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Lookout Landing

55-85, Chart

9_5_08_medium

Biggest Contribution: Brandon Morrow, +31.5%
Biggest Suckfest: Adrian Beltre, -6.2%
Most Important AB: Tuiasosopo double, +9.4%
Most Important Pitch: Jeter single, -7.5%
Total Contribution by Pitcher(s): +42.9%
Total Contribution by Lineup: +7.1%
Total Contribution by Opposition: 0.0%
(What is this chart?)

0 recs  |  232 comments

Comments

This is the coolest win expectancy chart ever
Boy am I glad they kept him in the pen this year

I also want to find these nameless ‘AL Scout’ types who questioned the m’s moving him to the rotation. If I was as good at my job as you are at yours, I’d probably be arrested.

Haha, remains me of the Lewis Black routine about Al Roker

"I don’t know what’s more nuts…weather or the weathermen. A few years ago here in New York City, we had a blizzard. 36 inches of snow. I guess you Midwesterners would call that a dusting. Well, our weatherman at the time, Al Roker, predicted we’d have 4 – 12 inches of snow. Well, giving him the benefit of the doubt, that stills leaves him 2 feet off. This was an emergency condition. Now if you were a roofer and you built a roof and it was 2 feet off, you’d still be serving time. "

He's staring into my soul
Ohh, god, his eyes are so dreamy
Wow. Timmay who?

Remember when “50%” of the organization was against Morrow starting? Yeah, you guys feel real stupid right now.

Thank you for brightening my mood after listening to Armstrong today, Brandon.
Overreaction Fanboy Post #2

ZOMGZ MARINER ROTATION!

MORROW, FELIX, BEDARD, RRS, SILVA

Four of these are being paid much too little, while one is being paid way, way too much.
If they're not going to spend money on free agents, I'm completely fine with this.
fuck wilson bedimit
Get it out of your system, Robert.

Today’s a day you should be happy.

So, Jeff, I'm guessing your checklist for Morrow looks pretty good.
i havent gotten home yet.

did jeff crack a smile?

Point #6 was going to be "throw a no-hitter" but I was in a rush and had to end it
How did Tui look at 3B?
Who the hell knows?

Did he even field a ball?

you bet your ass he did!

he also hit a double!

I actually got curious and had to go look

He threw out A-Rod on a grounder in the 4th.
He caught a leadoff popup in the 5th from Giambi

That’s all.

I don't think anyone was really paying attention

I recall a “nice arm” comment though

He actually looked good, didnt look bad in any at bat, nice opposite field double

and even his fly outs to center, were pretty good swings.

This is way late but...

Anyone else hear Niehaus say tui was terrifc at 3rd base? I’m guessing Dave doesn’t have time to catch many Tacoma games…

The radio crew's going to talk up the local boy in his debut

It almost didn’t matter how Tui did today.

Yeah true..

How do you think Tui will do with more experience at 3rd? does he have potential to be a solid 3rd baseman? That was my first time seeing him play live today

He's perpetually struggled with his defense in the minors

Of course, he’s also only 22 and did get rushed some in the minors. Things could change for the better with some work, but right now he’s Morse-like with his defense, which doesn’t help with a slower Yuni at SS.

yikes.

Morse-like is about as low as you can go

Morse isn't terrible at third.

He IS terrible in the OF, and should never have even been allowed to experiment in the OF, but he can handle 3rd and 1st pretty respectably.

Tui’s got a ways to go defensively, especially since he’s only recently moved over to third. But he might get there yet. He just needs to remember to WATCH the ball into his glove:

Well yeah, that's what I mean by Morse-like

His glove and physical abilities are okay. His fielding fundamentals needs work. His range… heh… well….

As I was trying to race home to watch the end of this, I got a call from work.

Our CC processing was down, and I’m the only person who could possibly hope to fix it. As soon as I hung up the phone, Betemit doubled. Goddammit.

