Chad Cordero is now a Mariner - apparently we've just picked him up on a minor league contract. Cordero's a guy who's been bitten pretty badly by injury lately (hence us being able to sign him to a minor league contract), but when healthy he's been a pretty good closer, posting tRAs between 2.43 and 3.92 in his injury-free years in the Capital (and yes, there's a league differential, but it's probably offset by the fact that he wasn't ever pitching against the Nationals).
He's a guy in the Huston Street mold in that he's been a closer throughout college and his pro career; the major difference between the two being that Street's labrum isn't hilariously bollocksed. Labrum tears are not happy creatures, and there's a very real chance Cordero never gets his stuff back, but we don't lose anything by taking a flyer on him.
The signing doesn't answer any questions (unless 'Will the Mariners sign Chad Cordero to a minor league contract?' counts), but it's a nifty little no-risk, decent upside deal to add bullpen depth. Cordero's still rehabbing, as far as I know, so we won't know how he's faring for some time, but even if nothing comes of this signing, you should be pleased with it anyway - it just reinforces the fact our front office knows what it's doing. The happy times are upon us.
0 recs | 185 comments
Interesting.
As everyone’s said, it’s a great no-risk move, and at the very least, it’s great for Tacoma’s pen.
(Cordero – labrum) > Tracy Thorpe.
marc w - March 12, 2009
Finally
we have a member of the flat brimmed hat clique
JI - March 12, 2009
There's only ONE Brim Reaper...
PositivePaul - March 12, 2009
My heart goes out to you.
This, by the way, is a medical condition.
kevin_ess - March 12, 2009
Randy Messenger
Woodinville_12thMan - March 13, 2009
Cordero
Given how careful the organization is about its players, he’s probably still a ways off.
This sets up an interesting possibility down the road. Say either David Aardsma or Randy Messenger wins the closer’s job. They do a pretty decent job leading up to the trade deadline. Some team comes in looking to pick up one of these guys to shore up their bullpen for the stretch run. Depending on how far along Chad Cordero is we find a taker, pull the trigger on the deal…..boom, insert Chad Cordero.
Just another example of adding flexibility to the organization. Kudos, Jack. Kudos.
ThundaPC - March 12, 2009
With Cordero, Aardsma, and Fields around, we sure have a lot of first round relievers
Jeff Sullivan - March 12, 2009
Should have traded for Street
JI - March 12, 2009
You forgot Morrow
Robert - March 12, 2009
SHUT UP
Matthew - March 12, 2009
Batista, bitches. NAILS.
kevin_ess - March 12, 2009
Nice use of the Irish vernacular
“Bollocksed”, indeed.
His shoulder’s wick, so it is. Totally cat.
Colm - March 12, 2009
British*
abender20 - March 12, 2009
Oh shit...
Aaron Campeau - March 12, 2009
Same Diff
Robert - March 12, 2009
zomg no troubles
Aaron Campeau - March 12, 2009
Dear god he's pretty much both.
Kirsten Schlewitz - March 13, 2009
*Foreign Devilry!
JAH - March 13, 2009
Man this is a bullpen with some scary upside.
it could be lights out with the Cordero, Aardy, Lowe, Walker group and potentially Fields later on. Now if we could find a situational lefty…
Slurvey - March 12, 2009
OH! We could use Sh-.... never mind.
.Taylor - March 12, 2009
Funny is a magic lamp that's hard to rub.
kevin_ess - March 12, 2009
Trust me, I know.
kevin_ess - March 12, 2009
I hear that
Jose Lugo is this man.
Woodinville_12thMan - March 13, 2009
If a few things work out our bullpen is going to be awesome
You wouldn’t know it from their spring training performances though
OlSalty - March 12, 2009
Anyone else think he looks like he's 15?
Ezzra - March 13, 2009
.
Ezzra - March 13, 2009
Cheese!!!!!!
brayden04 - March 13, 2009
Another difference between him and Street
is Street’s got way better stuff and mixes his pitches. Cordero goes to his 89mph FB 3/4 of the time and uses his slider pretty much the rest of the time. Street throws harder (FB velo’s about the same but Street’s slider is +5mph) and he’s at about 50% FB with slider/change the rest of the way.
I’ll be shocked if this guy ends up closing games ever again. Which isn’t to say I don’t like the pick up, just there was some unwarranted jubilation in the FP thread last night that I was a bit surprised at.
Bearskin Rugburn - March 13, 2009
Forgot to mention this
but the difference in stuff between the two is obvious in the StrSw%. Huston gets way more, and Cordero, even in his best season to date was solidly in the company of relief aces Ron Villone and Julio Mateo (didn’t crack the top 100 relievers that year).
Graham was right to make the comparison between the two – they’re very similar in terms of playing history, age and pitches – but lets be clear that at his healthiest and best Cordero was no rockstar.
Bearskin Rugburn - March 13, 2009
I don't think anyone is calling him Street
It’s just that he cost us nothing and there’s a chance he could be a decent bullpen arm.
No it’s not like we just picked up our guaranteed closer for nothing but there’s no risk involved in seeing how he comes back from surgery with a minor league deal.
OlSalty - March 13, 2009
Dude
That seems like some serious overreaction to signing a guy whose upside is an okay reliever. I mean, it’s a good signing, but for me this is no different from the Sweeney deal.
