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Lookout Landing

60-55, Chart

8_13_medium

Biggest Contribution: Mike Sweeney, +3.2%
Biggest Suckfest: Ian Snell, -31.5%
Most Important AB: Wilson groundout, -4.7%
Most Important Pitch: Hairston double, -12.1%
Total Contribution by Pitcher(s): -33.1%
Total Contribution by Lineup: -16.9%
Total Contribution by Opposition: 0.0%
(What is this chart?)

0 recs  |  67 comments

Comments

You're going to make Ian sad...
Poor Wilson

Gets a -2.6%, and this will probably his last homer as a Mariner.

-

Gets a -2.6%, and this will probably his last homer as a Mariner.

I'm sure there's a very desperate secret illegal imitation Mexican league team out there

who could use him.

Snell had an interesting post game interview.

Paraphrasing, he said the NL isn’t as much of a fastball league as the AL, and the AL has more power hitters.

Also, kind of minced about when it came to facing the Yankees, acknowledged them as being ridiculously good hitters. Didn’t Wak take Felix aside early in the season for saying something similar?

So then Snell should be on the verge of taking off!

Realistically, we probably shouldn’t expect the turnaround to happen overnight. If it happens, I’d look for it after a long offseason of rest and relaxation.

I totally agree with this.

There’s going to be a bit of a recovery period for Snell. Adair will take care of him.

As long as fans don't start booing him.

The idiots.

If Snell can't get over being booed after being this awful twice in a row, there's not much hope for him.
There's hope.

He goes to your show, gets pumped up, and destroys people. Make this happen.

The fans have to give him a break.

His emotional state isn’t exactly that strong.

We should have told this to the Yankees and Rays.

Seriously though, players get booed and if it bothers Snell (not sure if it does) then he better start pitching better.

He sounded pretty solid, the usual comments about battling etc, etc.

I just recalled Wak taking Felix by the ear in May or so for giving credit to the other team’s line up, but I couldn’t find any reference via google. I’m not sure if I’m remembering situation correctly.

You're right,

but it was about his personality in the dugout. Apparently he was not “looking” like the leader he should while joking around and whatever else he was doing.

The one I remember

was saying he had no answer for Joe Mauer and admitting that he gets owned by him. Wak definitely gave him an earful for that one, something to the tune of you’re one of the best pitchers, you can get him out just like any other elite batter.

The more general comments were maybe about the Angels…I vaguely remember it too.

Look, all I'm saying is that booing can only make it worse.

You ever hear about the case of Rudy York? That’s a perfect example.

I'm not sure it's even an issue, it doesn't seem like the booing is hurting Snell.
Joh sure seems to be!
What?

I don’t know if that was phrased correctly. Regardless, I’m sure booing has nothing to do with Joh’s struggles or the fact that the pitchers don’t like him.

And again, if he can't deal with it he's not long for the game.
I heard the fans clapped for him when he left. Was that just clapping for pulling him?
Did Snell really do that poorly?

He threw 62% strikes (while getting boned by the umpire), the first couple runs came off a bloop double and a wild pitch, and the last two baserunners that scored seemed to get on as a result of letting him pitch too long. With slightly different luck (and if he was pulled after 6 with a better rested bullpen to back him up) he probably ends up having allowed just the 3 runs with a decent number of ground balls and swinging strikes.

I agree with you!
Were the HR balls he gave up in bad locations?
I don't even want to know what happened.

I’ll pretend today was an off day and we begin a three games series tomorrow.

So how did Swenney have more of a positive contribution than Hannahan?
Didn't notice that, so I had to check fangraphs, since that doesnt seem to make sense

Sweeney’s ABs
Walk (+.040), Fly Out (-.007), strikeout (-.002), fly out (.000)

Hannahan’s ABs
Walk (+.022), fly out (-.006), single (.000)

I find that stupid.
Yeah thats my problem with WPA

It’s interesting to look at during and after a game, but in a blowout like this things get skewed.

It's not a predictive stat.

It is designed to award in game contribution. A home run when you are down by 400 means absolutely zero to the team winning. If your team is down 500 to 0 after the top of the first, and a player on the home team has a 7 home run game, their runs made no difference to the outcome because the game was already lost.

It’s not really designed to show how good a player was. Only their contribution to winning.

er... to the game's outcome, I mean.
Or the entire point of WPA
We win tomorrow 3-2.

Arod back, but Griffey shows his clutch again and say’s “fuck your Madonna mouth herpes,” and hits the game winning dinger.
Griffey goes on to pitch in late innings and beans Jeter in the balls, tearing his soul.

This is pretty good, I like the herpes comment!
Jeter's soul is in his balls?
reply fail

I blame this on the Madonna mouth herpes

Red me, bitch.

And you’re right.

I did, but only because I felt threatened.
Wrong.

Jeter has no balls.

I hope that's not the case.

Yeah, he gave up a lot of runs, but this is the Yankees, and the walks, Ks, and groundballs were all pretty solid. I don’t want him to get disillusioned here. I still think he can be our #2.

