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Lookout Landing

Series Preview: Boston Red Sox @ Seattle Mariners

Seattle: 18-33
Red Sox: 31-22

GAMES

Game 1: Felix Hernandez vs Bartolo Colon
Game 2: Miguel Batista vs Daisuke Matsuzaka
Game 3: Erik Bedard* vs Tim Wakefield

Alright, fellas, ready for dress rehearsal? Yuni, stop eating back there! We don't have much time to go over this so let's get it right this time okay? First up is Bartolo Colon. Now, what's our game plan against him? Now, he throws a fastball about 80% of the time; Felix take note of that, Colon has a Cy Young Award, he knows how to pitch. No, not like you Jarrod, Colon's fastball can actually break a window. I understand he's been injured off and on for the past three years and only has five innings pitched this year so remember to be aggressive.

Okay, next up we have Matsuzaka. Now, he's been throwing a lot of pitches lately and he's been walking many people so obviously he's going to try and throw strikes this time. So remember to be really aggressive.

We get to finish up against the knuckleballer Wakefield. His walks are up too so what should we do? Exactly Kenji! He'll be abandoning his knuckleball and throwing much more fastballs. I knew your catching insights would come in handy Joh. Now Timmy's fastball isn't that good so lets remember to be really super incredibly ultra aggressive.

Star-divide

Likely Starters:
C Jason Varitek
1 Kevin Youkilis
2 Dustin Pedroia
3 Mike Lowell
S Julio Lugo
L Manny Ramirez
C Jacoby Ellsbury
R J.D. Drew
D David Ortiz

Last year the Red Sox succeeded mostly on the strength of their run prevention with a team ERA+ of 123 against "only" a team OPS+ of 107. This year has seen a swapping of roles with the offense running up a team OPS+ of 117 against a team ERA+ of "just" 104.

Up and down the entire lineup, here's a completely list of Boston hitters with at least 20 at bats who have an OPS+ below 100 (total sample = 15 hitters): 2B Dustin Pedroia (96 OPS+), SS Julio Lugo (92 OPS+). That's good. Mariner hitters with OPS+ above 100 under the same cutoff: Adrian Beltre, Raul Ibanez, Ichiro Suzuki. That's bad.

CONTEXT

Bad news: Richie Sexson over the last 43 plate appearences has struck out 18 times and walked twice.
Good news: Adrian Beltre has 22 walks to 32 strikeouts this season. He's on pace to draw the most walks in any season of his career paired with the fewest strikeouts of any season of his Seattle career.
Worse news: If it weren't for Ichiro Suzuki's proficiency at stealing bases, the Mariners would be below average at every offensive category.

THIS SERIES BROUGHT TO YOU BY:

Blootvoeste Bruin
Walking Man Brewing. Stevenson, WA

This is the Walking Man Barefoot Brown ale that's been soured with kombucha culture. It pours a dark brown with a nice head to it. The aroma betrays its origins as you can detect the sourness but underneath that is the definite qualities of a brown ale with some oat coming through. Upon tasting the oat becomes even more noticeable and the sourness degrades into a green apple-like pucker. Some vanilla and cinnamon balance it out. The palate is full. I really enjoyed this beer and it's a great one to sit and mingle over as it improves as it warms.

0 recs  |  89 comments

Comments

We are so about to get our asses handed to us
At least JoLo has an OPS+ of 98 and Wlad has an OPS+ of 95,

so they’re both threats to go over 100

I can't believe there was a point in time where I was rooting for the Red Sox to succeed.

I hate 2/5ths of the AL East with a fiery passion now.

I think you speak for all of us

I seriously regret being thrilled and excited when they won the world series in 2004.

You do not speak for me

fuck Boston in 2004

I was rooting for them until the WS

):<

I only started to root for them after they lost game 3, just for the sake of seeing something historical.
As much as I hate the Red Sox now

it was pretty nice to see the Yankees blow the ALCS in that fashion.

Yeah, fuck Baltimore too
I can never hate them as much as I hate the Yankees

or, it would take decades of hate to bring them on a level field of hate.

That was meant to be a reply

I are smart

I'm not sure how much of my hate is because of Boston the franchise

or because of Red Sox Nation.

Yeah, red sox nation is reaching new levels of obnoxious
I think when looking at in from a business standpoint

It’s done very well for itself, such as McDonald’s. Probably very profitable, considering they sell out any game they go to, and they probably sell millions of those preppy casual red sox hats. (I happen to own a M’s one and I like it, but god damn not a day goes by I don’t see one of those wretched hats with the B in front). I am sure Howie and Chuck would cream their pants to have a team as profitable and popular as the Red Sox.

But from a baseball fan standpoint, its very annoying. People who never even been to Boston cheer for the Red Sox. It’s like they are too pussy to cheer for a team that doesn’t win every season. Its sickening.

