he is.
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
You know what f'ing sucks?
Being a few days older than Player A.
PositivePaul - May 13, 2008
Griffey's older than Player A
so it can’t suck that bad…
pdb - May 13, 2008
My brother is a day younger than Sidney Crosby
And he’s finishing his sophomore year in college. Feels kind of weird.
Fin - May 13, 2008
Carlos Triunfel would be graduating high school next month
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
I'm depressed now
Most of the kids playing AAA ball nowadays were born in or around the year I graduated high school.
pdb - May 13, 2008
I'm feeling old over Strasburg :P
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
I remember when 8th greaders seemed like adults.
JI - May 13, 2008
Those were the days
And when you would dress in your little league uniform and dream of playing in the big leagues one day.
Fin - May 13, 2008
I remember the first time I figured out how old I'd be in 2000
and my little 11 year old brain couldn’t fathom being 31.
pdb - May 13, 2008
I used to play that game
Sec 108 - May 13, 2008
I still do this.
...
...
what?
Matthew - May 13, 2008
Strasburg would be my peer
Also Tim Lincecum was a senior in high school when I was a freshman, and I was friends with seniors when I was a freshman. Also, he went to the rival high school, Liberty.
Fin - May 13, 2008
That's getting very close for me as well.
:(
Thingray - May 13, 2008
when did KGJ start? and why?
Junior, Griffey or Jr are better.
Matthew - May 13, 2008
I would be okay with GKGJ, perhaps
but I usually use Junior.
And in answer to the actual question, I have no idea.
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
It keeps making me think we are talking about Kevin Garnett
Sec 108 - May 13, 2008
I keep reading it as KGB
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
He plays for Green Bay, not Cincy
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
He would also be useful
Next time Kason Gabbard throws “at” Richie, KGB can sack the pitcher
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
Kevin Garnett would be an awesome addition to this team
if Richie is a good 1B because he’s tall, imagine KG over there…
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
It started for me because I'm lazy
and KGJ is less characters than Junior. But I do actually prefer Junior.
pdb - May 13, 2008
Me as well
and yet I still want him on this team
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
DO IT NOW!
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
Why not?
We’ve got nothing to lose except more games and more money and more talent.
ralphie81 - May 13, 2008
I'm okay with
a league average DH as long as we don’t give up too much for him. Add Griffey, subtract Vidro, that’s got to be worth a couple of wins, even if Griffey does suck in the outfield.
wysiwyg - May 13, 2008
Wrong
You’re gonna pay out the ass for him. Why keep mortgaging the future
Brian Floyd - May 13, 2008
If it only costs Johnson or a throw-away minor league arm
and next year’s option isn’t picked up, it’s an OK trade.
BrianL - May 13, 2008
Honestly, I would even be OK with Feierabend at this point, I think
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
I'd like to call a moratorium on "he's going to cost too much"
because I think the Junior supporters KNOW that he’ll cost too much, which is why we always add “as long as we don’t ridiculously overpay for him” to the “bring back Junior” comments
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
Anything >0 is "too much"
and you’re right, it doesn’t freaking matter.
pdb - May 13, 2008
Vidro isn't the DH anymore
Jeff Sullivan - May 13, 2008
Yeah. he's the 1B now.
That is, until he eats 1B.
:(
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
That's good.
JI - May 13, 2008
But he gets to field now, too
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
That's bad.
BrianL - May 13, 2008
Is his fielding cursed?
JI - May 13, 2008
If cursed means "so bad I wish Richie was in there,"
then yes
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
well, it does come with frogurt.
pdb - May 13, 2008
That's bad.
Unless Vidro eats the frogurt, in which case, it’s good.
eponymous_coward - May 13, 2008
I think it's implied that Vidro eats everything
I just hope he doesn’t eat Wlad
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
That comment would be funnier if this was a team full of lesbians.
JI - May 13, 2008
Who says it isn't?
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
Let's be honest, Jose Vidro hasn't eaten a frogurt in his life.
JI - May 13, 2008
How good is Vidro's 1B defense?
redwolf75 - May 13, 2008
He ate the base so nobody can find it
pdb - May 13, 2008
So is everyone out or safe then?
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
Nobody's safe from that gullet
pdb - May 13, 2008
Random bit of information:
Jason Giambi has a BABIP of .128
JI - May 13, 2008
That's pretty ridiculously unlucky
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
Jesus Christ
That’s got to be historically unlucky.
BrianL - May 13, 2008
Yeah, but his LD% is .008.
So, yeah, he’s pretty much right in line.
Phil Hatzenbuehler - May 13, 2008
(this was a joke by the way)
(albeit a bad one)
(and after this, I’ll be done talking in parenthetically)
Phil Hatzenbuehler - May 13, 2008
Dammit. "talking parenthetically"...not "in parenthetically".
Phil Hatzenbuehler - May 13, 2008
I was wondering about that...
You’d need 12500 at-bats to have a hope of a 0.008 LD%
Graham MacAree - May 13, 2008
What's the conversion to expected BABIP?
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
LD avg + .12
So say a player has a 25% LD rate. His expected BABIP is .370.
Phil Hatzenbuehler - May 13, 2008
Gotcha - thanks
seattlebruin - May 13, 2008
Plus or minus a certain amount based on the player's speed
Jeff Sullivan - May 13, 2008
Right.
The .120 is a pretty general number.
Phil Hatzenbuehler - May 13, 2008
Bavasi is alarmed at the team's performance.
Heh.
ThundaPC - May 13, 2008
You must Login with your SB Nation account and be a member of Lookout Landing to post a comment.