Ian Snell will come around

Baker

Snell admitted it’s been a challenge adjusting to American League lineups.

“That’s a lineup that nobody in the National League has,‘’ Mariners starter Ian Snell said after facing the Yankees for the first time. "I mean, the American League is so much tougher than the National League. There are so many more power hitters. They’ve got great pitchers over here. Defense is great. So, it’s pretty tough. It’s taken a while to get adjusted to, but I’m trying my best. That’s all I can do.’’

The Mariners will break down his outing and see where he can improve. Wakamatsu would like to see him get ahead in counts quicker and let opponents put the ball in-play for the defense.

Snell said the Yankees were more patient than he’s used to, waited for their pitches and that helped drive his pitch count up to 77 by the end of the fourth inning — after he’d opened with a 12-pitch first.

“The American League is more fastball hitters,‘’ he said. "That’s why there’s more power hitters here than in the National League. But hey, I’ve got to keep pitching. That’s all I can do.’’

And Snell has already made plenty of adjustments.

“A lot,‘’ he said with a sigh. "It’s tough. You’ve got to make an adjustment quick here. It’s pretty tough, but I’m dealing with it. I’m not stressing out over it.’’

Neither are the Mariners, who plan to keep running him out there every five days. Hopefully, for them, with better results.
I was at the M's game today.

It was depressing and the fan interference thingy pissed me off especially since he threw it back. Though I started watching our bullpen and it was weird. At the beginning of the game they were in a group hug or something then Aardsma later in the game started poking the rest of the bullpen dudes in the crotch area with a pole I GUESS he was checking to see if they had cups or something but it was awkward I wish I had pictures. THERE WERE FIREWORKS WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

Shoulda killed that guy.
I missed that play, what happened?
I saw this the last week in KC

There were smacks on the ass also. By the time I had my camera out all I got was a picture of them in a huddle having a pep talk/prayer/circlejerk.

The best was where Lowe(I think) seriously went after Adair wanting to touch his balls.
So I think this is a semi-regular thing, nothing in relation to Beltre’s condition.

Technically it is not fan interference unless the fan puts their mitt into the field of play.

In that area it is virtually impossible for a fan under 6’6" to actually reach over the pit and into the field.

Ichiro had his mitt extended beyond the wall and the fan should have seen that and pulled back. However, looking at the video it appears he did not realize Ichiro was even there. Serious bummer and all, but we were taking it in the shorts no matter what.

That shit drives me nuts.

Fans sitting in the front row should know their role and be paying attention to the game. It’s just a baseball. It’s not like it’s a record-breaking HR ball or anything.

It is not as easy as you assume to be aware of that.

I have sat in the front row for almost 17 years now so it is second nature for me, but it took me a couple of years before I was comfortable taking my eyes off of the ball to survey my surroundings. Most people who attend games are not used to taking all of that in so quickly.

I see your point.

Wouldn’t there be 20 people within earshot distance to say ‘hey hold up’?

There definitely should have been.
Rules for fan interference to help your team:

It seems pretty simple, always try to catch a ball hit by your team. If the other team hit it (close foul ball or close HR), don’t try to catch it and give your team’s fielder a chance to catch it. Is that about right? I think DMZ had a paragraph or chapter on this in his book.

That is how I approach it.
NONONONONONONO

No Snell in KC please.

I love how after the Yuni trade, you guys just lurk here all the time.
They're getting to know the 2011 team.
I was wondering what the Win Expectancy Chart would look like for the game two nights ago.

Would it just stay just about at .5 the entire time until a big spike at the very end?

Not exactly.

You can see it here. The spikes are more drastic in extra innings since even coming close to scoring a run would have a pretty big impact on win expectancy. What you’re describing might happen if every inning was 3 up, 3 down until the final one, but both teams put runners on base several times.

Oh, I didn't know that was on Fangraphs.

Thanks! Now I will know where to go for that info.

You know that I posted it, right
Oh crap, sorry.

There was just so much stuff between the White Sox series and the Yankees series that I thought it would be on the first page so I scrolled down quickly.

I like Snell's attitude

He will be fine once he settles in.

Ovet at Examiner.com

someone has culled some Ichiro quotes about the fan intereference

"I thought I had it. It was disappointing. I went to make the catch despite not having fun (from the one-sided game)," Ichiro told Japanese reporters according to Nikkan Sports, "although the batter and the fielder understood to show off (for the fans), the fan apparently didn’t understand."

Thanks

Amidst a terrible game for us, that play would’ve been a bright spot for the home fans indeed.

Ichiro rocks.

About Sweeney

with the way they’re swinging the bat now, I would personally like to see Griffey in the lineup against lefties also instead of Sweeney.

(This is just the opinion of a guy mad about Jr. and not stat oriented).

And I know Jr. is a husk of his former self,

but is there really any other option sitting on the bench right now to replace Sweeney at DH (against lefties)?

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