Bearskin Rugburn - March 13, 2009
That was a joke
I was just saying that there’s no reason anyone should
notlike the signing. Personally I wouldn’t have chosen the “want to put my dick in it” option, I think a yes would have sufficed, but it’s a poll so you have to make up silly options like that on LL when there is only varying amounts of how much you could possibly like the signing.OlSalty - March 13, 2009
And the context of that comment was we were commenting on the one or two people
Who selected “No”, they didn’t like the signing in the poll.
OlSalty - March 13, 2009
I wouldn't put too much thought into an overreaction to a silly comment.
kevin_ess - March 13, 2009
I know I don't mean to single you out
but there was a lot of ‘holy shit I love jack Z this is an awesome move our pen is going to rock’ in that thread which I think is appropriate given the off season in general but an overreaction to this move in particular.
Bearskin Rugburn - March 13, 2009
Honeymoon phase is still going strong
Any non-idiotic move that GMZ makes will result in “praise the lord” and “hallelujah”
johnbai - March 13, 2009
His upside is relief ace, not okay reliever.
And to address your comments below, I can see why it’s amusing that people flip over small deals like this, but a lot of what makes an organization strong and deep. One deal like this isn’t a huge deal, but a ton of them can lead to having a totally lights out bullpen, say, or finding the next Carlos Pena. It’s exactly what we didn’t get during the Bavasi years, and that’s why people are excited. It’s not the individual move necessarily, it’s the process.
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
How can you call him a relief ace?
1/3 of his strike outs were on strikes looking. Take that away and he’s a 5K/9, 2.5-3BB/9 guy with flyball tendencies. Useful, but hardly an ace. But I’ve commented too much on this considering how small a deal it is. people are happy, and that’s good. If he helps the team, which I think is not terribly likely, then great and if he doesn’t then fuck it.
Bearskin Rugburn - March 13, 2009
I don't think you could call him a relief ace, but I think that his upside is relief ace.
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
Is or was?
marc w - March 13, 2009
Still is.
Upside is by very definition unlikely to occur.
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
I'm glad I'mnot the only one
I was actually pretty excited when I read the headlines because I didn’t know very much about him. But in looking at his stats from his halcyon days… he was a competent middle reliever who accumulated saves and developed some name recognition. Now he’s a middle reliever recovering from a nasty injury. I think his upside is Jimmy Gobble.
Bearskin Rugburn - March 13, 2009
He was a two win player in 2005 and had a well above average tRA 04-06.
Come on man, don’t sell him short.
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
I've been watching Cordero since 2005, and I can tell you that his "stuff" was shot long before his labrum was shredded
The Chief was hugely flyball prone even in his prime, which is a major problem for a closer. “But wait,” you might say, “isn’t Safeco the sort of large stadium ideally suited to pitchers with such tendencies?” Well yes, except for the fact that Chad’s flyball proclivities were causing him problems in RFK Grand Canyon National Park Stadium, which was far more cavernous than any other park in either league, with the exception perhaps of Petco. His fastball has been declining in speed since 2006, which may be related to increasing labrum problems.
I’d like to think that Cordero can come back to be an effective closer or set-up man, but based on what I saw over the last few years, I have my doubts. The National League figured him out after a year or two, and I imagine that the grading curve — in a better league, and with diminished stuff — will be even harder this time around. I hope he makes it, though. The ORIGINAL Brim Reaper — GS52 stole his schtick from Chad all the way.
esoteric - March 13, 2009
You're being too hard on him
He was never lights out, but an effective pitcher until the day he got hurt.
JI - March 13, 2009
This is what I was trying to point out
I’m fine with the signing but it’s hardly something to be happy about per se. He wasn’t anything very special before his injuries and if he weren’t pitching the ninth nobody outside the DC market would know his name. If you see the deal as an indication of how the new FO does business, then of course it’s cheer-worthy but it’s hardly the first such instance (Sweeney, Walker, Aardsma and so on and so forth) so it’s not really news.
Bearskin Rugburn - March 13, 2009
Why not?
It is potentially something to be happy about and that’s what counts. You’re right in that it could and quite likely will be a relatively meaningless signing, but the difference here is that the maximum upside of a recovered Cordero is probably a better option at closer than any of our current candidates because he used to be able to get both lefties and righties out in decent fashion. Not many of the people in camp now have ever shown the capacity to do that, and that’s what you need from a closer. Will he ever reach that upside? Doubtful, but possible, and he’s completely free, so what’s not to be happy about?
OlSalty - March 13, 2009
For me 'happy' is an extreme emotion that I don't easily throw around.
But whatever. I guess I’m not as confident in the abilities of a healthy Cordero than most.
Bearskin Rugburn - March 13, 2009
To be honest I'm still stuck in the '08 Mariners mindset
So I realize that I am way overly enthusiastic about things that to a competently run organization would be relatively routine moves. But after experiencing decision after decision that was just a mind-boggling step backwards over and over and over again I tend to treat any positive step as fucking awesome.
Still we as a fanbase have to learn to be happy about and appreciate these kinds of things too, because it’s a thousand small victories like this one that eventually lead to a ballclub that wins the world series.
OlSalty - March 13, 2009
Chad Cordero was pretty good before the injuries
If you stop being happy about adding potentially good pieces to your team for free, then I don’t know how you survived the past half decade.
