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Series Preview: Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners

Seattle: 42-39
Baltimore: 36-46

SUMMARY

MARINERS ORIOLES
EDGE
HITTING (wOBA)
-48.2 (28th)
-4.4 (19th) BAL
FIELDING (UZR)
26.8 (4th)
-20.6 (22nd) SEA
ROTATION (pRAA)
3.8 (13th) -8.4 (19th) SEA
BULLPEN (pRAA)
-15.1 (28th) -8.6 (22nd) BAL
OVERALL(RAA)
-32.7 -42.0 Seattle







We won the series against Boston but did not exactly do it in convincing fashion. Yeah, those wins count and just not getting destroyed is a positive, but the 5-4 road trip is also not as promising sign as some would like to make it and furthermore, it is over. The Mariners close out the first half with seven games at home, three here and then four with Texas in town. We are 4-2 against Baltimore so far this season but 0-5 against Texas, a team we play 14 more games against and a team we are behind but should not be.

Notably, I am concerned about the starting rotation trending toward average. We need them to start heading back toward a top ten unit. Getting Bedard back and healthy would go a long way toward that goal.

GAMES

Game 1: Jarrod Washburn* vs. Brad Bergesen
Game 2: Erik Bedard*! vs. Jeremy Guthrie
Game 3: Jason Vargas* vs. David Hernandez

Boy, I sure hope the Orioles are not a team that destroys left-handers or anything. I am off to check Baseball-Reference to find out. Hold on... Almost there...  Hmm... Huff, Scott and Markakis are all left-handed. Wait, I feel like I looked at this last time we played Baltimore at home. Oh hey, we actually threw these exact three pitchers against them! Well at least we do not have to see Rich Hill this time. God, that sucked.

On the other hand, we get to face Bergesen for the third time! Over his last two starts he has totaled 15 innings, nine strikeouts, three walks, one home run and 32 ground balls against just 13 fly balls and six line drives. He also missed 20 bats in 202 pitches. Eep.

Jose Lopez hit two home runs against Jeremy Guthrie during his start on the 10th of June. That would be pleasing to see again, but really we are watching for Erik Bedard in this one.

David Hernandez is a 24-year-old right hander who has worked his way up a level each year. Running great strikeout rates coupled with walk rates ranging from solid to fabulous in the minors, Hernandez has struggled with batted balls so far in the Majors. We demolished him back in June on the strength of fly balls and line drives turning into hits.

Matt Wieters is up to a .770 OPS. Adam Jones is an All-Star. Let us just get that out of the way now.

Star-divide

THIS SERIES BROUGHT TO YOU BY:

Independence Hop Ale
Rogue Ales. Newport, OR

An APA, always refreshing in these warm summer months and with a nice tie-in name. This brew came with an astringent and juniper hoppy nose but a refreshing malty and hop taste

1 recs  |  126 comments

Comments

It sure would be hilarious if we got swept here
This could be the new NEW Colorado series!
If you by hilarious you mean soul crushing, I am with you.
It cannot crush your soul if you expect it
Or if you do not have one.
I disagree
It cannot crush your soul if you find out you're not as good as you thought you were in time to still trade people
If when you expect it, it still hurts.
STATEMENT ROAD TRIP!!!!!
I am fully expecting it
We need Bedard to be decent and we need a lefty in the bullpen

Hurry up guys.

Bedard could be decent as the lefty in the bullpen!
Wasn't drafted high enough
Most relievers aren't high draft picks
If Bedard says healthy and we can't manage to trade Washburn, would moving Jaku into the rotation and Vargas to the Loogy role (and Olson to slop) be the best move?

Jaku’s tRA as a starter (4.58) is better than Vargas’ (5.82), and they’re tRA*s are pretty much the same (a touch under league average). I think Vargas could be an outstanding LH reliever, judging by his solid minor league strikeout rates and his relief work in May.

Whither RRS?
The return of Hyphen would be great, but he's still rehabbing and his timeline keeps getting pushed back. I guess Hyphen could go into the rotation (since he's better against righties, right?)
The last time I checked he was in Tacoma getting the shit beat out of him
At no point was that happening.
I only checked after his first start
His first start

4IP, 1K, 0BB, 1HR, 1RA, 0LD, 10%SwStr rate.

Sorry, 1LD, 8% SwStr rate

the 0 and 10% were from his 2nd start.

They didn't how K/BB numbers on tv.
So his 39% GB rate and .083 BABIP must have been terrible to watch.
I think I must mean the first start I remember then mentioning

because he surrendered many runs

This subthread is awful
Only because you are getting owned.
True

But if you are owning someone who as never trying in the first place, you just wasted the last 20 minutes of your life on a snipe hunt.

Now who's the dean?
Superman.

Wormer.

Photobucket

That's where my brain went.
Dean Yeager!

Dizzy!

