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Lookout Landing

Our Most Embarrassing Characteristic in 4119 Words

(What, you thought I was going to focus on the positives?)

Beltrewhiff_medium

Beltrego_medium

Beltreflyout_medium

Yunisf_medium

I know that Yuni generated a decent outcome out of that at bat, but positive reinforcement of this sort of behavior is the last thing he needs. If he knew how to identify balls and strikes, he could've given himself an opportunity to do something even better.

Meanwhile, when Adrian Beltre sees a shooting star, I imagine he wishes nothing but pain and grave misfortune upon the creator of Enhanced Gameday.

Remember when I said this team is way worse to watch on Gameday than it is on TV? That's because, while they can look bad on TV, Gameday makes them look like a bunch of damn idiots.

0 recs  |  136 comments

Comments

That correctly captures Yuni and Beltre.

You can see it on TV but it’s much more pronounced on Gameday. Why can’t they see it? I can’t imagine that they haven’t. This is their job, their career, this is what pays the rent. Surely they have seen it. Why can’t they make the adjustments that are necessary to improve their at bats? Both look absolutely goofy. They cannot want to look like that. What are they thinking?

I can't speak to Beltre

but with Yuni, as long as he makes contact, he considers it a win. He doesn’t care where the ball is thrown. He thinks his goal is to hit it.

I'm a little confused.

We both have real jobs. We want to do the best we can at our jobs. He’s got a job. He and Beltre (I must include Beltre in this) must want to be the best that they can be at their jobs. Contact isn’t good enough if you are a professional baseball player. Even though old fashioned statistics like batting average count contact, newer metrics count things that make much more sense. You have to be productive. The contact only counts if you get on base or move the runner along; the newer metrics count when the batter is actually productive to helping their team win. Why can’t they see that any time they get on base is worth more than any time they merely make contact, and erase the runner currently on base, or just replace him? Maybe I’ll complain about walks next.

Yuni's been developed in a coaching culture that valued contact over everything else

breaking into the big leagues with the Bavasi Mariners didn’t help anything. At this point Wakamatsu & co. are telling him stuff he’s pretty much never heard before, and that makes it a long shot that anything’s going to change.

Beltre’s just in a slump. He’s always been a bit of a hacker, but he looks to be trying too hard to make something happen.

That seems to be the general consensus, that Beltre is trying too hard

whether it is coming back from the injuries, the lack of offense from anyone else, the contract year, all of the above …

My unsubstantiated hunch:

A lot of players have coaches throughout their development that teach them these things. For example, when I played in high school, my friend’s dad wasn’t a coach but was an active team booster. He told us that striking out was preferable to walking, because there’s no honor in walking. It was the pussy way out.

Also a hunch: I think this is particularly prevalent in Latin America. As they say, “you can’t walk off the island.”

I can hear both of you. But that doesn't change what I hope the current coaches are saying.

A walk is a good as a run, it will always be a good as a run. Are you guys telling me that Yuni (and I’ll stick with Yuni for this) doesn’t want or feel the need to be the best he can be? He could make millions of dollars. He has the potential to be a very good SS and a very good MLB hitter. Does that not matter to him?

You're talking about Yuni completely changing his approach as a hitter.

That just doesn’t happen with players at this level. They can improve, but Yuni is never going to be anything close to patient. It’s who he is.

A player’s approach at the plate develops fairly early on and is based on a ton of different factors. Coaching and improved pitch recognition are parts of it, but for the most part plate discipline is something you’re born with (so to speak) rather than a skill a hitter can learn.

And really, I think the problem with Yuni is that he thinks he is as good as he can be; if I may be a bit more pessimistic, I think it’s entirely likely that this is as good as he can be. Lots of players with all the physical ability in the world never amount to squat, while other players with more pedestrian (in context) physical abilities become productive players. It’s not 100% physical ability.

This is like the third time tonight someone has beat me to my point by 30 seconds.
This is like the 3rd time someone has beaten Teej to his point by like 30 seconds.
I tried to help you win one, but I screwed up the reply.
OK now I get it!
I'm assuming you mean a walk is as good as a HIT, not a run, right?

That said, it’s not. A hit is more valuable than a walk because it can drive in runners and lead to errors.

To your bigger point, I don’t know. Yuni might know deep down that getting on base is more important than making contact. But I think that when you’re in the box, you do what you’re used to doing. Hitting is a reactionary skill. I’m not sure how much coaching can change that. That’s why I have zero hope for Yuni improving his plate discipline. He is what he is.

Yes, I meant a walk is a good as a hit.

I admit, I’ve never played this game at any upper level and I don’t now how much a coach’s influence can affect performance. It just seems to me, and I may be completely wrong, that when you get to this level you should be looking at your immediate coach for guidance. You aren’t in American Legion League anymore. This is real and they are paying the rent. Your at bats are recorded on Gameday. Don’t swing at ball 2 or 3 or 4. This is where you make your money.

Right but it's easier said than done.
I understand what you're saying, but I just don't think it's true.

Yes, they are the best of the best, but by the time they reach the majors, they’re pretty much set in their ways. There are exceptions, of course, but for the most part, it’s hard to change years and years of ingrained habit.