Matthew - March 13, 2009
The Sweeney signing was Miguel Cairo/Fernando Vina with a smart front office.
Aardsma, Walker and Cordero are way more important because at least one of them (and possibly two or all three) can be impact players next year. I understand that you think people are too bullish on these moves and to a certain extent you’re probably right, but to call them “not really news” is kind of crazy.
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
The not really news bit
refers to the fact that the FO is willing to sign players recovering from injury to minor league contracts.
Look, if they had signed Julio Mateo instead of Cordero what would people’s reaction be? Cordero is a lot younger and doesn’t have the shitbag thing like Mateo does, but otherwise they’re pretty close to being the same pitcher.
Bearskin Rugburn - March 13, 2009
I would say Cordero is a way better pitcher than Mateo.
Cordero has a career FIP of 4.02, which gets even better when you discount his 2006 season where he basically fell off the earth. Mateo has a career FIP of 4.53, not to mention being a jerk and 5 years older.
Ezzra - March 13, 2009
How are you interpreting the process here?
I guess… Bavasi’s one strength was in building a bullpen on the cheap. Still not quite sure if that was player development or scouting, but there you go – finding people from Sherrill to Sean Green to developing Putz into death on a stick.
The shift here seems to be in getting guys who were hyped prospects and/or have had the all-important ‘closer’ label. A cursory glance at the pattern could be sort of worrying. I’ll admit that Aardsma/Cordero/Walker came cheap, and that there’s some upside here. But I do wonder what people would say if Bavasi had made the same moves… “oh, he just looks at labels.” “All he cares about his ‘veteran grit’ and people who ‘know their roles.’” On paper, without hindsight, is this move (or the Aardsma trade) better or worse than acquiring John Parrish?
It just seems now that people automatically love any move that Z makes, because we instantly see it in the best possible light. Hell, I do it too.
I’m with BR that the odds of Cordero ever being better than the 2008 version of Eddie Guardado are slim. But it’s worth a try, given the cost.
marc w - March 13, 2009
Parrish was acquired for the sole purpose of filling high leverage innings.
The part of the process that excites me is the fact that the Front Office seems acutely aware of the fact that pedestrian relief pitchers sometimes inexplicably turn into total studs seemingly overnight. If you hoard as many high-upside relief pitchers as possible, there’s a very good chance you’re going to hit on at least one of them.
And I’ve said myself many times that Bavasi’s ability to find useful relievers under random stones was quite impressive. If anything he should get more credit for it. But that doesn’t mean I can’t be excited that the new FO seems to have an idea of where good relievers come from and how to put together a ton of high-upside bullpen depth without spending money or losing anything of value.
When the Mariners brought in Zduriencik, I basically hit my brain’s reset button. A lot of people don’t seem to care about the new front office’s approach to bullpen construction because that particular thing was one of the few things Bavasi was any good at. But to me, anything Bavasi did is irrelevant in my assessment of Zduriencik. Everything Zduriencik is good at is cause for celebration regardless of how good Bavasi was at it.
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
So would you be excited if this wasn't Cordero, but rather Joe Schlabotnik from the St. Paul Saints?
Again, I’m not trying to say you shouldn’t like the Cordero signing, I just want to avoid a situation in which literally everything Zduriencik does is most perfect awesome.
You can be excited, and I think it’s a neat little pick-up; at worst, I’ll watch him in Tacoma. I do care about the new FO’s approach to bullpen construction, but I’m not yet certain it’s better. I hope it is, and since Z’s involved, it might be. But I don’t want us to go down the route of targeting ‘big name’ relievers, even if they’re cheap. I want us to get cheap relievers because they’re good. Slightly different, or perhaps no different at all. We shall see.
marc w - March 13, 2009
I don't understand what you're trying to say
You think the Mariners are going to sign players solely on name power?
Or you think we’re incapable of being objective about Zduriencik?
I don’t get it.
JI - March 13, 2009
I think he's saying that we'd respond differently if Bavasi and Zduriencik made the exact same move
Which is probably true.
Jeff Sullivan - March 13, 2009
As much as track record seems to be dismissed with players, an executive's track record definitely effects one's opinion of them more.
At least, that’s what I’ve noticed.
BrettJMiller - March 13, 2009
Sure
The reaction would have been ‘Hey Bavasi is still good at building a bullpen for cheap’ rather than ‘Zduriencik appears to be good at everything hurray’
Graham MacAree - March 13, 2009
Somehow I don't think that would have been the overall consensus reaction
Jeff Sullivan - March 13, 2009
Disagree
JI - March 13, 2009
Look at the poll in the diary
116 yes, 3 no. I highly doubt that Bavasi signing Cordero would’ve led to the same response.
Jeff Sullivan - March 13, 2009
If we had signed Cordero to the same contract a year ago
I don’t see how why we would have been critical of it.
JI - March 13, 2009
More than 3 people would've found a way
Jeff Sullivan - March 13, 2009
Some people are irrational
But pointing out that they’re irrational doesn’t actually help because they are irrational, and I think most people commenting here are being pretty reasonable about how they see the deal
Graham MacAree - March 13, 2009
This is almnost certainly true.
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
My reaction was something like
BILL BAVASI IS A FUCKING MORON JOHN PARRISH MORE LIKE FAG FAGGISH ARGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
OlSalty - March 13, 2009
And...
