Dick Howser, 1978
Eddie Popowski, 1973
Rudy York, 1959
Cal Ripken, 1985
Billy Hitchcock, 1960
Bob Schaefer, 1991
Mel Harder, 1961
Jo-Jo White, 1960
Bibb Falk, 1933
Pat Corrales, 1978
Eddie Stanky, 1977
Del Wilber, 1973
Eddie Yost, 1963
Marty Martinez, 1986
George Myatt, 1968
Eddie Sawyer, 1960
Andy Cohen, 1960
Cookie Rojas, 1996
Ted Turner, 1977
Vern Benson, 1977
Jack Krol, 1980
Gabby Street, 1929
Ray Knight, 2003
Burt Shotton, 1934
Rene Lachemann, 2002
Joe Altobelli, 1991
Roy Johnson, 1944
Bill Burwell, 1947
Harvey Kuenn, 1975
Salty Parker, 1972
Bob Skinner, 1977
Ray Blades, 1948
Chris Von Der Ahe, 1895
Listed above are 33 managers. These are the 33 managers to have managed for one game during a given season, mostly as interims after another manager was fired and before the replacement showed up. The teams these 33 managers took over had a collective, full-season win percentage of 46.3% (2264-2627). These 33 managers, however, won 23 of their games.
The odds of a hypothetical 0.463 team winning 23 of 33 games are 0.56%.
I don't know what this means, if it means anything, but it's been on my head for a few days, and I think it's awesome.
0 recs | 27 comments
So, managerRoulette, then?
Matthew - May 21, 2010
I wonder what would happened if we fired and re-hired Wak every other day
Jeff Sullivan - May 21, 2010
The Washington State Unemployment Department would get tired of processing his paperwork
pdb - May 21, 2010
Wak might get upset, but what's the difference
Kermit. - May 21, 2010
Ask Billy Martin.
Sec 108 - May 21, 2010
Worked for Ottawa
Alexander Calloway - May 21, 2010
Whats up with 1977 and 1960?
What are the odds that out of 33 instances, there would be two years that each had 4 such occurances over a 100+ year period?
Kenneth Arthur - May 21, 2010
1 in 76
barabuski - May 21, 2010
I wish my name was Cookie Rojas
MT Olson - May 21, 2010
His parents are awesome!
Alexander Calloway - May 21, 2010
I'm a Cookie Lavagetto fan, myself.
marc w - May 21, 2010
The odds of such a team winning at least 23 are 0.56%
Which is semantically compatible with what you wrote. The other interpretation, that a team wins exactly 23 games, has a probability of 0.37%.
ForwardMomentum - May 21, 2010
Huh, that looks strange.
It’s more likely that this hypothetical team would have exactly 23 wins in the 33 games than between 24 and 33 wins. It makes sense after thinking about the math, but that’s a very striking result.
Jon S. - May 21, 2010 via mobile
Chris Van Der Ahe.
The skipper for the All-Jane Austin team?
MFAN - May 21, 2010
Its fun because we won yesterday.
Punkhazard - May 21, 2010
This is absolutely awesome.
Best post ever. I believe and hope this post—this one right here—will change the way baseball is managed forever. I just hope that the Mariners are the first movers and it takes the rest of baseball long enough to catch on that we are able to exercise our advantage for at least a few years.
Follow-up question 1: Did any of these one-game wonders ever manage against each other?
Follow-up question 2: If the answer to 1 is yes, did it upset the balance of the space-time continuum?
Follow-up question 2: If the answer to 2 is yes, what makes you think that you are so smart and know anything at all about the space time continuum, loser?
Attractive Nuisance - May 21, 2010
Follow-up question 4:
what number comes after 2?
Attractive Nuisance - May 21, 2010
36.75
pdb - May 21, 2010
I went to Google "2 36.75" to see if you were referring to any famous mathematical pattern,
and then played Pacman for 30 minutes and forgot why I went to Google in the first place.
Attractive Nuisance - May 21, 2010
I wonder how many people this happened to at work today.
Other than myself that is.
ToddK - May 21, 2010
If you knew me you'd know how comical the concept of me knowing a mathematical pattern is
pdb - May 21, 2010
Apparently there's a famous mathematical pattern involving kubic jars...
Yahoo Google!
Jeremariner - May 21, 2010
This happened a lot to me today
WestCoastBias. - May 21, 2010
An infinite number of numbers come after 2.
NoahNoah - May 21, 2010
“Bleem, apparently.”
qrsouther - May 21, 2010
I think that there is only one clear course of action.
The Mariners should hire 162 managers each season.
NoahNoah - May 21, 2010
My favorite is Ted Turner. He was the owner and managed for one game
Until the league found a rule prohibiting owners from being managers. He’s 0-1.
E-Lizz - May 21, 2010
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