Thank you.

This is hard to believe, but it makes some sense and you’re having a rough night here, so I’ll go with it.

(But why in world wouldn’t someone adapt to what obviously calls for a change of direction on their part)?

Because they can't.

Seriously. It’s not possible. Hitting is reaction. A hitter’s plate approach is innate by the time they reach the majors.

I think it might be possible for some hitters, but it's very rare.
I think minute improvements are possible, but a hacker is never going to start drawing walks like crazy.
With you there.
Jim Edmonds went from being somewhat of a hacker to being one of the most patient hitters in all of baseball once he reached his 30s

but that’s the only case I can think of.

Jose Cruz Jr. kind of learned a little
True, if he'd be a 80-100 walk guy back when he could hit he would have been a star.
It took A-Rod two or three years in the majors to learn how to draw a walk.

And he never became a league-leadng walker until about year 2000, but that’s a pretty natural development when someone is that great of a threat at the plate. I’m sure there’s a good deal more examples, but ac and teej’s points still hold true for most players.

There's a difference between young players adjusting to the majors and normal aging curves

and hitters that are inherently impatient becoming patient.

Sure. I was just throwing that out off the top of my head.
I was agreeing with him, and what ac said

there’s something different when a 24 year old starts to take some walks, and when a player over 30 does.

Ok, that makes sense.

I’m totally inexperienced here, but I believe you and your answer works for me.

I don't know if "can't" is the right word.

But the effort it would take to work on it is not something that most players/teams are willing to commit to, especially since its success is a huge question mark.

I'm having a great night.

M’s win, Dexter, MLB 09: The Show, got my laundry done, tomorrow’s payday!

Have a great day!!!
To add one other thought here

it’s all about muscle memory. To change direction requires reprogramming that muscle memory — and the longer you’ve been doing things the same way, the more deeply embedded that muscle memory is, and the harder it is to change.

Many baseball players are raging idiots.

For many, their talent has nothing to do with intelligence. As a result, you get the Port-O-Let cleaners in the exact same league making the exact same money as players that could have been CEOs, and everything in between. You’re trusting a profoundly stupid person that just happens to have an athletic talent to do the thinking part of the job correctly, or to understand the basic principles required to complete that job, and that is where your error lies. The retarded dog at the dog park doesn’t think it is retarded.

Also, and more accurately, the comments above.

Wow! What a complete shame. I guess I am ignorant and wasn't expecting that.

I always thought that since only a select few (relatively speaking) would ever make it to the big leagues, they would be the best of the best. You are probably right that a couple of total slackers would make it and be better in their positions than anyone else in their postions.

Teej and Jeff are more accurate in their explanation.

I am just also pointing out that you can have a sub-70 IQ and possibly still play baseball well. And since they are paid the same as any other player of similar skill, regardless of the other players’ intelligence, they can continue to play without realizing that without baseball they’d be in a home getting spoon-fed bagels.

I'm pretty sure a clinically retarded person wouldn't be very good at baseball.
Seems to be true!

Seeing this gives me a smile.
I've never noticed that Wlad and Felix have the exact same reaction

and I only just now noticed that Felix isn’t the one clapping.

Cedeno.
He's a little tortuga.
I wanna know what Felix is doing at the end.
A new day, a new way...

The 09 Mariners make their way to their next series:

Rube Waddell's in the Hall of Fame.
Yeah but everyone was retarded in those days.
It's not really that though.

Some people aren’t that smart, but they have other abilities that allow them to succeed in life. Stupid people can’t help being stupid.

If You Think Adrian Beltre is Bad And/Or Overrated

I’m afraid you might be correct

When Adrian Beltre sees a shooting star, I bet he throws his bat at it.
And then appeals to the Hubble.
When I read the first part of the sentence, that's exactly where I thought Jeff was going with it.
I'm so unpredictable
Not to kiss too much ass, but you really are.
I prefer to think of it as you only being traditionally witty by accident
I was disappointed he did not.
I'm pretty sure it's the team itself that looks like idiots.
We root for these bilewagons.
I certainly don't.
Gameday just takes all the guessing out of it
If it weren't for gameday, and thus, records on pitches

We’d all probably love Felix.

Deep down in my heart, I want to believe that PITCH/fx is massively flawed.
Knowledge is a burden on us and on others
We should have stopped with the discovery of fire.
Quick! To the timemobile!
HOW CAN YOU AFFORD THESE THINGS?
It's just a cardboard box
As inept as this year's offense is.

At least the team isn’t starting Jose Vidro at DH and Miguel Cairo at 1st base this year.

2009 Mariners wOBA*: .311

2008 Mariners wOBA^: .325

I'm assuming the carrot gives you a massively inflated number.

(carat?)

I tried to preempt SBN and I failed by overthinking.
Caret
I can't believe I'm paid to know words.
Still!
Perhaps not for long!
192 people just got laid off and I wasn't on the list!
I was on a jury with one of those 192
I hope the defendant wasn't a newspaper publisher.
Mexicans don't publish newspapers
What about in Mexico?
Those are periodicos.
A Mexican owns The New York Times.
The New York Times is a publicly traded company so in a sense you're probably right.
No, not in a sense

Carlos Slim bought a whacking great chunk of the NYT a while back on utterly ridiculous terms (in his favor); they needed a huge cash infusion to stay afloat.