You’d probably respond differently if I called you a flaming gay then you would if a user with one comment did.
Context is important.
We’d probably respond, “Well at least Bavasi won’t ruin the bullpen, this is a good move.”
JI - March 13, 2009
I agree with you
It’s just something to think about in an effort to keep people from getting irrational.
Jeff Sullivan - March 13, 2009
Considering how heavily the Griffey was panned
and the disagreements it cause I don’t think we’re in danger of that.
And let me also say, I don’t think the pen is going to be awesome, but I think they’re doing a good job under the circumstances.
JI - March 13, 2009
*signing
JI - March 13, 2009
I'm going to start calling him The Griffey.
pdb - March 13, 2009
Like he needs his ego stroked
Jeff Sullivan - March 13, 2009
I used to call Bonds "The Bonds"
from 2002-2004
JI - March 13, 2009
After a bout of dyslexia,
Whenever he screw up, I’m calling him Friggey.
Matthew - March 13, 2009
This gets my 100% support. Nice.
Shawk - March 13, 2009
I think the vast majority of us are smart and objective enough to realize that Zduriencik will do things we don't like.
He hasn’t really done that yet (aside from Fontaine being fired and Griffey, both of which were criticized initially but not that huge of a deal in either case.)
Let us enjoy the honeymoon.
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
We're all enjoying it.
marc w - March 13, 2009
Those are totally different situations.
The reason were excited is that every smart move reinforces our belief that this club is headed in the right direction. After the last 6 years how could we not get excited about that?
JI - March 13, 2009
"After the last 6 years how could we not get excited about that?"
I agree with this, and I hope everyone understands that I’m excited about the team’s direction too. I just think some of the Z appreciation is trending towards the non-falsifiable.
If Bavasi had made the same moves, we would have seen it through the lens of his obsession with veterans and the ‘closer’ role.
marc w - March 13, 2009
I think a few people might have, but I think that most people came around to the idea that Bavasi was really good at building bullpens.
Pretty much any time he acquired a reliever from the scrap heap my reaction was “that probably makes sense.”
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
I am really not seeing the Parrish parallel
Parrish was acquired in the middle of the season for the purpose of patching up our bullpen. He wasn’t acquired on a minor league contract to see if he would work out like Cordero, he was acquired to fill a specific role on the team and to actually play in a bunch of real games in high leverage situations. That involves inherent risk, the Cordero signing is no-risk, where is the comparison here?
OlSalty - March 13, 2009
How about Aardsma then?
My point is this: John Parrish is/was ten times better than Aardsma and Cordero combined. Hyperbolic? Yes, perhaps.
Seriously, Parrish has been worth 1.4 wins since 2004 (according to Fangraphs). Over the same time frame, Aardsma has been worth 1…RUN. Cordero is coming off of basically the worst injury a pitcher can have, and was throwing 83 MPH last year. I LIKE THE PICK UP. I like it, there’s no risk. My question is more about perceived value. We hated the Parrish trade only because it didn’t work. It cost us essentially nothing, and was also basically no-risk – and hey, at least Parrish was able to play baseball at the time.
marc w - March 13, 2009
I hated the Parrish trade because saying "We need a high leverage reliever who's fuckin' BEEN THERE MOTHERFUCKER, you know?"
and then getting John Parrish and handing him a high-leverage role was fucking retarded.
Aardsma is not seen as the solution to our problems. Parrish was.
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
Parrish was a good baseball player, Aardsma never has been
That’s sort of my problem. Obligatory caveat that Aardsma does have a high upside, and it was a low-cost move, etc.
But Parrish wasn’t acquired to take the highest-leverage innings. That was always Putz’s job. He was there to be the second lefty, which is… I don’t know… middle leverage. I don’t know what Aardsma’s role is, but I have to think it’ll be comparable.
marc w - March 13, 2009
Parrish was not a good baseball player
Aardsma has more potential in his right pinky finger’s smallest hair follicle
BrettJMiller - March 13, 2009
As I asked below,
is there any stat you can point to showing this? Or is it based on draft order?
marc w - March 13, 2009
Are those the only two options?
I’m pretty sure that they are not and I’m pretty sure you know that.
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
The third options is making impassioned assertions
about hair follicles.
I’m open to an argument that he’s way better, but no one’s made one.
marc w - March 13, 2009
The scouting consensus seems to be that he has the tools necessary to be a quality reliever.
It’s tough to make a case based on his numbers because the sample sizes are so small.
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
Parrish was being relied upon for the 7th and 8th innings, too.
Along with Rick White
BrettJMiller - March 13, 2009
Parrish made exactly one appearance with the Mariners that had an LI over 0.21
Jeff Sullivan - March 13, 2009
Hm, well then nevermind.
I’m probably just thinking of the innings he came in, not how dire the situation was. Also, I am a bit bias because it felt like he blew it every time.
BrettJMiller - March 13, 2009
But I'm saying the Parrish trade wasn't no-risk at all
There was risk involved because we actually stuck him in the lineup to play real games and pitch real innings without really knowing what we were getting involved in. Whether it worked out in the end or not is kind of inconsequential because Bavasi planned all along to stick him in situations where he could potentially cost the team real runs and real wins. We don’t know yet if that’s the plan with Cordero but it sure doesn’t seem to be the case given his contract. If he works out in what is likely to be a long path back to actually playing in the majors sometime later this year than the risk is significantly less than just thrust Parrish into the middle of a contending season without knowing what we were getting into.
