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Series Preview: New York Yankees @ Seattle Mariners

Seattle: 60-54
New York: 71-43

SUMMARY

MARINERS YANKEES
EDGE
HITTING (wOBA)
-65.1 (27th)
109.7 (1st)
NYA
FIELDING (UZR)
46.5 (3rd)
-16.9 (25th) SEA
ROTATION (pRAA)
-19.0 (21st)
-12.4 (19th) NYA
BULLPEN (pRAA)
-24.1 (29th) -6.5 (18th) NYA
OVERALL(RAA)
-61.7 73.9 New York







The Yankees are about ten runs worse than the Rays were when they came in to play us and we showed them! Yeah! That's right! Get ready, New York, because you are going down! 

GAMES

Game 1: Ian Snell vs. CC Sabathia*
Game 2: Ryan Rowland-Smith* vs. Andy Pettitte*
Game 3: Lucas French* vs. Sergio Mitre
Game 4: Doug Fister vs. Chad Gaudin

Oh... Oh god. Nevermind. We are so screwed.

Right? Well... yeah, probably, but if so, it is because of our pitching versus their hitting and not because of our pitching versus their pitching. It looks bad because well, hey, the foursome we plan to roll out include a guy who got demoted for sucking and then professed his preference to stay in the minor leagues, a guy who made one start then spent three months rehabbing from it, a guy who started the year a nobody prospect fresh off an 87 tRA+ year in Double-A and a guy who started the year a meh prospect fresh off a 92 tRA+ year in Double-A.

But! The Yankee counterparts are not all that much better. Okay, Sabathia is, but he is the only starting pitcher of theirs currently posting an above average tRA this season. Even Sabathia is down this season from past years, which is not a huge surprise given how good he was and how many innings he has logged. His swinging strike rate is at a four year low and the percentage of strikes thrown is noticeably down as well, all paired with a big loss in ground balls. Still, Sabathia remains an above average pitcher, though he is clocking in around a number 2 type this year, rather than any sort of ace. That contract could get ugly in a hurry.

Maybe Andy Pettitte should have listened to himself when he mused about retirement. A consistent 107/108 tRA+ guy for the past three seasons, Pettitte is down to 95 this year. Same deal as Sabathia, strikeouts are down, walks are up, ground balls are way down. Mix in eggs and bake for an hour at 425 and you get some fail cake.

What to say about Mitre? He has oscillated between the rotation and pen and the Majors and Minors for the past couple years. He pumps in a low 90s fastball about 70% of the time with a high 70s curve and a low 80s change each about 15% of the time. Hitters make a lot of contact off him and he does not hit the zone all that often, but he is a big time ground ball guy.

Chad Gaudin? Again? Ugh. We just saw him twice with the Padres.

1 recs  |  41 comments

Comments

Go defense?

I’m just happy to see Alex back in town.

A split is what I'm hoping for, and the Mariners have been surpassing expectations lately.

so what I really think will happen is we take the series 3-1

I'm still not over the fact that the Yankees got swept by the Angels.

I mean, what the hell, jerks?

At this point, we WANT the angels to rape the rest of the AL.

We’re not catching them. The wildcard chase is on.

I want to clobber them Yankees.
The Angels always do well against the Yankees.

It’s the Red Sox we have trouble with.

Maybe not this year, with the improved Angel offense.
Jeter and Arod both got banged up. Wouldn't be suprised if they miss tonight's game
Also Rivera is battling shoulder stiffness
I think we will win this series.

The Yankee defence is not going to be doing any favours for them in spacious Safeco, and their pitchers are bad enough to give us a chance if we can avoid our starters being destroyed early.

We finally get to play the Yankees in a real ballpark now.
It's hilarious that Gaudin's mlb.com photo is of him in that ridiculous beard in a Yankees uniform.
Any word on Jack Wilson's availability?
I'm going to Snell's game today!

And I expect there to be more Yankee fans than M’s fans for some reason.

At least they're not as loud and annoying as Red Sox fans
Too bad they're not as perfect as Cubs fans
Who doesn't enjoy a beer shower every now and then?
I'd love to know!

What's hilarious is that the retarded Cubs security ejected the wrong guy!

Link

From Fark:

Everything associated with the Cubs is made of fail.

Apparently he was an obvious post-beer taunter, and the beer-tosser also fingered him...
In the gif you can clearly see the guy standing, chuck his beer underhanded, and then sit down and start pointing fingers.

What a douchebag.

At least the fan who got ejected has video evidence it wasn't him.

That is, if they threw him in jail for the night or if they placed a permanent ban on him. Still sucks to be ejected on national TV for not doing anything.

While I don't condone the action

I appreciate the skill and cunning with which they were executed.

I agree. That's douchebaggery at its finest. You have to tip your cap.
Watching the video again, I think FARK got it right.
They definitely did.
Loving me some Justin Verlander right now.

If the Red Sox lose, the Yankees shouldn’t feel so bad when we pound their asses into the ground later tonight.

Is it possible that the Yankees pitchers are actually quite a bit better than their tRAs now suggest due to the lack of park factors for New Yankee Stadium?
Yes
but unlikely to be a big difference.
The only thing that might be a big deal is HR/fly
That's what I was thinking
Are park factors based on all parks in the majors or are AL teams compared only to other AL teams?
I doubt it's a huge factor.
Me too

It’s just possible. Am not going to lose sleep over it

French and Fister against the Yanks...

Can we just sign Smoltz to face them or something.

Yes because Smoltz sure pitched a gem against them last Thursday
I predict we will sweep them!
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