Biggest Contributor: Milton Bradley +.175 Biggest Suckfest: Ryan Rowland-Smith -.206 Biggest Apathy: Me +.080 Biggest Damning with Faint Praise: Technically, we didn't lose to Jeff Suppan!
And Anthony Rendon sounds really intriguing because of how often I hear his name.
Aside from that, I always try to look for the good inside of the bad when it comes to the Mariners. And I figure if we’re going to lose, we’re going to get a high pick and those are always more interesting than picking 41st. And if we sign any type A free agents this off-season we won’t have to give up the pick, which is always nice.
At what point does the starting point begin at less than a 50% chance of a win? I mean, RRS was starting the game, surely you cannot assume a 50% chance of winning if it were almost anyone other than Suppan starting against him?
Is that if both teams have an equal number of outs left with a tie score, it’s always going to be 50/50.
That’s why you see the graphs regress to that point every inning (and bounce toward the home team at the bottom of every inning, when they have 3 more outs left) until the score becomes uneven.
I checked in on the game, saw MB hit a HR then RRS sort of fall apart, went off to have dinner and just assumed another loss. And who cares? There’s nothing interesting in seeing most of the ABs at this point.
I either feel sorry for some of the players or just cold. Increasingly cold.
in an abbreviated post-game (between good chatter with Drayer) he got the holy trinity of baseball idiocy— “why does everyone do better when they leave”, “fire the manager”, and “the GM has done nothing right”
Kanekoa Texiera (sp?) got the win for the Royals in relief after Yuni hit a three run double in a 7 run inning. For the Royals. ((Though, it was against the Astros, thats a lot for the Royals)).
Whuh-oh.
2010: 24-41
2008: 23-42
ThundaPC - June 15, 2010
I'm looking forward to the high draft pick.
chezbergrur - June 15, 2010
Any particular reason?
Kermit. - June 16, 2010
Gerrit Cole?
JY - June 16, 2010
I like drafts a lot.
And Anthony Rendon sounds really intriguing because of how often I hear his name.
Aside from that, I always try to look for the good inside of the bad when it comes to the Mariners. And I figure if we’re going to lose, we’re going to get a high pick and those are always more interesting than picking 41st. And if we sign any type A free agents this off-season we won’t have to give up the pick, which is always nice.
chezbergrur - June 16, 2010
If you aren't going to contend for a playoff spot, I'm all for getting talent
And from what I’ve read, the upcoming draft class has more elite players that would justify a higher draft pick, as opposed to 2010’s draft.
Winning games really isn’t a big deal to me right now. I’m watching Saunders, waiting for Moore, and hoping we get a good haul for Lee.
tait644 - June 16, 2010
Chart question....
At what point does the starting point begin at less than a 50% chance of a win? I mean, RRS was starting the game, surely you cannot assume a 50% chance of winning if it were almost anyone other than Suppan starting against him?
Henry H - June 15, 2010
Never.
It’s always 50/50 to begin the game, no matter who the teams are and who is starting.
wyte_lightning - June 15, 2010
That's not how WPA works. It's based entirely on what happens during the game.
Jeff Nye - June 15, 2010
Doesn't position by half inning affect the percentage at times?
9th inning, extras, tie game type situation? Not precisely what he’s asking, but it sparked a separate yet slightly related question
Kermit. - June 15, 2010
I believe you're right
Pretty sure that’s all about the leverage index.
wyte_lightning - June 15, 2010
My understanding of WPA
Is that if both teams have an equal number of outs left with a tie score, it’s always going to be 50/50.
That’s why you see the graphs regress to that point every inning (and bounce toward the home team at the bottom of every inning, when they have 3 more outs left) until the score becomes uneven.
seattlecougar - June 15, 2010
Biggest Suckfest: Ryan Rowland-Smurf
Janic - June 15, 2010
Two goddamn runs
waldo rojas - June 15, 2010
I consider it a success!
OceanBird - June 15, 2010
2 home runs!!
joey90 - June 15, 2010
Really Matthew?
+.080 apathy? My apathy is too close to 1.000 for +.080 to be an option at this point.
seattlecougar - June 15, 2010
It's great to see this "officially" registered.
I checked in on the game, saw MB hit a HR then RRS sort of fall apart, went off to have dinner and just assumed another loss. And who cares? There’s nothing interesting in seeing most of the ABs at this point.
I either feel sorry for some of the players or just cold. Increasingly cold.
ignacio - June 16, 2010
I am right up there with you on the apathy scale.
At this point I am going to the games to enjoy the atmosphere and having a drink or two in the beer gardens.
Fin - June 16, 2010
Please, Jack, just start trading people...anyone but Ichiro, Guti and Felix...to give us some hope that things will be better in the future.
RustyJohn - June 15, 2010
Poor Pitman
in an abbreviated post-game (between good chatter with Drayer) he got the holy trinity of baseball idiocy— “why does everyone do better when they leave”, “fire the manager”, and “the GM has done nothing right”
msb - June 16, 2010
This is one of many reasons that listening to caller driven radio is hazardous to ones sanity.
ToddK - June 16, 2010
Also radiation!
Ballard Erik - June 16, 2010
If I read correctly...
Kanekoa Texiera (sp?) got the win for the Royals in relief after Yuni hit a three run double in a 7 run inning. For the Royals. ((Though, it was against the Astros, thats a lot for the Royals)).
I laughed. Sadly.
Belom3 - June 16, 2010
104!
Robert - June 16, 2010
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