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36.2% For Edgar

All things considered, that's not too bad for a ballot rookie. In the big picture, Edgar's chances are looking good.

I care about the rest of the vote about as much as I care about the Gold Gloves.

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Do we have a history on players it took a few years (decades?) to get in and what their first ballot % was?

Just to compare how Edgar did on his first go-round.

I believe you can only be on the ballot for 10 years, then it's up to the Veterans Committee.

I’m trying to find confirmation on that. I could be wrong.

A ussm commenter has a partial list

Look at the 9th comment

Was hoping for something north of 40%.

Oh well. In the next 15 years, many of the old codgers who voted against Edgar will be gone and replaced by people more apt accept him.

My hope is that Edgar is elected alongside Randy or Junior. I would consider making a trip out to Cooperstown in those cases.

Honestly, I hope Edgar gets there before that

I’d like him to be the first player to make it in the Hall as a Mariner.

The rest of the vote is as important as Spring Training results
Or your fantasy team
Mark McGwire went from 23.6% to 21.9% and then back to 23.7%.

Barry Larken gets just 51.6%, Tim Raines 30.4%, Andres Galaragga is one and done (4.1%) and somebody actually voted for David Segui.

Amazing.

And Kevin Appier!
Two people voted for Ellis Burks!
You have to get about 5% to stay on the ballot, right?
>= 5%
Well that's what I meant. ;)
If I remember right Jay Buhner got a vote or two.

I think anything under 1% are kind of joke votes.

Less a joke than a hometown sportswriter who likes the local boy
Edgar reached base 62 more times than Dawson in 2097 fewer plate appearances
Oh, but he played in the field! With a glove! On bad knees!!
How many votes did Edgar get?

Some are reporting 36.2% while others are saying 32.6%

I don’t know what it’s called, but that happens to me sometimes where the numbers get shifted around.

For the sake of argument, let's say the following players were deserving:

Alomar, Larkin, Blyleven, Edgar, Dawson, Raines, and McGwire.

Is Dawson the worst player on that list?

Yes. By far.

Barry Larkin had a better OPS than Dawson.

I would believe Dawson getting in will help Edgars chances down the road.
When put into context like that, it really makes me upset about hall voting

Even though I normally don’t really care that much

At least Bert will get in now next year.

And I’d expect Edgar will be in within five years as well, which may be sooner as well considering Mariner fans rule the internet.

Shocked that Geoff Baker didn’t vote for Edgar, his article about his choice is like a time walk back to an early 2007 column by him.

Geoff Baker is gonna get a lot of hate mail.

Probably a metric crapton of site hits too.
I wonder how many people voted for Baines and not for Edgar
And I really want to know who voted for Segui
David Segui had a career wOBA of .349
And never played more than 150 games in a season and only hit 130 four times
If I remember correctly he was insane with the glove for a while

Also he seemed really nice when he signed my autograph so there’s that too.

He got robbed of a gold glove the year Raffy Palmeiro played like 12 games at first.
All I remember about him is that one time there was a foul pop up that he was right under, and for whatever retarded reason I started chanting "drop it, drop it, drop it!" ( I was like 9), and then he dropped it.

I thought I had special powers for like 3 years after that

Probably just someone giving him one honorary vote before he leaves the ballot.

Jay Buhner got a vote like this. Not anything to get worked up over.

Seriously, who did that?

Did one of you guys steal a ballot?

Probably Geoff Baker.
He was on both Toronto and Montreal
Who voted for Eric Karros!? That's even worse!
David Segui's mother

is a member of the BBWAA.

One time Segui, with a guy on first, dove back in full extension toward the bag to snare a liner, landing with his glove on the bag for the DP.

HOF.

How did Todd Zeile not get a vote?

His fact sheet was outstanding

Jay Mariotti didn't vote for ANYONE?

http://bases.nbcsports.com/2010/01/jay-mariotti-wants-to-get-kicked-out-of-the-bbwaa-hey-bbwaa-please-do-it.html.php

Saw that

He’s an idiot

4 others didn't vote for anyone, too
BUT ALOMAR DOESN'T DESERVE TO BE IN THE SAME HALL AS MAYS, RUTH AND COBB!
I hope he stays in for the sake of Edgar.

He makes it clear he will vote for Edgar.