Clearly it was your fault.
I think it was my co-worker's fault. His negative energy distracted Brandon.
Dave's already thrown up an analysis on Morrow's performance at USSM, btw.
Thanks

The two stats that jump out at me are
1. Morrow only threw his fastball 58% of the time tonight
2. Average fastball velocity: 95.7 MPH

Was good to see Morrow get a decent number of swing and misses on his breaking stuff

PAY ATTENTION FELIX
No shit.

This was refreshing. Talent PLUS not pitching like an idiot!

Seriously, somebody send Felix a printout of the pitch distribution from today's game.

And HIGHLIGHT ALL OF THE OFFSPEED STUFF

What's funny is Morrow's fastball is better than Felix's, and Felix has sick breaking stuff.

This is like the opposite of what should be happening.

SOMEONE FIRE STOTTLEMYRE BEFORE HE RUINS MORROW
Stottlemyre: You need to establish the fastball.

Morrow: Establish this, bitch. [EPIC PIMP SLAP]
Stottlemyre: [flies into dugout]
Morrow: I learned that from some Vanilla Ice wannabe in Tacoma.

Rec'd.

Nicely done.

That just made the season so much easier to stomach.

Why oh why couldn’t he be in the rotation from the beginning?

(No answers please, it was rhetorical.)

True dat.

I’m excited for Felix, Bedard, Morrow, SIlva, RRS?

That is what I’m praying for anyway…

Make RRS #4 and Silva #5 and it works for me.

If RRS ends up panning out as a #4 that is.

If we had a real SS, non-disastrous LF defense, and an average 1B and DH, blah blah blah this team is dumb but I'm excited so I'll shut up.
I hear you

Felix, Bedard (healthy), Morrow in the rotation is enough for me to get excited about next year. Even if Morrow struggled from time to time it would be better then watching the crap they threw out there this year.

If they are going to blow things up (and they are going to blow things up) it's nice that I'm more excited about Morrow than I was at 7:00 tonight.
The nice thing is, if Morrow and RRS keep pitching well

It’s going to be very hard for them to justify keeping Washburn around next year.

Awwwwwwwwwwww...........
Where is he going to go, though?
Anywhere they can get partial salary relief for him, hopefully

I doubt they’ll get the full salary taken off their hands now but they can likely get a portion of it taken off their hands.

That is, if they stop being stupid and reverse course on the whole salary dump stubbornness now that they’ve gauged the fan outrage over it.

Obviously it's not salary relief that they're after.
I envision the world's most expensive bullpen by mid-season next year.
I'd be okay with that at this point

Washburn can be the Tug McGraw to Silva’s Goose Gossage for all I care.

If they're going to be around, might as well minimize the damage they can do.
My grammar blows tonight
Even if RRS pitches like crap and Morrow goes back to the pen

its going to be very hard for them to justify keeping Washburn around next year.

Washburn’s salary == Strasburg’s signing bonus

You're forgetting...

…who’s President of this club (and thinks he’s a pocket general manager)…

I know

It just won’t be justifiable from a rational person’s POV.

I think one of the best parts of tonight

Was that (and I don’t have pitch F/X data to confirm this so take it with a big grain of salt), but it seemed like he didn’t have great control of his curveball, but he was still drawing swinging strikes with it when it was nowhere near the zone just because they were all sitting fastball.

Awesome what mixing your pitches can do.

My favorite part:

I loved the fact he went so far with the no-no with Tui at 3d and Balentien in CF.

Tui is a brick, but WLAD isn't as bad as people think
I haven't heard a ton on Tui's defense yet.

What’s the story?

Tui's D

Better than Willie’s. Worse than Beltre’s.
Overall, he’s a solid defensive 3B.

This is about as different from everything else I've heard as is possible.
I was being unsuccessfully sarcastic, sorry.
Worse than Beltre

isn;t much of a criticism….

It wasn't terrible today, but extremely small sample size
He had what, one-two plays?

I’d say it was a small sample size.. ha.

Normally he is best classified as a trainwreck
Could we transition him to SS?
We transitioned him FROM short.