OlSalty - March 13, 2009
Parrish had nearly 200 Major League innings before coming to Seattle
He wasn’t exactly an unknown quantity. And he was only thrust into one important situation, and that was a game we won.
Jeff Sullivan - March 13, 2009
But he hadn't pitched at all in '06, so in that respect he was an unknown quantity in '07
I don’t have access to leverage indexes so I’ll take your word for it, I just had to go off my memory of the season and my memory was being very pissed off every time I saw him come in.
OlSalty - March 13, 2009
He played in 8 games
and most of those we got our nuts kicked in.
JI - March 13, 2009
Nobody acted rationally when it came to Parrish or Rick White
The fact of the matter is that Parrish didn’t make a difference. White sucked a lot, but then so did the entire team by the time he came around.
Jeff Sullivan - March 13, 2009
It was also in the middle of a pennant race
and it’s not like Parrish was working his way up from Tacoma. That’s why the situations are different.
JI - March 13, 2009
There's definitely reason to be a little mad at White
At least he pitched in a few situations that mattered.
Jeff Sullivan - March 13, 2009
If Zduriencik made a similar move
hell, if Zduriencik re-acquires Parrish himself in a pennant race, everyone will point to his stats to argue that it’s a great low-cost, medium-reward move. An undervalued guy whose results haven’t caught up with his peripherals, etc.
marc w - March 13, 2009
Depends on how they plan to use him.
Zduriencik has earned the benefit of the doubt so far.
JI - March 13, 2009
I do want to add
That I was originally okay with acquiring John Parrish. I figured if he was used to mop up innings and preserve the bullpen regulars (who were dangerously being overworked) that we’d be better off for it.
And it seemed like that’s what he was doing until he came in to one game (featuring Felix vs. Johan Santana no-less) with a 3-1 lead. Suddenly, it was 3-3. That was basically the end of Parrish’s tenure with Seattle.
Getting John Parrish himself wasn’t a bad move as much as the context in which he was acquired. He was brought in to be a veteran presence in the bullpen and to work high-leverage situations.
Same with Rick White, except add “playoff experience”.
ThundaPC - March 13, 2009
This was essentially my train of thought as well.
However, it doesn’t mean it wasn’t a bad, desperate move. We were counting on Parrish to be something he wasn’t, even if he didn’t pitch in high LI situations.
BrettJMiller - March 13, 2009
I remember a LL night at the Safe...
…and the “WTF? Why is Parrish wearing Moyer’s number???”
PositivePaul - March 13, 2009
You mean Jason Davis
BrettJMiller - March 14, 2009
JA-SON DA-VIS! CLAP CLAP CLAP CLAP CLAP!
Goose - March 14, 2009
Ok that convinced me that LL night needs to happen again
BrettJMiller - March 14, 2009
And wow, how could I forget the main reason these guys were acquired?
……
THEY’VE BEEN THROUGH WARS!
ThundaPC - March 13, 2009
It doesn't matter what they did in since 2004, it only matters what they do now.
Also, that’s cherry picking, Aardsma pitched 10 innings in 2004.
Aardsma has better stuff, for sure. Cordero won’t be his 2005 monster self, but seriously, to call John freaking Parrish better than Aardsma or Cordero? Maybe, but I don’t think you’ll find too many scouts or statisticians agreeing with that,
BrettJMiller - March 13, 2009
Pick literally any combination of years you want.
last year, Parrish was worth 0.3 wins to Aardsma’s 0.1. Aardsma’s best year (2007), was the year Parrish was with the O’s and M’s… and they still tied.
At the time of acquisition, Parrish was better in win value, swstr, kSw, GB%.
Seriously, on what basis do you say that Aarsdma’s better outside of fastball velocity?
marc w - March 13, 2009
I agree. I never liked John Parrish, but he has played better in his career than Aardsma.
Aardsma have more potential, sure, but he hasn’t shown himself capable of harnessing that potential yet. Maybe in the future he will, but as of now Parrish is better.
Ezzra - March 13, 2009
My problem with Parrish is that I had no hope he was going to be anything great on the mound.
He may have got the job done, but I never felt comfortable when he was in the game.
Wilder. - March 13, 2009
I'm pretty sure most closers are flyball prone.
It’s the result of being high-K pitchers, which most of them are.
Matthew - March 13, 2009
It does seem like we're making too much of a big deal about every single one of Z's moves.
The only one I can recall that didn’t get front page billing was the signing of Jason Phillips to a minor league contract.
HARRYP09 - March 13, 2009
My reaction was 'meh'.
It’s still Spring training and I look at moves like this as an opportunity to give a player his last shot at a career. Happens in every organization.
So I agree, I just don’t see the praise justification when it’s not something the team is seriously counting on. If Cordero happens to join the club at some point this season and is successful, then is the time to look back and give credit to GMZ for being the guy to give Cordero his opportunity.
Wilder. - March 13, 2009
So, results-based analysis then?
Graham MacAree - March 13, 2009
Certainly for people who favor results over processes, Z's reign hasn't produced a ton.
Admittedly, he hasn’t really had a chance to show what the team he’s built can do in the regular season, but so far the only improvements over Bavasi that I have seen are:
a) Better return on trades
b) Not over-valuing free agents
It is entirely possible that b) was out of his hands by the limited payroll this year, but I can give him the benefit of the doubt.