I just get tired of the "sacred first ballot" poop.
I think not voting for anybody is completely valid

It just depends on what you consider to be Hall-worthy. High standards I think are good.

Not voting for obviously deserving players because of "high standards" is the dumbest thing I've ever heard
I didn't read his quotes

He is a retard. I’m sorry I tried to in any way defend his actions.

I wouldn't be surprised

If he did this for the spotlight and to have material to write about.

Also, he’s an idiot.

Judging by the USSM front page Derek ... has not taken this news well.
I'm just annoyed that Lee Smith got some 11% more votes than Edgar.
My God.

Dawson got in but not Blyleven or Larkin or Alomar?

I really hope Dawson goes in as an Expo
To elaborate

If Dawson goes in as a Cub, I don’t think he should even be there. If he goes in as an Expo, that seems more valuable to me as we was the best player that franchise ever saw, besides maybe Tim Raines, and I doubt Raines gets in.

My entirely unscientific prediction: Edgar makes the hall in 2012

He builds “momentum” through ’11, then makes it in a thin ballot the following year.

Don't care much about the vote but...

This probably hurts Edgar’s chances. Voters next year will surely vote for Blyleven, Alomar, Larkin and maybe Morris. And Bagwell is coming onto the ballot and has a better case than Edgar. With that many candidates, and since the logic behind HOF voting is stupid, this means they won’t vote for Edgar

For next year, maybe

But eventually there’s going to be a weak year.

This wasn't exactly a bumper crop though
First ballot, though
Yeah a lot of people probably didn't vote for him because they don't think he deserves the esteem of a first ballot selection

But still will vote for him eventually

Yeah

Edgar just needs to maintain momentum through a couple of strong years, which may be hard, especially when a lot of the big sluggers of the 1990’s start coming up.

That being said, voters haven’t looked all that kindly on McGwire so far, so who knows.

You get Geoff Baker's HoF vote if-

You Ice your Knees alot…..
You play on astro turf….
You get injured in highschool….

OK, to make this a little more fun

What not-yet-eligible players do you think deserve to be in the Hall of Fame? For active players with limited service time, use a 95% judgment case – do you think that there is a 95% or better chance that the player’s career numbers will eventually be Hall of Fame worthy?

For example, Albert Pujols is a shoe-in based on his nine seasons of utter excellence. Zack Greinke would be a no way and Chase Utley would be somewhere in the middle.

My ballot

Pitchers: Greg Maddux, Randy Johnson, Tom Glavine, Mariano Rivera, Trevor Hoffman
Position Players: Ken Griffey, Jr, Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter, Barry Bonds, Ichiro Suzuki, Albert Pujols, Manny Ramirez,

I’m sure I missed really obvious ones

Roger Clemens, Pedro Martinez
Frank Thomas and John Smoltz maybe

Craig Biggio is probably definite.

Frank Thomas definitely
How could you not vote for Biggio?
The same reason you couldn't vote for Alomar or Larkin?
Chipper Jones
Jeff Bagwell, but I'm biased. One of my favorite players, I'm not sure how his numbers compare
149 OPS+

He was good.

Yeah, B-Ref likes him on their various HOF rankings. Always forget they have those.
Remember - it's YOUR vote

if you have high standards and don’t think that Ken Griffey should be elected on the first ballot, you don’t have to vote for him

Larry Walker
What the hell, Larry Walker had a career .414 wOBA?

I’m sold

I don't even care about the Coors Field effect, that's extraordinary
He still raked on the road.
Pudge
Piazza, Thome, Vizquel?
Unsure about Thome.

Piazza and Vizquel I think both get in after a couple of years.

Really, Visquel?

I never really thought about it but I guess so?

He'll have good counting stats based on longevity, and he was a genuinely great defensive player
Ozzie smith getting in helped his case.

If Edgar gets in then so should Thome.

Rizzsy thinks he's a sure fire Hall of famer.
Correction

He’ll have good counting stats based on longevity and he was is a genuinely great defensive player.

Seriously. He’s still putting up good defensive numbers in a limited role in his 40’s. As a shortstop.