He’s too big to go back.

That's no good.

Does he stick at the position?

Seattle is running out of choices for a while if he is SOO awful.

I have heard from many different sources of varying credibility that his future is most likely at a corner OF spot.
He couldn't be any worse than Raul.

Right?

Right?

I'm pretty sure I would be better than Raul.
But nowhere near as entertaining.
What if I "forgot" to secure my belt and chased a flyball with my pants around my ankles?
Needs more shoelaces tied together.
I'd play an entire gmae with TP stuck to my cleats.
I'm sold.

acblue in LF 2009!

Can he hit tho?
Can WIllie?

Can Cairo?

Can Yuni?

Can Johjima?

Can Wlad?

Please stop me.

Even a blind squirrel finds an acorn now and again, amirite?
You could be the designated bunter
AKA our #2 hitter
acblue = Cairo?
My ears are nowhere near that big.
If you strike out 500 times a year, you can't hit into double plays and Ichiro gets a lot of strikes to run on.
This is in the sequel to Moneyball.
Failball
I could hit from my knees and be the new Eddie Gaedel.
Yeah, but he probably takes more pride in it than you would.
makes more sense.

But Seattle obviously has better prospects slotted into the COF in the future.

Saunders, etc

Maybe even Prentice Redman, who knows.

I've never been high on Prentice Redman.
Prentice Redman is 27 and not a prospect.
You should try it. Gets you fucked up pretty good.
Comment of the year

that’s awesome

Would have been better if I had replied to the right comment.

I’m Prenticing balls right now, though, so it’s not all that surprising.

So that's why he never panned out

It was the peyote constantly flowing through his bloodstream.

I almost died because of this post.
Who's the outfield down in Tacoma now anyway?

There’s Reed and Balentien up here; who’s left?

Season's kind of over.

But Redman, Diaz maybe. Saunders. I gues…

Halman will probably be in AA to start the year, I'm assuming.

He might get up sometime, though.

That would make sense.

Moore should be up in AAA to start the year (off topic.. whatever)

exactly.

I saw him hit an absolute blast in Portland’s PGE Park earlier in the year. Still.. he’s got no future.

Functional but still needs a lot of work
+1

WLAD made a couple of nice plays tonight.

No +1 please.
Yuni made a couple "nice" plays, but he ain't getting any pluses around here.
+1 is verboten.
I hadn't heard

Not saying I’m a veteran LL’er, but I’ve been around off and on for a couple years and have never heard +1 forbidden. Gomez said WLAD isn’t that bad, I was just corraborating with evidence from tonights game, he had 2 really nice runnig catches. Does it mean he’s a gold glove CF, no, but he still has a small sample size as a ML CF so I think it’s relevant. Yuni has a big enough sample size that we pretty much know he sucks at his position.

Tui's arm and relative speed would be OK in the OF

Wlad, I hope today, showed people that he’s very, very respectable in CF. He made some pretty awesome plays to keep the no-no going…

He looks good to me
Let's just hope this isn't a fluke

like Clay Buchholz and his MLB debut.

You mean the debut where he didn't throw the no-hitter?
Buchholz isn't a fluke.

………………..yet.

True, but he hasn't shown that he is an MLB caliber SP.

Although he could very easily turn it around.

I just wanted to make a comment.

I think Wlad showed that he can play a pretty decent CF, too. He looked real solid out there tonight…

That would be like finding out the decoder ring in your Cracker Jack box is made of platinum.
He didn't really have great hands on that over the shoulder catch

But at least he made the catch, so I guess that’s all that matters.

Agreed.

Him and Reed could tandem up nicely.

OR WE COULD SIGN ELLISON FOR FIVE YEARS 60 MIL WOOOO

The way Balentien has looked at the plate, playing a competent CF would

appear to be his only shot at sticking here long term. His .230/300 BA/OBP with 20-25 homers could maybe be passable in CF

I'm not the world's biggest Balentien fan, but he's much better than he's looked at the plate so far.
He's still slow as fuck

I don’t like him out there unless it’s an emergency

Speaking of range...

what the hell has gotten into Yuni? Watching chubs run around like that had me busting up.