As far as all these minor-league invitations, however, I don’t see them as that great of an improvement over Bavasi. He signed Roy Corcoran to a minor league contract and no-one even noticed, as far as I can tell from the search of LL and USSM (feel free to prove me wrong), but Z gets front page articles every time he offers a contract to Shelton or Sweeney or Cordero. I feel like if Bavasi wouldn’t have gotten nearly as much credit for doing many of the same things Z is doing. Signing marginal players and bench bats won’t get me in a tizzy until we’re at the cusp of playoff contention anyway.
HARRYP09 - March 13, 2009
To be honest, I'm not really concerned about what people who favor results over processes think.
Other improvements over Bavasi:
Keep in mind that part of the reason this stuff is getting front page articles is because nothing else is going on right now. Corcoran was signed right after the end of the 2007 season. That’s a lot different. Also keep in mind that the difference between Corcoran and Sweeney, Shelton and Cordero have some name recognition. People know who they are. No one knew who the hell Roy Corcoran was when he was signed.
Lastly, of course Zduriencik gets more credit than Bavasi; Bavasi did 90% of everything wrong. When you have a track record of being bad, people are correct to assume what you’re doing is bad. Zduriencik doesn’t have much of a track record, but what he’s done to this point has been overwhelmingly positive.
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
Those are two pretty significant improvements.
Teej - March 13, 2009
True, but they have nothing to do with being exuberant over signing Chad Cordero.
HARRYP09 - March 13, 2009
Why are we criticizing people for being too happy over a signing?
Does over excitement irritate people?
Matthew - March 13, 2009
Apparently I should stop posting things when they happen
Graham MacAree - March 13, 2009
Apparently it does
OlSalty - March 13, 2009
This, too.
God forbid we actually find some enjoyment and confidence in an organization to which we dedicate so much time and emotion. It’s hard to break the “We’re doomed, God hates us” mentality, but I’m not going to criticize those who can.
Teej - March 13, 2009
I'm not sure why, but Jeff's "Mariners win the World Series" set of posts kind of rubs me the wrong way.
Who knows, maybe I’m not used to being a fan of a well-run team, but that sort of thing seems insanely premature, even to joke about.
HARRYP09 - March 13, 2009
At the risk of sounding like kind of a jerk, I think you completely and totally missed the point of those posts.
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
The point of those posts was to leave us all horribly depressed
Graham MacAree - March 13, 2009
I took them to mean that winning a World Series is awesome, but eventually everything goes back to normal.
Love baseball for baseball’s sake.
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
Except so far, judging by the comments, no-one has gone back to normal in those threads.
HARRYP09 - March 13, 2009
Did you read the last one?
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
Yes, and I also read the comments.
and the enormously long one at the bottom. Not exactly back to normal.
HARRYP09 - March 13, 2009
Yes, my guess would be those people don't know what they're talking about
Jeff’s day 100 post was spot on the mark.
JI - March 13, 2009
If your problems is with Jeff's posts, qouting a comment does nothing for your case.
Especially if that comment appears to be in jest.
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
Like I said, I'm not sure.
I’m not arguing that he should stop making those posts. They just bug me somehow, but I can live with that.
HARRYP09 - March 13, 2009
Thank goodness someone got it
Jeff Sullivan - March 14, 2009
I could have told you that without a 10,000 word dissertation.
JI - March 15, 2009
I, too, was trying to say that in a way that didn't sound dickish.
So thanks.
Teej - March 13, 2009
I don't think that Jeff intended to imply that we would win the World Series this year at all with those posts
OlSalty - March 13, 2009
I don't think so either. I just don't know why, but they bug me, and I can't explain it.
HARRYP09 - March 13, 2009
Which you're taking out on a fairly unexcited post about Chad Cordero?
Graham MacAree - March 13, 2009
My initial posts were in response to the poll in the Fanpost, which was insanely optimistic. Then I got side-tracked because I don't want to keep writing an essay.
HARRYP09 - March 13, 2009
Disliking the signing is irrational; which the poll shows
If the poll had been ‘do you think Chad Cordero will contribute to the Mariners’ there would have been a totally different result.
Graham MacAree - March 13, 2009
I never said I disliked the signing. I'm just not orgasming with joy at the though of Cordero in a Mariners uniform.
To me it’s just a standard move that any GM would do.
HARRYP09 - March 13, 2009
You're completely missing the point.
JI - March 13, 2009
Is the point that it exhibits an excellent GM thought process?
HARRYP09 - March 13, 2009
Which therefore means it's not a standard move than any GM would do.
JI - March 13, 2009
Texas made an offer for him too. I'm not sure any of us would call Jon Daniels an excellent GM.
HARRYP09 - March 13, 2009
Again, you're missing the point.
Were not excited because of this one move, we’re excited because of the dozens of excellent moves. Every good move (coupled with the near complete lack of bad ones) reinforces our belief that the men upstairs know what they’re doing.
JI - March 13, 2009
No, but I'd give him credit
Just like I thought Andruw Jones was an excellent pick up
JI - March 13, 2009
But the poll was asking specifically "Do you like the Cordero signing?"
3 people replied “no”, those 3 people are wrong, because there’s nothing to not like about a free signing with some upside. You don’t have to be crazy about it but if you think it’s a bad signing you’re just wrong. And now we’ve come full circle to the original context of the whole thread.
