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Lookout Landing

7-7, Chart

4_19wec_medium

Biggest Contribution: Doug Fister, +17.8%
Biggest Suckfest: Jose Lopez, -21.2%
Most Important AB: Gutierrez single, +9.6%
Most Important Pitch: Wieters line out, +4.2%
Total Contribution by Pitcher(s): +18.2%
Total Contribution by Lineup: +11.2%
Total Contribution by Opposition: +20.6%
(What is this chart?)

2 recs  |  166 comments

Comments

Fister was really, really impressive tonight.

So much so that I used two adverbs to describe it.

He was awesome - some of his pitches were downright nasty.
Actually, you just used one twice.
It still equals two adverbs though.
two words, one adverb
But each of the words is an adverb, so two in all. He didn't say two different adverbs.
I'm pretty sure 'tonight' counts as an adverb in that sentence,

so you used three.

Yeah, but that's an OK adverb.

Really, really, on the other hand, aren’t.

What happened to Guti?
Apparently a groin tightness. Nothing pulled.
If this game caused Guti pain then to hell with it.
Just a cramp
I'm sure there are a legion of volunteers to massage it out for him.
We're they taking résumés?
Adam Jones volunteered but was rejected
To be fair, Adam Jones is known for very half-hearted massages
I love WE charts that look like that.

It’s good for my heart.

Indeed.

Jeff, you can even make a bad game easier to stomach when you add that personal touch to the win expectancy charts.

I'm pretty sure charts that look like that are bad for your heart.
I can't believe one of my favorite players is actually helping the team
David Eckstein just hit a monster walkoff home run
In his son's Little League game
No it was in a Major League Baseball game
Johnson and Lopez are the only negatives. =(
Still, even if he didn't complete it

his name was all over the world on MLB.com and ESPN.com for a few minutes.

And hell, how many guys can say they went that far with a no-no?

I can't follow the game treads, but if it wasn't mentioned - Sims jinxed it.
If you followed the game threads, you'd know that everyone jinxed it
According to tradition, only announcers and people at the game can jinx it.
I'm pretty sure Fister's lack of an out pitch jinxed it
There's been alot of guys getting pretty close this year. Maybe Felix can get one.
And they all seem to play for Toronto.
It's their early season flukes

Happens every year.

Quite a few, actually

Sabathia, Romero, and Marcum have all done it so far this year. Oh, and that Jimenez guy.

Dont forgot Brandon!
What is this strange emotion I am feeling?

Could it be pride?

Epic game

Hope Gutz is ok :(

Holy hell, Rob Johnson is terrible.

The only damper on an excellent all-around team performance.

Umm... Jose Lopez?
His D was nice
The defense in general was very good tonight.

Even Johnson managed to catch a foul tip.

Fister's play at first restored my manhood.
Yeah, but that stretch almost cost him his.
I was going with the chart.

Don’t shoot the messenger.

He can catch balls that come toward him.
He can hit from time to time.

Very effectively, even.

Guti's manliness is a double-edged sword
I really, really like Kotchman's swing.

Byrnes’ swing, on the other hand, makes me want to beer-bong Clorox.

I agree about Kotch's swing

I think I like Byrnes’s swing for the same reason you hate it

I think Kotch is the biggest steal this offseason.
I'm still surprised by how good our FO is at talent evaluation.
No stealing allowed.
I'd wait a few more months before you make that conclusion.

He’s had a hot start, but it’s a very small sample size.

I don't understand why he attacks the ball from such a upward angle

How did he get the majors with a golf swing like that?

His defense at first is making him valuable. The hitting is a freakin awesome bonus.
Ouch. I watch it with a similar reaction. It looks like he's trying to popup on purpose,

and that’s only when he’s close. Fix him.

Just use Milwaukee's Best!
I like how it's just "good inning" now

Feel a little bad for Bergesen though, he’s not this bad but he’s probably outsky =\

The bad news: Texas and Anaheim are getting right back in it with us

So, pretty much shaping up as everything the season we thought it would be.

It's okay. As long as we hang around through April, the rest will be interesting to watch.
At least into May it will be.
Texas just got swept, and has lost four straight. Not sure I'd classify them as "getting right

back in it with us".

Bottomline, we knew this was going to be a four team race and we needed to stay in there while Cliff nursed his injury.

We’ve done a good job so far.

Oh absolutely, been saying that all week

But they’re still just a game back from us. There is plenty of reason to be optimistic as our schedule is easier up til we get Mr. Lee back. But any hopes of the Angels falling so far behind they couldn’t catch up are pretty much gone now.

I'm just relieved we didn't fall so far behind after that poor start
They played the Yankees.

And looked okay in two of the losses I think.

So I've been hearing rehab "start" alot. Is Cliff only going to have one in Tacoma?
Maybe even two.