About 75,000 of these.

Maybe they've started him on an exercise regimen finally

….probably not.

I'll blame it on the atmosphere.

I’m betting he needs an epic nap after tonight.

Yuniesky Betancourt placed on the 60 day DL due to chubbyness.
Yuniesky Betancourt placed on the 60-day DL to keep Bedard company
Yuniesky Betancourt place on the 60-day DL

because Carlos Silva ate him.

Yuniesky Betancourt could eat 60 sandwiches
And a bad case of the sillies
Oh that silly, AIDS infested primate.
He's probably diabetic too.
Would partially explain the difficulty hitting,

since diabetic neuropathy affects the retina, diminishing the effective visual field.

Potassium overdose.
One of the most amazing games I've ever been to..obviously

The crowd was fantastic from about the 6th inning on. Everyone was kinda buzzing but no one really overtly clamoring about what they were watching. Getting loud and pumped up before the scoreboard told them too. 30k jumping to their feet all at one moment after each strikeout late in the game. I thought we were playing for something…and I think the fans knew what it was. Our future.

I’d like to thank Morrow for getting my weekend off to a fantastic start.

I knew something was going on the minute I turned on the radio in the 7th.

The crowd was absolutely electric.

I haven't heard it like that in years
Yes agreed

I was fortunate enough to be behind home and I was up cheering after two strikes (a la the Randy days) from the beginning of the sixth. My Father-In-Law was having me do some stop watch work for him as he’s a scout but after five innings took it from me so, in his words, I could be a fan again.

Thank you Brandon. Tonight was an oasis in a large, hot desert.

Oh my GOD I CAN'T BELIEVE I DIDN'T TAKE THOSE TICKETS FROM NOLA
bwahahahahaha
I am going to regret this for the rest of my life.
It was spectacular
If only there was TiVo for life

erk.. REWIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIND

I actually do this all the time.

I will be sitting listening to someone talk, then I lose my attention, and the first thing I think is “rewind” when I want to hear what they said. Unfortunately, I have lost the remote for life.

:(

You can't hear that crowd and the roars...it was fantastic. Kingdome-like.
I curled up into a little ball and nearly cried after the double though
To me, these sorts of emotional responses are just as much a part of why I'm a baseball fan as the positive ones.

Tino’s HR in Game 5 of the 2001 ALCS is probably my most vivid memory, and at the time it was unbearable. But Goddammit, I felt something.

Bernie Williams or Alfonso Soriano is the inflatable cuntbag that you are currently thinking of.
Nope, Tino. 3-run-HR in the 8th Inning off Paniagua.

Game was most likely already over (it was 9-3) but that was the “hey your season is over now” moment. It was an absolute bomb to CF, and I still remember Cammy going up and just hanging over the wall. That was the one that did me in.

oh hey your right

The season died to me the night before anyway.

Oh, now the crying comment makes sense.

I hadn’t seen this one.

But guyz Morrow is more valuable in teh bullpen~!1!!1

I’m so upset I missed this game…if he’d actually gotten a no-hitter I may have just knifed myself.

I want to find every FO exec who might have thought Morrow would be better for the club in the bullpen,

show them a tape of today’s game, then shove that tape up their ass.

Armstrong and Lincoln would be a safe place to start.
I'm heading down to Safeco tomorrow and administering a cassette-tape enema to those two fuckers.
Fuck Wilson Betemit
It's okay, Robert.
It wasn't meant to be.

And yet I felt more satified with this game than any in recent memory. My heart was thumping hard, too. Sweating slightly.

My God! Did I just have sex without realizing it?

I'm really not mad that Brandon lost the no-hitter.

Not in the slightest, because Brandon did something far more important.

Hope for the future has been in short supply lately. Thanks, Brandon.

