Seattle: 11-17
Anaheim: 12-18
| MARINERS | Δ Ms | ANGELS | EDGE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HITTING (wOBA) |
-36.4 (29th) | -11.6 | -16.7 (24th) | Anaheim |
| FIELDING (?) | 18.9 (1st) | 0.5 | -8.1 (26th) | Seattle |
| ROTATION (tRA) |
-2.0 (19th) | 4.1 | -15.2 (26th) | Seattle |
| BULLPEN (tRA) |
-7.1 (27th) | -1.5 | -5.2 (26th) | Anaheim |
| OVERALL(RAA) |
-26.6 (26th) | -8.5 | -45.2 (28th) | SEATTLE |
Through 28 games, the Mariners are 13-15. Oh never mind, I was looking at the 2008 Mariners.
The StatCorner numbers (all the non-fielding ones) take a slightly bigger jump this preview because I incorporated the new handed park factors into wOBA and tRA across the site. So now you can take a look back at years past in High Desert for instance and be less impressed by the hitters there.
I don't have much else to write. How many ways can you say this team has played bad? They're not a bad collection of talent, but they're playing like it. We want change, but the best bet for that change is for the players we already have to start playing up to their abilities. It's not bringing in new players.
If anything, I advocate bringing back old players. I remain convinced that this team was at its best in February when the 11-man pitching staff seemed a go, left field was going to be a platoon of Ryan Langerhans and Eric Byrnes, Milton Bradley would get time at DH and there was no Mike Sweeney. That was a roster I thought could win the AL West. I would like to see that roster be given the chance it never got.
The Mariners are a ground ball-hitting team and right now they rank dead last in the Major Leagues in BABIP on ground balls. Eventually those are going to start finding some holes, but that predilection for keeping the ball on the ground harms us against pitchers like Jered Weaver and Ervin Santana. They're strikeout pitchers who throw up in the zone. You beat them by punishing them for doing so and hitting balls into the gaps and over the walls.
I don't care how they do it though. Just win. Win more than you lose. Start winning now.
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1 recs | 33 comments
Holy shit we actually have an edge on someone.
Eyeball Kid - May 7, 2010
Holy crap they're terrible
Jeff Sullivan - May 7, 2010
GB hitters have an advantage over FB hitters against FB pitchers, right?
lailaihei - May 7, 2010
That's what I've read before.
GB pitchers do better against GB hitters, and FB pitchers do better against FB hitters. Kind of like the same-handedness thing. The hitters that have an advantage are of the opposite hitting type, so it seems.
nathaniel dawson - May 7, 2010
How many homeruns are we going to hit this series?
Kirk - May 7, 2010
Two!
lailaihei - May 7, 2010
Optimism?
Can we hit NEGATIVE home runs? Is that possible? Like hit a ball so badly we LOSE runs?
Belom3 - May 7, 2010
Eric Byrnes was running a ~41.7% IFFB rate on batted balls. That's pretty close.
abender20 - May 7, 2010
Nope, Byrnes is gone.
ToddK - May 7, 2010
Three
Dewey N - May 7, 2010
Watch us get swept again.
That would be hilarious.
Goose - May 7, 2010
If by hilarious you mean mass suicide inducing then yes, yes it would be.
the other side - May 7, 2010
Crap.
Seattle is already the suicide capital of the world on account of all the dreadful rain! What chance do you all you Seattlites have if the M’s get swept again?!
JLProck - May 7, 2010
This hurt to read.
the other side - May 7, 2010
I found it hilarious!
Sec 108 - May 7, 2010
If anything it brings hope.
Because that team was god-awful and this team is not yet has a worse record. Not going to stay that way.
Hopefulmsfan - May 7, 2010
Matthew, would it be possible to get the overall for RAA in the previews as well?
Because holy shit, the Angels are terrible at everything and I want to see how that works out overall.
abender20 - May 7, 2010
The issue is with fielding, which I don't personally track.
I could give overall hitting+pitching easy enough, but adding in the fielding is more difficult. Let me see how long it would take via Excel
Matthew - May 7, 2010
How are you tallying fielding right now?
abender20 - May 7, 2010
(DRS + UZR) / Innings
http://www.lookoutlanding.com/2010/4/23/1439625/series-preview-seattle-mariners
RunningFool - May 7, 2010
UZR+DRS
I’ve created a specialized spreadsheet now so there you go, overall ranks. Poor Pittsburgh and Houston
Matthew - May 7, 2010
Ah, thanks very much. Goodness, the Astros are hilarious.
abender20 - May 7, 2010
Pittsburgh's worst.
Interestingly, Giants top the league followed by the Twins.
Matthew - May 7, 2010
That is weird.
Especially given Kentucky Fried Panda, DeRosa in the outfield and Aubrey Huff at first.
Not what I would have predicted.
thehemogoblin - May 7, 2010
Can we see the spreadsheet?
Or do you want to keep that under wraps?
Decatur - May 7, 2010
It would be pointless to share it
It just combines pasted in input after doing some cross-matching on team name (from fangraphs) and team abbrev (from statcorner)
Matthew - May 7, 2010
Please win more games than you lose from now on, Mariners
Punkhazard - May 7, 2010
I've learned in recent years of Mariners fandom
that rooting for other teams to be bad is almost as satisfying as rooting for a bad team.
Bearskin Rugburn - May 7, 2010
It's too early for that, and even then it's a bad idea.
We aren’t likely to get a better GM than Jack Zduriencik. He has some adjustments to make, but we should still believe in how he and his staff have gone about their business. Putting his job in jeopardy isn’t something I’m interested in seeing.
abender20 - May 7, 2010
I think he means rooting against the Angels is almost as fun as rooting for the Mariners.
Teej - May 7, 2010
But how many times will Jose Lopez walk this series?
Cantu Easley Winn - May 7, 2010
Lets Sweep these dirty mofos!
FuckTheAngels - May 7, 2010
So fucking nervous
I think whoever dominates this series will be fine. Whoever loses is fucked. If we get swept I’m going to go into hibernation.
OceanBird - May 7, 2010
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