From Shannon Drayer:

As for the skipper, his spirits were lifted as he watched Cliff Lee throw his first bullpen since injuring his abdominal muscle. He threw 25 pitches and reported that he felt great. He started the pen slowly, deliberately. After throwing two pitches he stepped off the rubber and stretched a little bit. He then got back up and continued to throw both fastballs and breaking balls. The plan is to throw pens on Sunday and Wednesday then throw a 45 pitch simulated game on Friday. Wak said that he will need to throw two sim games before being sent out on a rehab assignment. Realistically and safely they are looking at a first week of May return.

Ah thank you.

So what the hell happened to a quick ruling on the suspension?

Bud Selig runs Major League Baseball.
I don't know if it was mentioned in the game treads, but Sims brought up an old line

I haven’t heard in many years, “4/5 of the world is covered in water, the rest is covered by Guti”. Originally, someone elses name was there, but I doubt he was as incredible as our CF. I hope that pull was just misplaced excitement.

I thought the original was Garry Maddux.
Weird timing on this comment.

I just started reading a book by Bill Adler called baseball wit. It is filled with classic quotes by people in and around the game.

One of the quotes is from Ralph Kiner: 2/3 of the earth is covered by water. The other 1/3 is covered by Gary Maddux."

It is a fun book. Lots of great quotes.

Yeah, Gary Maddox was the original. But Neon Deion is the only person to have

played in both a World Series and a Super Bowl, so I’m guessing they said that about him too. Guti’s good, not WS/SB, but he’s going to rack up a lot of Gold Gloves in CF just like Maddox. But he’s ours and we are now beginning to figure out defensive metrics. Guti can cover some ground.

You didn't hear?

Guti’s the new Seahawks CB.

Who needs Eric Berry when you can have Franklin Gutierrez!
Love the offense picking up.

Guti is locked-in on everything. Lopez needs to be dropped down a few spots while Kotchman moves into the 4th spot against right-handed pitching. Ichiro also appears to have found his groove after his usual slow start. Overall, at least we know we can destroy bad pitching.

Wak refuses to step on Griffey's feet so he'll continue to ruin rallies batting fifth.

Then we got the whole “relieve pressure from Bradley” thing going on which is forcing Lopez to hit fourth.

Doesn’t take a genius to figure out that Ichiro-Figgins-Guti-Bradley-Kotchman should probably be the first five. With Lopez and the DH spot following. But is you believe in the human element of the game and guys not feeling comfortable batting in spots or you believe in not stepping on the toes of legends, then I guess Wak’s lineup makes sense

No you are right. Wak's line-up needs to be fine-tuned. Step on the toes of legends.
Drayer is talking about Red on the post game.
I think the big question is

Will Franklin Gutierrez hit .400 this season?

Seeing that it's been done before, it's certainly possible.
I'm not going to say that I like his chances to do it full-season

but if you’re looking for signs of hope, he walked twice today. You really have to get the walks and limit your ABs if you’re going to do it.

I wasn't quite serious. Barry Bonds couldn't hit .400 even when his OBP was .609.
You mean "Barry Bonds couldn't hit .400 even when he was on steroids"
nonononononononono
No, we're talking about limiting ABs by taking walks.
I know I got the point, was only kidding around.
In all seriousness though, I don't think .400 is humanly possible this day and age
Yeah I know, I think it was Bill James who said that if Bonds couldn't hit .400 no one can.
I did a post about this subject last year when people were asking the same question about Joe Mauer.

Bonds had a couple decent chances, Williams’ 1941 was absolutely insane, but I noticed that Edgar Martinez’ 1995 wasn’t that far off either.

If we could get Ichiro's 200 hit prowess and somehow combine it with a 150 walk season

Hot diggity damn. And dear god I did not know it was possible to walk 200 times in a season I never realized how good Bonds was on pitch recognition. I knew he was good but 200 walks is freaking ridiculous.

A lot of those walks had to do with the fact that when pitchers didn't walk him, he hit a home run.
It wasn't about pitch recognition. It was about "holy fuck monster coming. MONSTER. MONSTERRRR!!!" followed by intentional walk
Right. He got a lot of unintentional, intentional walks.

That’s not going to happen to too many batters.

I don't think many pitchers had the balls (ha) to pitch to him

It’s the next best thing to suicide. Pitching to a roid monster

Well on fangraphs,

It says he has 232 BB and 120 IBB are those two numbers separate or that’s how many IBB out of the 232 BB he received because if those two are separate, hot diggity damn.

They're separate

Note the 373 AB and 617 PA

I want him to start hitting homeruns

All these singles worry me, but his approach at the plate appears to be dramatically improved.

Yeah but he's hitting the shit out of the ball

Not too many cheap singles in there

But yes, home runs would be welcome
It'll be fun to see him hit .400

With no HRs and 140 RBIs.

Oh yes I totally agree

He’s hit a few singles that really should have been doubles, but that fucking Oakland outfield is really good.

I like how he's batting .923 on line drives

I sure hope he keeps it up!!

Some of those well-hit balls will turn into homeruns.
You're right

maybe he’ll finish the year hitting 1.000 on line drives

If he maintains his ~.500 BABIP he certainly will!
People are funny.
I was at the game...

and holy crap, if the ball is hit anywhere within the area code of Chone Figgins, he’s going to make a ridiculously nice play.