My wife asks me this all the time.
I'm sure he's available
The Mariners are fun and exciting to watch
*twice a week
I was going to say twice a year.
God I love this team

:)

;)

Morrow is the turtle shell!
Why the cliff?
He's decided not to jump after all.
Now I get it
But then why the turtle?
Sometimes it takes awhile to get where you're going, but if you're tough enough to survive the journey, it will all be worth it.
Well technically we don't know what was on the other side.

Just that its presumably less cliffy.

Analogy solved!
Maybe, just maybe, a smart GM will be hired

and convince Chuck there’s some hope next year.

Or lie and not blow up the team.
It's annoying, because we're so close to being somewhat relevant, and it wouldn't require hurting the future.
Im drunk now so takke avdantage Morrow.
*Lee Elia creeps over to Slica's place with a Morrow mask on*
Good luck, my neihgborhood is dangerous.

I got robbed last weeked.

But I will take both scoops of his Raisin Brandno morrws

Jeff must be writing some epic, 20,000 word post
Let's say, hypothetically, that Adrian Beltre is traded this offseason.

Who do you think emerges as the frontrunner for everyday third baseman? Tui, maybe Lopez, someone else I’m missing? Morse? (bleh)

I refuse to think about this.
Beltre is probably my favorite M right now

So yes, it sucks. But it could become an important issue sooner than later.

Let's jump off that bridge when we come to it.
This is my favorite comment of the day.
yeah yeah fine fine
I will tumble down the side incline, thx
The fall won't even be fun.
It's probably Tui's job unless someone cheap and better stumbles onto the Mariners ST complex
According to Foxsports.com
Yanks almost no-hit in loss to M’s Rookie Pitcher

Idiots

Are you fucking kidding me?

They don’t even have a picture for Morrow. News flash, he’s been in the big leagues for AN ENTIRE SEASON.

He's no Joba.
You're right, he was a shit-ton better than Joba was in his opener
Not only has he been in the bigs for almost an entire season

he was one of the best relievers in the entire AL the first half of this season…

They should keep the sihouette instead of a picture.

Just add some glowing red eyes, maybe they pulse a bit, PRESTO!!

Damnit

Why oh why did i decide to not watch this game.

Couldn't believe it when I woke up.

The first thing I do every morning is grab my phone, check mlb.com and then LL. I was excited when I woke up – I wanted to know how Morrow had done. When the page was loading I thought to myself how awesome it would be if Morrow went 5 IP and only gave up a few hits.

Then the page loaded. The Yankees had TWO hits?!?!? Morrow with the ‘W’?!?!? I opened the box score page, loaded the M’s section … and for the first time in months, I was excited to be a Mariner again.

Well done, Brandon. Don’t ever suck.

Fuck Wilson Betemit
Last thought upon sleeping, first thought upon waking.
11:43 AM, Seattle Times is reporting that Wilson Betemit was killed ...

by a man apparently being identified only as “Robert”.

One of these days I will actually go through with it....
I love that ther's a shortlist of ballplayers that LLers actively wish death upon
We need letters for all of them

I nominate JD Drew to be “Player B”

I'm surprised no one has actually put the full death list in writing yet
Legal reasons
Not my site, not my worries

Brian Roberts
Mike Hargrove
JD Drew
David Justice
Wilson Betimeit
Matt Thornton
Carlos Beltran
Mike Reilly

Pardon my ignorance but...

Why Justice, Thornton and Reilly?

Hm, my guess

Justice: Backbreaking HR against M’s in playoffs.
Thornton: Epic suck
Reilly: Screwed us in rainy weather by not delaying game in downpour in 9th inning until Yankees had reclaimed the lead… also screwed us on a non-call in said 9th where a Yankee was clearly out at 1st but was called safe.

I nominate Ryan Franklin

and I would nominate Ayala bu that’s just a big fat cliche

Bobby Ayala never bothered me but maybe that's because I jumped on board in 98.
I was about 10 when Ayala was around

And I hated his guts because my dad told me to.

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