Neal Cassidy.

aka Dean Moriarty.

GO TEAM VENTURE!

I'll get off your lawn now...

(aka — good call!)

Not really because I have tRA game logs bookmarked

so it takes me about 15 seconds to look this stuff up.

I can think of at least a dozen times where a 12 second delay has infuriated you.
Did they all have something to do with you?
At least he doesn't have the twelve hour delay involving witting things to say in conversation with the fairer sex
Witting?
I wasn't going to say it.
Maybe witting is the infinitive verb form of generating witticisms.
I thought he was implying that while Robert says witty things,

he does so unwittingly.

I thought it was Queens English for pillow talk
Oops
Insults work better when executed properly.
My soul was still wounded none the less :(
So it would appear that my bullpen regression fears both manifested and did not manifest over the road trip
Yes... or they manifested consistently

but some had pitched worse than their peripherals would suggest, and others better. So we got that bizarre flash of 2008 Corcoran, but sadly a flash of 2008 Mark Lowe as well.

2008 Mark Lowe was better than 2009 Mark Lowe

:(

Please would you ask where Mark Lowe's changeup has gone at the LL meetup in August, because I miss it. :(
God damn it.
So, can someone give Scrappy a spare labrum to chew on for the next few months?

I was thinking Carlos Silva isn’t using his.

So with Bedard coming back, who is leaving the rotation?
Don't care too much about what happens in this series.

But I want a four game Texas sweep. In fact, if they forfeited every O’s game to rest up and gather strength for the Rangers, I’’d be OK with that. Provided they sweep.

That's an interesting mindset
I'd be cool with losing every game for the rest of the season to rest up and gather strength for the World Series.

Provided that the Mariners sweep it.

If we play 4-3 ball the rest of the season we will most likely win the division
Let's face it we're not going better than 4-3 to close out the half.

I’d rather the 4 come at the expense of the Rangers and their lobsterback uniforms.

That's racist against Crustacean-Americans.
SEE WHAT PAIN YOU'VE CAUSED HIM!

His face makes me happy
I always wondered how a Jewish doctor could live with being treyf
I think 5-2 would be realisticly possible
Yes, running a .714 winning percentage is an easy thing to do for an average baseball team.
Oh you stat geeks and your silly decimal points
I can only assume the decimal point after Kermit is there for matters of accuracy.
Guys - apparently, this is Birdland. Just thought you'd like to know.

Welcome back
Hello, sailor.
And by sailor, I mean

I don't know who that guy is.

But I hate him.

That, sir, is Erik Bedard.
Clearly katal is a misogynist.
Fishogynist?
Shit. You're kidding.

He looks like a douche!

You're in trouble now, mister.
And what is he doing holding Mike Carp?!?

Oh, wait…

We might get to see Kam Mickolio this series.

Guy’s been called up, replacing Chris Ray.

2.89 tRA for Norfolk. Damn it.
At least Tony Butler probably won't be good. Hah!
We robbed those bitches!
It would be nice, just this one time, if one of our discarded ex-pitchers did not come back and dominate us.
Fuck Matt Thornton
Baltimore will do that to us.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SEA/SEA200605230.shtml

We threw our GS52, Soriano and Putz back to back to back in that game.

Fuuuuuuuuuck.

John Halama what the hell?
Haha Mystic Tan.
Felix Hernandez is the youngest player on either All-Star team

No matter how many times I hear how young he is, it still surprises me.

Justin Upton?
Okay so that article lied.

Youngest on the AL team?

Lineups

ORIOLES

Brian Roberts 2B
Adam Jones CF
Nick Markakis RF
Aubrey Huff DH
Ty Wiggonton 1B
Nolan Reimold LF
Melvin Mora 3B
Matt Wieters C
Robert Andino SS

Brad Bergesen RHP

MARINERS

Ichiro RF
Russ Branyan 1B
Jose Lopez 2B
Ken Griffey Jr. DH
Franklin Gutierrez CF
Ryan Langerhans LF
Rob Johnson C
Chris Woodward 3B
Ronny Cedeno SS

Jarrod Washburn LHP

Too easy
RF Ryan Ludwick showed up with an unsightly splotch near his right eye and assorted other blotches Sunday. “I wish I had a good story for it,” he said. “But it’s terrible. I just woke up in the middle of the night to (go to the bathroom). The room was dark and I tripped over my suitcase and I got rug burn here, rug burn here and rug burn here,” he said, pointing to his face, arm and body.
Aww

http://seattlepostglobe.org/2009/07/06/ichiro-turns-down-request-to-be-in-home-run-derby

God dammit, Ichiro.

Just one time before you retire, please.

I was hoping Griffey would convince him to do it this time around

Fuck you Griffey tickle him some more

Ichiro is a bum.
Damn I got my hopes up this year
Well alrighty then, Russell.

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