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Lookout Landing

Afternoon Bullet Points

  • Anybody who's unclear on Ackley's contract situation should go read Dave's post on Major League deals. Basically, there's no reason for either party to be displeased.

  • Both John Smoltz and Vicente Padilla are currently free agents. I'd like to know why any team would choose to talk with the latter. Padilla's a worthless pile of crap who I have on good authority doubles as a crazy person. John Smoltz is a pretty decent pitcher with an awful ERA. Among 191 starters with at least 30 innings pitched on the year, here's where Smoltz ranks:

    ERA: 189th
    FIP: 130th
    K/BB: 16th
    LD%: 64th
    Strike%: 19th
    OSwing%: 2nd
    FStrike%: 24th
    OContact%: 83rd
    ZContact%: 70th
    Contact%: 46th

    Smoltz isn't the same pitcher he's been in the past, and it would appear that, at 42, he's finally approaching the end of the line, but he's not there yet, and the only reason people think he is is because of lousy luck on balls in play and a couple extra outfield flies clearing the fence. He'll be a good acquisition for whoever hands him a pen. Padilla will not.

  • Through ten innings of work, Neftali Feliz has struck out 16 batters, walked none, and allowed zero line drives. His tRA is -0.02. You think the Rangers are glad they brought him up? I wasn't sure about moving him to the bullpen at first, but it would certainly appear that everyone's benefiting from the arrangement. Of course, the real test will come this offseason. From what I can tell, Texas has always intended to move Feliz back to the rotation after this stint in relief, but with the numbers he's putting up, they'll be under a lot of pressure from people who're sick of bad bullpens to make him a closer. As much as it pains me to say it, I hope they stick to their guns. Making Feliz a closer would worsen Texas' long-term outlook, but I would hate to see them deprive the world of the opportunity to watch this guy for seven innings at a time. He has the sort of stuff and explosiveness that transcends divisional rivalry.

  • Speaking of the Rangers, check out where they rank over the last 30 days:

    Rotation FIP: 8th
    Bullpen FIP: 4th

    A pitching staff that used to look horrible has started to take shape, with Feliz helping to stabilize the bullpen and Millwood/Holland/Nippert/Feldman/Hunter taking over the starting five. It's not an excellent collection of arms, but it's a great deal better than what they started with, and though the temptation is to think that the Rangers are going to melt down, there's good reason to believe that what they're doing now isn't a fluke. You realize they're leading the Wild Card, right? Honestly, with the Yankees, Angels, and White Sox/Tigers looking like the rest of the playoff picture, I'm thinking that Texas is going to be my team of choice down the stretch. Feliz is awesome, the rest of the teams annoy me, and it'd be great to see some underdog slam the door in Boston's face.

    A Texas/San Francisco World Series would make for wonderful TV. Of course, the Rangers would have to win seven more playoff games than they've won in the past to get there.

0 recs  |  17 comments

Comments

Strasburg v. Feliz

The scouting reports on Strasburg are still otherworldly, but I just refuse to believe he’s better than Feliz. Ten recs says Feliz has the superior velocity and offspeed pitch next year.
As great as all of the reports on Strasburg’s velo are, he’s entering the period where his velo should decline. Not to mention going from pitching on 6 days rest to 4.

I would bet that Strasburg's pRAA is better if they both start the season in MLB
Okee dokee. I'll take that bet.
Agreed about Feliz and the Rangers.

I hate Michael Young, Ian Kinsler, and Hank Blalock, but everyone else I am cool with. I would much rather see the Rangers win over those other teams which are stacked with many more douches.

If it helps...

…most Rangers fans hate Hank Blalock too right now. I get the Michael Young hate (though he’s been good this year)…but what’s up with the Ian Kinsler hate? Just curious…

He's friends with Kinsler.

I know that sounds ridiculous, but it is like Young has passed on his legacy to Kinsler. Kind of like anyone who puts on a Yankees or Red Sox uniform I immediately hate just because of association. Young’s mentoring of Kinsler associates them together even though they are no longer double-play partners.

Short version: irrational hate

I, uh, didn't know tRA even goes into the *negatives*.
I thought that was a jokey exaggeration at first.
To hell with that,

I hope Feliz gets stuck in the bullpen.

I read "Padilla will not."

As “Padilla will not hand Smoltz a pen.”

Smoltz strikes me as the kind of guy who would probably lend you a pen, but he'd be pretty nervous about not getting it back.
I have no idea why but I completely agree.
The image of him standing with the tension lifting his shoulders

Constantly glancing over at his pen out of the corner of his eye is kind of amusing

I think I'd root for the Tigers ahead of Texas.
While I'd be annoyed if the Rangers made a World Series before we did....

I would gladly adopt them as my team if it means Boston gets to sit home in October.

Considering the four expansion teams from the 90s have made the World Series already (3 wins),

there is no way I would be annoyed with Texas getting there before us. I am more annoyed at our own teams between 1995-2003 for not getting to the World Series.

I agree with this 100%.

It really is irritating that we had teams that good and never made the WS. Maybe depressing is a better word. I’ll root for Texas.

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