Between Figgins, Kotchman and Wilson

Our infield defense is seriously upgraded over last year, even taking into account the loss of Beltre.

Lopez is doing a lot better than I imagined at 3B.
Lopez at 3b > Lopez at 2b. Figgins is looking Gold Glovish. Wilson is Wilson. Kotchman makes everything extra fine by scooping the misses

Best infield in baseball?

JonBBT has a post asking this exact question over at Pro Ball NW.

Link.

I'd guess Tampa Bay's up there due to Longoria and Bartlett

But I’m not sure how Reid Brignac is

Or Sean Rodriguez
Pena is the real deal at first.
My eyes tell me the same.

I wasn’t a big fan of the position switch at first, but I’m pretty much over it after watching Lopez for a couple of weeks.

I still don’t think his arm is good enough to justify all the talk of it being a “strength” at third, but then again, I’ve been watching Adrian Beltre for five years.

Lopez's arm is definitely above average. The problem is aim, but that's what Kotch is there for.
It makes me have a flashback every once in a while

to when Betancourt would somehow sail one over Sexson’s head. That said, I think Lopez is taking to 3B pretty great.

Lopez's arm is definitely stronger than Figgins'.

It may not be a “strength” in the way that Beltre’s armcannon was, but it’s all about maximizing your assets and minimizing your deficiencies.

He's so awkward when he moves more than two steps, he runs straight legged or something.
He doesn't have to move more than two steps as often compared to 2B

Hot corner = faster balls, so reaction speed is more a factor as opposed to movement speed. Keeps him awake AND he doesn’t have to run. Win Win.

I don't know if another Mariners player has flummoxed me more than Jose Lopez.

I feel like people who love him are delusional, as are people who hate him. I can’t even decide if I want to trade him or hold him hostage as an underrated value.

He’s just an average, boring guy. But he’s very creative in how he chooses to bore me.

Jose Lopez is going to win MVP this year
or get DFA'ed
Or traded.
Or play like a roughly league average player.
I'd say this is far and away the most likely scenario
No, I'm pretty sure it's the MVP one.
I am full on board with this.

I just really want him to either win an MVP or fuck off. I know it’s not fair, because he’s a perfectly valuable player who gets ripped on all the time, but god dammit I want to have an opinion. And I can’t muster one when he keeps getting base hits and playing OK defense and making up for his shitty OBP with a solid SLG.

He has, thus far in the season, remedied that solid SLG.
Teej is much more eloquent than I can manage, but I'm on board with wanting an opinion.

Or voicing one, whichever. Personally the only surprise thus far has been his defense at 3B. The thing about his awkward movement… I don’t trust my visual process with him at all. His movements are so visually unappealing I’m convinced it clouds my judgment of his abilities. This is one of those situations where it’s best (for me) to go with my initial instinct that he’s a serviceable defensive 3B and check back after the dust settles.

+/- thought he blew a bunch of plays early in the season,

but now they have him at +6(!?) dRS overall

Awesome victory, BUT.....

Wilson and Griffey being aggressive on the base paths = what the fuck?!?

Lopez and Johnson sucked per usual at the plate, but man, FISTER. Yup, he can definitely stay.

Baltimore is garbage and if we don’t sweep this shit, I’ll be very sad.

So I was in section 108 in RF. That ball Kotchman hit for the HR was SMOKED. He is on a roll right now!
.

Never thought I'd see a Battletech reference here
So, what's the headline in the Times tomorrow?
How great would it be if Fister were a homerun hitter. "Fister goes deep"
I chuckled. Now I feel so dirty.
Once he inevitably finishes out a full 9 innings...
Fister Goes the Distance.
For the first time in his young career Fister finishes what he started. Fister on his performance “[…] well you know the first few innings I just wanted to find a groove and I hit it until the later innings. I was tired and I just tried focusing on getting out of the jam but I stuck in there and when I was finished I was satisfied with my outing” Johnson on Fister’s performance “There was tons of movement tonight and I had trouble keeping up. I mean he just comes in on ya with his delivery.”
That is fucking amazing.

For like 3 seconds, I didn’t completely hate Johnson.

Johnson about any pitcher: His pitches had a lot of movement, I had a hard time keeping up.
Aaaaaand we're back.

Fuck you Rob.

Royal Navy is at sea as new ash cloud advances
Casey Kotchman...

I’m just like, “why didn’t I think of him?”

Also this

Wikipedia, don’t judge me.

Kotchman has not made an error in his last 185 games and 1,584 chances. He did not make an error in 114 games at first base for the Atlanta Braves and Red Sox in 2009, becoming the third first baseman in major league history with a minimum of 108 games at the position in a season to record a perfect fielding percentage.
Because he's been a mediocre hitter for years.

3 games ago, his OPS was under .700

Let’s not declare him a superstar slugger just yet.

Exactly, he's had a nice few games but let's wait a few months before jumping to conclusions.
Jack Z + Kotchman = dirty lightning

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