OlSalty - March 13, 2009
"My initial posts were in response to the poll in the Fanpost, which was insanely optimistic"
Graham MacAree - March 13, 2009
`
You:
“My initial posts were in response to the poll in the Fanpost, which was insanely optimistic.”
“I never said I disliked the signing.”
Poll:
“Do you like this signing?”
Matthew - March 13, 2009
I would have voted "No Comment"
It’s not something I like or dislike. Odds are low that he makes a significant contribution for the Mariners. It would be like being excited when P. signed Randy Messenger last year.
HARRYP09 - March 13, 2009
But nobody was fucking talking about the people who voted no comment
GOD
OlSalty - March 13, 2009
You're missing the point of my reply to Matthew
His comment implied to me that my comment about the poll meant that I hated the signing.
HARRYP09 - March 13, 2009
No, it doesn't.
Matthew - March 13, 2009
Maybe let it die now?
pdb - March 13, 2009
Most people don't take 'Like' to mean 'Will Cordero be useful'
I certainly like the signing but don’t actually expect him to ever be worthwhile again.
Graham MacAree - March 13, 2009
Low-risk, high-reward maneuvers are not something any GM would do
See: our previous administration.
It’s about getting to that point, and perhaps beyond that – and every single movement in that direction should be celebrated. Period.
cwel87 - March 13, 2009
Wow.
Matthew - March 13, 2009
Did you hear that the mariners signed Derek Lowe?
JI - March 13, 2009
Last time I trust this site...
I don’t see the point of this site if you’re reporting fake news. I’ve been telling my friends about Lookout Landing for some time now. I ended up telling my friends you guys had the scoop on Lowe to Seattle – now they’re like, "you idiot – what are you getting your news from there for? No thanks!"
I’m taking this place off my bookmarks.
Fool me once…
Neo Graham - March 13, 2009
THAT'S IT I'M UNSUBSCRIBING RIGHT NOW
WHO’S WITH ME!!!!!
pdb - March 13, 2009
I hear the Seahawks won Superbowl XL in your universe
Graham MacAree - March 13, 2009
They also won it in yours.
Neo Graham - March 13, 2009
efsljkladfsjklfadsk;l
Robert - March 13, 2009
Why does this comment need the Neo Graham handle?
JI - March 13, 2009
Meta alts are hilarious?
Aaron Campeau - March 13, 2009
Graham didn't even make that comment.
JI - March 13, 2009
The signing of Chad Cordero is indicative of a big improvement in the processes.
That’s why people find it exciting.
Teej - March 13, 2009
Oh wow, didn't realize this was going to turn into a wild subthread.
I was not criticizing the move or the front page post. I was just saying there’s no reason to get too excited about this (not that you did because you didn’t). I guess maybe I am eager for the season and my first reaction when I saw the news on the acquisition was ‘meh’.
Wilder. - March 13, 2009
The M's are going to be a lot more engaging (for me) this season, because of all the different levels involved.
The team on the field of course, but for the first time in a long time- maybe ever- the off field moves are something I’m following much more closely. The stats give a much clearer picture of the players than during previous regimes, the new FO seems much more adept at making them. I’m probably like a lot of people, Zduriencik hasn’t stepped on his crank yet, he’s surrounded himself with some really intelligent people, he just seems to be playing every level of the game, so I’m probably projecting quite a bit. If that’s the proper phrase.
Just a lot of years of one dimensional thinking has put me in a position to really want to jump on this guys bandwagon, I was fully expecting a new GM chasing big name players, spinning the usual cliches and rhetoric, so far his approach is a breath of fresh air. I’m really looking forward to his first draft, and the point in time when his minor league system starts contributing to the team. Like you say eager for the season, good times eh.
Kermit. - March 14, 2009
I just voted no to be contrary.
Actually, I had completely forgotten that Cordero was hurt and freaked out when I saw the signing scrolling at the bottom of the GAME last night.
hcoguy - March 13, 2009
I'll go ahead and say it.
You know what, I don’t mind making a bigger deal of these types of signings than during the time Bavasi made them. The process behind these signings are completely different.
Chad Cordero may ultimately turn out to be nothing, but when I see a signing like this these days it’s followed by a TALENT-based reason as to why the player was signed. In other words, in this case, Zduriencik says “We are going to take it one step at a time, but we are optimistic that Chad can help us this season. Chad has been a quality Major League closer and we look forward to his contributions to our ballclub in 2009.” It’s been like that with most of Z’s moves in the offseason. That’s what makes me excited.
In contrast, if Bavasi makes these kind of moves and the player just happens to be a veteran, we don’t hear the end of how the player is experienced and has a good track-record. Potential decline? No, don’t be silly. His career numbers mean that he’ll clearly be a helpful addition to the team.
Yea, so I’ll be more excited for minor moves than I used to be….and it’s going to be that way for a while.
ThundaPC - March 13, 2009
I'll stay out of the above subthread, but WHY/HOW is this a different process?
Sorry if this is belaboring the point, but at this point if Z used the phrase “Been through the wars” after a signing, we’d all fall over each other saying that it proves that Z understands which wars are important, unlike Bavasi. Every GM signs a couple of intriguing-but-injured players; everyone gets an ex-star or two on a minor league deal. Bavasi did it with Matt Lawton, Dan Reichert, Roberto Petagine, Jamey Wright and plenty of others. None of them worked out (though obviously he did well with nobodies like Corcoran).