I am aware of this. He owns something like 6.5% of Times stock.

There is a rumor that he is interested in purchasing the Times outright, but at this point it remains just that. 6.5% does not make him the owner.

A Mexican owns a little less than 7% of The New York Times.

A big chunk for sure, but it’s still the Sulzbergers’ paper.

In your defense what the fuck is a caret
Latin for 'there's something missing here'
Something to do with diamonds
Aww man.

So Beltre and Lopez not hitting along with Ibanez being gone really hurts the team. And what hurts even more is that Raul is tied for the league lead in home runs this year.

At the plate.
I realize this.

I know that basically the improved OF defense almost evens things out. Isn’t there a possibility that Ibanez would’ve been DH this year had he stayed?

He didn't want to.
Had he stayed? Possible.

Ibanez staying would have been stupid though. Incredibly stupid.

Jamie Moyer has a better wOBA than the Seattle Mariners.
Nyjer Morgan has a higher UZR than the Mariners
Nyjer Morgan is a good defender.

I find that fact far less impressive. A team UZR of 12.5 would be fantastic.

I love you.
Are we at Costco?
2004 Mariners wOBA*: .336!
Steroids!
Our 2003 team wOBA* was .347 (above average)

and that group of positions players saved about 105 runs on defense.

I miss being good :(
I wish I was a fan when they were good. :(
I pretty much ignored the Mariners from 2000 to 2004, so I really have no recollection of being good.
Our 2009 bullpen has one of the best late inning ERAs in baseball and one of the worst tRAs!
Sustainable!
Tradeable?
Had a guy ask me about Aardsma yesterday

Him and Batista could very easily be shipped out of here pretty fast, along with guys like Johnson and Cordero if they ever show up. Just don’t expect much of a return.

Fabian Williamson?
That would be a SWEET haul
Johnson's basically ready

but I’d imagine his value hasn’t quite recovered from the whole missed-a-year-rehabbing thing.

I’d hope we could get ~ what we got for Arthur Rhodes or Ron Villone (I’d love better results, but that’s the level of return I’d exepct/hope for).

Whatever man

prospects for nothing and chicks for free. If we can keep turning scrap heap rehab project relievers into upper minors starting pitching the organization is going to be in good shape in no time.

I can see the Mariners as a top 5 system in 2010
Considering all the trade pieces we have now and Z's ability to evaluate talent I would be surprised if we weren't
It's really up to the player development staff

I’d really love to know more about what they do and how their methods/approach differ from their predecessors.

Sounds like someone should've come to the Q&A in January
You can tell someone to swing less, but you can't tell them to recognize strikes from balls better at this point in their career

Yuni might draw a few more walks just by swinging less, and maybe he’ll see some better pitches for a while when pitchers see that he’s not getting himself out on balls as often, but he won’t swing at those either because his pitch recognition is awful and he’s basically just not swinging at anything to try to overcompensate for the massive flaw in his game. Just telling him not to swing at crappy pitches won’t help until he learns to identify what is a crappy pitch and what is a good pitch to hit, which personally I don’t think he will because he is a retarded latin monkey.

Friendly Poster from VEB just asking you guys something

We have a situation in St Louis in need of a 3B, most likely for the rest of the year. What do you think that Mo would have to offer in order to get Beltre, if we paid him the rest of his money?

Allen Craig (3B prospect) and PJ Walters (RHP prospect with great K numbers)?

I don't think the M's would do that

Hey there Friendly Poster. My humble opinion:

According to Baseball America, neither Craig nor Walters is amongst the Cards’ top 10 prospects. Not saying BA is the ultimate authority, but I think it’d take at least one top-5 or 6 prospect in someone’s organization to get Beltre. Absent getting at least one legit prospect, the M’s would be better served keeping Beltre and hoping he got his numbers back to normal by the end of the season and got his Type A status back (which would give them two draft picks far more valuable than Craig and Walters).

The M’s are most likely going to value the “if we paid him the rest of his money” at about zero. The M’s aren’t hurting for money. They aren’t flush with it right now due to a near-empty Safeco, but this isn’t the Nationals or Pirates.

Just my $.02 – I don’t speak for anyone else. Perhaps some of the other folks around here disagree with me.

Ideally, we'd get a lefty infield prospect - GMZ's desperate for those.

Someone along the lines of Nick Noonan or Conor Gillaspie in SF. I think one of those guys (a solid B level prospect) would be a fair core of the deal for Beltre. I don’t know the Cards system as well, so I don’t know if you guys have someone similar.

You know what Zduriencik is desperate for?
Sorry, that was sloppy of me. Zduriencik should be desperate for that - I have no entry on his mind.
You did not use 4119 words in this article
Your neck muscles must be very strong.
This is incorrect
A picture is worth 1,000 words.
NOT IN THIS ECONOMY
Actually, in this economy, it's probably worth more

since words aren’t scarce by any means.

This is an excellent

You are absolutely

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