Yeah, tons of guys I knew in college would rep the 'Sox and had never even been to a Red Sox game, let alone Boston itself.

My gf is from Boston and loves them too, so as if I do not hear enough about the team through the national media.

Today's Horoscope for the Seattle Mariners

After a couple of great days you’ll be pleased to hear that today’s planets keep the momentum going, especially when it comes to work or school. You’ll have the opportunity to take the lead today; if you believe in yourself, you’ll find that your colleagues or friends will too!

The M’s are an Aries, and were born in the year of the Snake.

I say we beat the shit out of those cocksuckers:

Yeah, let's pound them into the ground:

Is this winning Mariners style?
I think Ibanez is trying to keyhole the outfield
Anything to make 'em move their feet
Did anyone pack the paddle?
He's hoping Manny trips in the resulting divot.
Funny that Kason Gabbard use to be on the Red Sox
You know, wouldn't it have made sense for the catcher (Laird?) to just throw the ball at Richie?
I hope we do not get swept again
Part of me hopes we do.
Yeah...the part of me that wants the 1/1 pick does too..
It is interesting that Pedroia's OPS+ is 2 points lower than Jose's

Even though his OPS is .021 points higher.

Why is that?

OPS+ is adjusted for the ballpark.
Ah, right. Do you know how they do that?

Valuable stat.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/about/bat_glossary.shtml#special

Thanks.

Interesting formula, that is cool people go to all this trouble out there.

It says they assume that if hits increase in a park, BBs, HBP, TB also increase. Do you know if this has shown to be true?

There are park factors for pretty much everything but the correlations aren't always intuitive.
Ah, i see they say it is 90-95% accurate, that would most likely account for the assumptions or variability.
What's really depressing

is that we are probably going to go out there and “force” Colon, Dicsuke, and Wakefield to thorw 100 pitches through 8 innings. Seriously, other than Beltre and Raul, do you ever expect a walk from this team?

Maybe Vidro, although with him I pray for a walk

Wow.

Freudian slip with Daisuke. I think I was originally going with Dice-K and then switched halfway through to Daisuke and came out with Dicsuke. Hopefully he is a dicksuck when he pitches

so when the yankees play a team..

with Adam Jones, they lose.

So do the Mariners.
No, it's just when the Mariners play a team

whether or not they have Adam Jones is irrelevant

Rec'd for truth.
Everyone see how the A's site got to interview Billy Beane again?
I'm calling a Mariners sweep of the Red Sox
I call the moon being delicious.
You don't think they'll be swept?
If its made out of cheese we could solve world hunger.
And then there would never be any waves.

And the oceans would stay polluted and we’ll have a worse problem.

Rec'd for not making sense

cheese has mass just like rocks do…

What the heck are you talking about?
I'm assuming you were speaking of the mass of the moon that cause the Earth's tides

and now I’m assuming I got it wrong and whatever you meant made infinitely less sense

But we'd have mined the moon's cheese, so it wouldn't be there anymore.

No cheese has no mass just like no rocks do.

Are we going to take all the cheese out of the moon?

Or just selectively mine it to help the world hunger problem

Well, eventually it'd be all gone.
If you're going to do something

do it 100%

Mine it for oil while you up there

Bruce Willis will get the job done.

Don't mention that movie.

I don’t mind so much when movies get advanced science wrong, but Newton’s not optional.

Inertia matters.

But the moon doesn't cause all the waves.
Think how well this meme would have worked had Coach not taken a shit all over it.
Llewdor and I tried

we couldn’t overcome the shit Coach took on it

But the moons not made of cheese
But world hunger.
But rocks
But Mariners, the.
Your lunchables must have lead in them
My fist is like lead.

Just warnin’ ya.

And your status is like on probation
Promise to unban him on Friday afternoons just for the hilarity.
Fine. I was just joking.
Thank goodness
If we ever have LL ultimate fight night this is the matchup I want.
I always imagined we would be matched up

Brett-Graham
Jeff-Matthew
Coach-tard of the month

Skoorbo-F'n'A's
I would pay $500 to see this happen
Coco-The Tim
Fuck - Corco.
.... you want to fuck Corco?
Who doesn't?
Red would fucking destroy everyone else

he can’t play.

Stop joking
I am skeptical of people who do stupid things and say they were in jest after the fact.
That's a poor sentence.
Tell us something new
I think it was paint chips in the Sunny D
Find the Jagged Metal Krusty-O!
This is my favorite comment in quite some time.

I am sad I can only recommend it once.

I thought Coach was funny on that one.
Hmmm.

That’s two Walking Man brews…

I’m thinking a LookoutLanding gathering at our family compound in Stevenson is in order…

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