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Lookout Landing

Nothing Quite Like A Little Careless Neglect

Through six innings, Brandon Morrow had done a reasonable job of shutting down the A's. 94 pitches got him through 22 batters, six of whom struck out and only four of whom reached base. His control and location hadn't been perfect, but they'd been good enough, and all in all the start represented considerable improvement over Morrow's two outings previous. It appeared as if we would be able to close the book on the second-best start of Morrow's brief starting career.

But with a 3-0 lead, with Morrow's 94 pitches being his second-highest total as a pro, Jim Riggleman decided to let his young flamethrower go back out there for the seventh. This after throwing 80 pitches last time and 90 pitches the time before.

The first batter flew out on a first-pitch slider that was 3mph below Morrow's average.

The second batter walked on seven fastballs averaging 92mph, one of which clocked in at a hair under 90.

The third batter doubled on a 92mph fastball in a full count.

The fourth batter walked on five pitches, the last one coming in at the neck.

Riggleman finally came out to relieve Morrow of his duties, his pitch count having risen to a career-high 113. Just eight of his 19 pitches in the seventh inning were strikes, and his 92mph average fastball was two ticks below where he'd stood for the first six innings. Some informative pretty pictures:

Morrowfb1_9_21_medium

Morrowfb2_9_21_medium

Morrow's velocity wasn't the only indicator of his fatigue, either. Check out the average height of his fastballs by inning:

Inning Height (ft)
1 2.8
2 2.9
3 2.9
4 2.9
5 3.2
6 3.2
7 3.3

As a pitcher fatigues, it's common to see him struggle to get the same forward extension towards home plate as when he's fresh, resulting in erratic command, frequently up in the zone. Which is pretty much exactly what we saw happen with Morrow this afternoon.

Seems pretty clear to me that Morrow was gassed by the seventh. Completely and utterly gassed. For good measure, four of the five offspeed pitches he threw in the inning missed the zone. He didn't have a single thing working, and yet in a meaningless game he was allowed to throw 19 additional meaningless pitches, the final seven of which established a new career high.

I get that the bullpen has been a disaster. I get that Riggleman wants this losing streak to end. And I get that the team feels a lot of pressure to get Morrow stretched out as quickly as possible. But Morrow's handling today was not in the team's best interests. Even if you excuse Riggleman for sending him back out to start the seventh - which we didn't support at the time - there's no excuse for having left him in after the first walk. When a guy who normally throws 94-96 misses with a fastball at 89, that is the reddest of red flags. Were I a manager, that would've sent me bolting out of the dugout on a beeline to the mound to get my guy out of the game before he could throw another pitch.

Brandon Morrow will probably be fine, and I'm not trying to scare anyone into histrionics over injury concerns. But the way Riggleman used Morrow today was bad, and not because it opened the door for the A's to come back. It was bad because Morrow wasn't ready for this sort of treatment, with the seventh inning offering all kinds of evidence. Just because the Mariners want to get him stretched out quickly doesn't mean he'll be able to proceed at their dictated pace, and I would really prefer to see them be as cautious as possible when it comes to Morrow's usage pattern. Days like today can only do far greater harm than good.

Brandon Morrow pitched pretty well this afternoon. It's a shame that whole episode at the end had to go and ruin it. Please Mariners, if there is any good in your heart, do not allow this to happen again. Let Morrow get stretched out at his own pace, instead of forcing upon him your own. It's not worth it. It's not worth it.

0 recs  |  52 comments

Comments

Maybe Riggles knew that Batista would blow the game and gave Morrow a chance to try and finish the inning.

But yeah Riggles should have pulled him when that fastball at 89 mph was thrown it’s just frustrating to lose that many games.

No point in pushing Morrow

this season means nothing.

You know Jeff, there seems to be an influx of new people lately.

Perhaps it’s time for another open statistical analysis questions thread?

May I ask what that is?
I know it's been done at least once before

but it’s just an open post on the main page where the regular folk can ask Jeff/Matthew/Graham (and perhaps Dave if he feels like dropping by) questions about sabermetrics and stats based analysis. You could ask things like

Why is OPS a more telling metric than BA?
What alternatives to ERA exist and why is ERA flawed?
What in the world is PITCHf/x?

Oh I'm pretty savy metrics

I have no idea what tRA is though. I’m also still learning some things like PrOPS.

Here is the

tRA primer. You can look up the actual tRA player values at StatCorner.com

Also

here’s the link to the original stat question thread.

This was a very enjoyable thread.
While we're on the topic,

where’s the “Where I Look” thread where you outlined what sites you go to for certain stats? I was looking for it the other day.

Aqui!

Gracias.
I saw it as a challenge to succeed where another had failed

The search was its own reward

This is pre-StatCorner :(
Noted.

I was thinking more along the lines of minor league splits and the day-to-day database.

Pencils have erasers for a reason
He's not particularly new
Who are we talking about?
MM
Unless he joined before as another screen name he is relatively new.
I am going to kill myself
I was going to say "rec'd" but I didn't want you to take it the wrong way.
But who will fill my life with snark and wit?
Jeff
Not quite as good at the snark.
JI can be pretty solid
Typos kill snark.
This will prover useful in November.
I'm confused about who is seeking to overthrow whom.
So you're saying we need two people to replace the work of one.

Seems more efficient just to keep him alive.

I have the math skills of a 14 year old.
fuckin rec'd
This really means something coming from someone with such high standards for rec'ing
I took down the rec and I plan on bringing it back in style
Funny how this comment only has one rec
It means he's lying
Thats because I dont actually want you to kill yourself :)
Someone as angry as you can't go out like that
i usually am silent

because i think it’s bad luck for me to comment and i don’t want to ruin anything. and for me, despite the ridiculousness of this season, every brandon morrow start is a big deal.

but today i was totally there with jeff when he freaked out. it was so obvious when morrow was worn out. i’ve been trying not to overly judge riggleman because i don’t want to get invested in wishing for wisdom where there is none, but the use of morrow today was kind of a crime.

we have three interesting young starters for 09… i just hope they’re able to keep their heads straight given how they’ve been used and/or screwed by the bullpen or (especially in the case of felix) lack of run suppport.

this is a great blog, by the way, in case you need to hear.

Thanks for stopping by.

In the future, please make use of proper capitalization while here. We’re kind of a stickler for it.

We're kind of a stickler?
I'm understated

and trying to be nice because the comment is fine.

I'm making fun of your grammar, dumbass.
Maybe Matthew has several grammar-focused personalities.
Oh, how original and hilarious.
Perhaps we will need two press conferences.
And two replacements!
Let me do the math on this and get back to you.

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