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Brandon Morrow Is Regressing

That's more like it.

This is more like how I expected Morrow to look in his first go-round as a Major League starter. All the telltale Morrow signs were present, both good and bad - high velocity, swinging strikes, inconsistent offspeed stuff, mediocre control, fly balls. He wound up getting pulled after five innings having thrown 90 pitches, and while it wasn't a spectacular effort or anything, it was a fine performance for a guy in Morrow's situation. You just have to kind of make yourself forget about what he did last Friday. Because as impossibly awesome as that was, it isn't fair to Morrow to let one start raise the bar of short-term expectations.

The quick rundown, since I'm pretty tired:

  • Morrow's fastball averaged 94.5mph, down a tick from where it was a week ago. Could be real, might be a PITCHf/x stadium correction issue.

  • Morrow didn't sustain his fastball velocity as long as he did last time out. Here's today's moving average chart, where each point is the average velocity of the previous five fastballs:

    Bmfb9_11_medium
    If you don't recall, this is what that chart looked like before. Tonight you can see a pretty clear dip there at the end where Morrow was presumably getting gassed. His fastball velocity averaged 95 through the first four frames, but it dropped to 93 in the fifth, after which he got yanked. Wouldn't be the least bit surprised if this was just Morrow's physiological response to being stretched out so long. His arm was worked harder last Friday than it's probably ever been worked before in his life, so it would make sense if he needs a little time to fully recover. I'm not concerned. All we've learned from this is that Brandon Morrow is human.

  • Ten more swinging strikes. Even wild, Brandon Morrow is going to miss a lot of bats.

  • The reason? Okay, yeah, he's got the fastball, but that curveball he's been throwing is out of this world. The command is not even close to being where Morrow would presumably like it, but the snap on that thing is almost savagely sharp. It's like the pitch doesn't so much travel along an arc as it does a pair of line segments, the first rising slightly and the second dropping down so as to form a pointy bit in the middle whereupon the pitch immediately changes direction. I clearly can't do this justice with words, so you just need to see it. Watch Morrow's curve. Watch the way it breaks. Watch the way hitters respond to its break. It's already a pretty good secondary pitch and Morrow doesn't have any idea where it's going. If he's able to improve his curve command by 20-25%, look out. In terms of pure movement, his is a power curve to end all power curves.

  • Ten more changeups out of 37 pitches to lefties. It needs some work, but he threw a particularly nasty one to Garret Anderson when GA was clearly thinking fastball. That's a pitch with potential. Right now Morrow throws four pitches, but given the break on his curve and the potential in his changeup, I wonder if he might be better served dropping the slider and working on improving his other three weapons. Which isn't to say that his slider is bad, because it isn't, but I personally feel it's the worst of the bunch, and that he might be able to improve faster if he limits the number of things he's working on. But I'll let Morrow sort that out. Maybe I just haven't seen enough of his slider to get the right impression. But, oh, that curve...

  • I am perfectly satisfied with how Brandon Morrow pitched tonight. It wasn't a one-hitter, but his ability is obvious to even the most untrained of eyes. If you were excited about him before - and I don't know why you wouldn't have been - there's no reason to change your mind now. This looks like a man on the rise.

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Comments

He better be in the rotation next year

I would put him in there over RRS for next year, assuming only the fifth spot is actually open (assuming Washburn stays).

There's no doubt Morrow is in the rotation in 2009.

As for a healthy Bedard, that is another question. If we can get a big bat this offseason and have Felix, Bedard, and Morrow leading the rotation, we could turn things around rather quickly.

But likely losing Ibanez’s bat and not picking up another solid bat, this offense will our kryptonite. And with fatty Silva anchoring the rotation, he may lose us 60 games by just being in the dugout.

I would put him in the rotation over anybody

but Felix and Bedard.

I saw something interesting that Riggleman was saying. It looks like Silva will be back soon and Bedard might be able to return before the end of the season maybe. In that case we have Felix, Bedard, Washburn, Silva, RSS, Morrow, etc. All Riggle would say is that Morrow would be pitching every 5 days for the rest of the year. That made me happy.

Seeing that power curve last night almost made me fall off my barstool.
Anytime a curve gets confused with a split ....

thats probably a good sign.

Gif please!
You got it

Last week for a strike:

Last night for a swinging strike:

Holy crap
I know, right?

This is exactly how I used to feel about the Royal Curve. The only difference being that nobody has any idea where this curveball is going to end up half the time.

I thought it was a splitter

If he were to stay injury free, I would hope he’d be able to command it eventually given the mind bending leaps forward he has taken and that he mixes his pitches better than Felix.

It looks kind of like a splitter but it's actually the sort of curveball that's eventually going to make someone swing and hit his own knees
...I want to see Brandon throw one of those to Yuni.
Yuni would develop PTSD and seize before the pitch even arrived
I miss RJs slider that could make the batter swing and miss

…as they got beaned.

That's a difference?
Oh sweet Jesus sex me.
I'll take an awesome power curve over a triple digit fastball any day.
Why choose one when you can have both?
The Mariners wouldn't.
They'd prefer a well-disguised 71 MPH change-up

preferably from the left side.

Then why isn't Moyer still here?
They wanted the NEXT Moyer

Is it… Bobby Livingston? Ryan Feierabend? Robert Rohrbaugh, perhaps?

Thanks Jeff. It looks like a Screwball with its 11-5 movement.

And a Power Screwball at that.

His endurance last night is probably closer to where he's at than last Friday

Keep in mind the adrenaline that he probably had while taking the no-no into the 8th last week. That adrenaline probably put a little extra in the tank that generally isn’t there.

Because someone at some point is going to argue that he’s a 105-110 pitch pitcher because of that start, and he’s not. Not yet, at least.

Yeah this start only felt disappointing at the time

but he’s still Morrow less the same player he was before

Enjoy getting raped in prison like you deserve.
It took me five times to try and get past the "Morrow less."

I then decided to just finish the sentence to see where you were going. Thanks for wasting my time.

Do you have the info on pitch type?

I’d really like to know what percentage of his pitches were fastballs, curves, sliders, you know. That kinda stuff.

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