Jim Edmonds is an obvious slam dunk first ballot hall of famer
He averaged more than 7 wins a season from 2000-2005
Does fangraphs show WAR before 2002?
Nope. UZR doesn't go back any further.
CHONE's database does but I take the older defensive numbers with a grain of salt.
So its a educated guess?
I am no expert, but that is what I understand it to be

but I’m sure someone will correct me

Jim Edmonds was awesome at defense
Was he?
I don't know, let's ask katal
Well, he was a plus CF all the way through his age 36 season and average at age 37

so I think it’s safe to assume he was pretty awesome for the first eight or so years of his career

I think Vlad gets in...
Also I'm going to go out on a limb and say that I think Lance Berkman will get a nod eventually.
Its kind of a shame Alomar didn't get more votes.

Not really sure why. Edgar got about what I expected. I think anything but a major disappointment is a good thing for Edgar’s chances. I think its gonna take him a while to get in but eventually I think he will get there.

I don't understand: if the DH is so easy to play,

then why aren’t there more DHs of Edgar’s caliber? I keep reading/hearing the argument that he had the luxury of not playing defense, but nobody ever seems to include in that statement an explanation of why others with the same “luxury” haven’t measured up over the past 36 years.

The commonly used argument

is that DH’s have it easier because they don’t have to play the field and can thus concentrate purely on hitting and won’t get injured, which raises their stats beyond where they should be.

Despite the mountain of evidence that suggests that not playing defense, in fact, generally hurts offensive production.

Though at the same time, being a DH makes it easier to rack up counting stats because you minimize injury risk.

And Edgar’s counting stats are what a lot of voters are looking at. “He was a DH and he still only barely broke 300 homers? LOSER.”

This is true.

But when looking at counting stats, I don’t understand how you can just ignore an (undeserved) late start to a career.

Walks, and doubles. Holy moly that man did not like to make an out and loved an extra base hit.
Not you, in my head I'm talking to people that make your counting stat argument.
And still got that extra base at 38 with no knees

He hit 40 doubles to lead the team in 2001 at age 38 after countless leg and knee injuries. There have been hitters with more power for sure, but there have been very few who could lace a ball into the OF gaps like Gar.

I guess that's part of where my frustration lies:

when “the commonly used argument” is statistically indefensible, it’s irksome to see it so commonly used. =/

I love how every other story about a player switching to the DH

Is how hard its going to be to adjust to not having to play the field.

Bingo

I seem to recall an interview in the Times with a Mariner in ‘02(?) who was subbing for an injured Edgar. The comment made was that they were finding it really hard to find a rhythm without being in the field, and their offensive production was showing an impact from it. It was too easy to dwell on their at-bats when they couldn’t contribute with their glove.

Because most talented players can play the field as well.

It’s rare you have a hitter of Edgar’s talent who switches to DH without displaying the dreaded older players skills

It's too bad Randy is retiring.

With Edgar’s likely slow road to the hall, Griffey, Edgar and Johnson could have gotten in the same year. And their candidacy would likely help each other since it would make a good story.

Just get Griffey to walk away during ST and everything will be ok
Take his knees out
Is that true?
I think so, as long as he doesn't play in an MLB game
I considered taking out his knees at the Hawks game on Sunday but eventually decided against it.
Probably a good thing.

Trey would have taken you down, and he’s gotten pretty big.

Normally I don't care one whit about the Hall of Fame.

But Edgar cares. So I care. And now I’m pissed off at the terrible HOF voters.

The frustrating thing is the stupidity that goes into the votes, not necessarily who gets in.

One of Geoff Baker’s claims is that he voted for Dawson because of the “intangibles of playing on astroturf.” Which… makes pretty much no sense at all, especially because Edgar also had knee problems and also played on astroturf.

Geoff Baker is just a Drama Queen, ignoring him is the best thing.
After of course "unfollowing" him and cancelling your subscription to the Times while telling them why.
This is necessary and not in the least bit an overreaction
It will for sure put an major newspaper with no competition out of business.
Please, they'll do that themselves.
Speaking of which...

I never, if you would have given me a thousand guesses, picked his post-baseball career to be “”http://www.brandedsolutions.com/aboutus/team/team.html" >CEO of an embroidery company".

Never. Not once.

That link worked in preview, dammit
Here you go, and it didnt work for me.

CEO of an embroidery company

Yup.

Hey, he was a business major in college before he decided to take the Ms up on their offer.

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