I think there’s a really interesting discussion about exactly where and how Z’s process differs from Bavasi’s, but mostly people talk about what Bavasi said in press conferences or how acquisitions may or may not have been used. I’m not asking anyone to be upset about this, or to NOT be excited about Zduriencik. I’M excited about Z. I just don’t see how this is different to similar moves this club made in the past – which is neither good or bad.
marc w - March 14, 2009
This is how I see it;
Bavasi put together solid bullpens, but there was never a whole lot of depth and he was inherently untrustful of young/unproven players. So when someone got hurt or someone struggled, it was necessary to go outside of the organization to acquire talent. Because the Mariners lucked into contention a time or two, he sometimes abandoned his better instincts and looked for the wrong things.
Zduriencik’s process differs because he seems to know the importance of organizational bullpen depth. Instead of making nifty pickups here and there, he’s making a lot of them, and he’s targeting guys with tons of upside. They’re risky, sure, but if he hits on just one of them he’s got a super valuable player for nothing. Sean Green and Roy Corcoran are neat and useful, but neither one of them is likely to turn into J.J. Putz.
Also, to piggyback on what Graham said; it would be reasonable to expect a dropoff in the ability to build a bullpen when going from Bavasi to Zduriencik. It doesn’t appear as though there is. The more things the organization does well, the greater the importance of each thing they do well. When Bavasi put together a team with mediocre starting pitching, mediocre defense and a mediocre offense, a good bullpen wasn’t really all that big of a deal. If our initial impressions of Zduriencik are correct, and he’s able to (eventually) put together a team with solid starting pitching, solid defense and a solid lineup, having a good bullpen becomes much more important.
Aaron Campeau - March 14, 2009
Awesome comment, Campeau
Thanks. The last point is especially interesting; hadn’t thought of it like that.
marc w - March 15, 2009
I highly contend this.
I think you are over reaching your point.
Matthew - March 14, 2009
If Z said he made a signing because they'd "Been through the wars"
I sure as hell wouldn’t applaud him for it if it didn’t also make real baseball sense. Especially not if he signed that player to a multi-year major league contract for way more than they are actually worth. But Z hasn’t done that, Bavasi did it multiple times which is what made it so infuriating, so there’s really no comparing the two unless Z starts making those kinds of stupid signings (and there’s no reason to think from what we’ve seen from him so far that that is his philosophy for success).
OlSalty - March 14, 2009
I'm not sure what I'm missing to be honest.
I think the process is clearly different. You might as well say “if Z valued veterans and track-record as much as Bavasi did we’d be praising him” which I’m not buying.
For comparison sake, I decided to look up whatever I could find on Arthur Rhodes’s 2008 minor-league contract signing which actually worked out well. Rhodes was coming off Tommy John surgery the year before and was valuable enough to trade for an arm (Gaby Hernandez).
“Arthur Rhodes is coming to camp with a terrific opportunity to make this team,” Seattle general manager Bill Bavasi said. “He is a veteran left- handed pitcher with a lot of late-inning experience who could possibly be a factor in the back end of our bullpen.”
The funny thing is this is the only quote that I can find from Bavasi when he signed Rhodes to a minor-league deal….in 2007, the year he went to the DL. Bavasi went into his own dumpster and plucked Rhodes from the scrap heap in 2008.
And for what? I don’t recall seeing a talent related reason for sticking with Rhodes. Veteran experience and nostalgia is all I can come up with. Not like Chad Cordero, who while he does have a track record, who was signed because Zduriencik’s scouts like the progress he’s making while coming back from an injury (and he’s still young at 27). All indications I’ve seen has them being interested in his skill-set.
Here’s another signing by Bavasi that was a tad less than stellar:
“Miguel strengthens our bench by giving us another player, along with Willie Bloomquist, who can cover all four infield spots and, in a pinch, the corners of the outfield,” Bavasi said. “This should allow Mac more flexibility to use Miguel or Willie earlier in a game, if he wants, and still be covered late.”
Skillset? Naw….let just get two Willie Bloomquists for flexibility.
I can’t see how these AREN’T different? I really can’t.
ThundaPC - March 15, 2009
PERFECT example
Rhodes was a talented pitcher, coming off an injury, and signed to a minor league contract. We eventually turned him into a prospect. It’s the same thing. I have no idea what Bavasi said in a press conference – whether he referred to talent or experience or whatever. That’s pretty irrelevant. What I can see is that Rhodes was coming off a 2006 season in which his velo was down, but not extraordinarily so – he was at 91.5. He had a FIP below 4.0 and was still striking out more than a man an inning. I don’t care if Bavasi said he picked him because he thought he had a well-chiseled face. Rhodes was a talented pitcher acquired on a minor league deal.
Bavasi was unquestionably a terrible talent judge at the major league level, and it’s highly probably that his underlings made the Rhodes pick-up, but it’s weird to see that move used as an example of Bavasi’s mistakes.
marc w - March 15, 2009
Who's using Rhodes as an example of one Bavasi's mistakes?
ThundaPC - March 15, 2009
I hate baseball
This signing is going to tear the Mariners apart!!!
Woodinville_12thMan - March 14, 2009
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