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Lookout Landing

33-44, Chart

6_30wec_medium

Biggest Contribution: King Felix, +42.5%
Biggest Suckfest: Chone Figgins, -9.0%
Most Important AB: Bradley homer, +9.9%
Most Important Pitch: Teixeira double, -5.9%
Total Contribution by Pitcher(s): +42.5%
Total Contribution by Lineup: +7.5%
Total Contribution by Opposition: 0.0%
(What is this chart?)

0 recs  |  125 comments

Comments

Huh Blowers said the pitch that Saunders hit for his second HR was the Lefty Lube Zone.
That he did.
.
"He told me, ‘Oh my God, things are dropping like crazy,"’ Hernandez said of catcher Rob Johnson.
This is proof that Rob Johnson does actually see the ball approach him.
This is proof that Felix Hernandez doesn't actually see Rob dropping those balls.
I didn't know Rob Johnson was 13
KEEP LEE, BRING UP PINEDA, RUSH BEDARD BACK

WITH FIVE ACES, WE’LL NEVER FUCKING LOSE AGAIN!

WE could totally go .600 with that rotation!
In this hypothetical scenario, is Rob Johnson still catching these pitchers?
I'd bet my money on .600 with such a rotation
Though Pineda is still unproven, I can't imagine him being worse than RR-S has been
HELL, JUST BRING ONE OF THEM UP. FELIX, LEE, XXX, FISTER, VARGAS IS 5 ACES ALREADY
Fister and Vargas are good, but not Aces

They’ve just been lucky.

Some luck.

But also some legit improvement.

No fooling?
It's really sad that we won't get to see much of a Felix, Lee, Bedard, Fister, Vargas rotation

That one automatic loss per turn has been hurting us all season.

Hey, technically, this team could still break the '01 team's record for wins...

if they finish the rest of the season with an 84-1 record.

Well RRS is facing Sabathia tomorrow so it will have to be 84-0
RR :S

Bummer. Atleast Bedard should be back soon.

He looked so much better for two innings!
This was pitching sex today
Lopez walked today!
Actually, that was a full out sprint
Is there a ceiling!?
Probably.
There is definitely a ceiling.
Yes.

It has spikes.

No wonder we never go that high.
What's Rob's bases allowed compared to his total bases now?

I remember when it was like 20 allowed to 19 contributed.

This is the first time that I regret not watching a game this season.
Watching from a bar is so not the same

I didn’t even realize Saunders hit a second one :(

So, I compiled some stats. Over the past 6 Felix or Lee starts, the pitching line has been the following.

9 IP
6 H
.5 HR
1 BB
7 2/3 Ks
1 1/3 Rs

Absolutely insane.

Man, I felt special when you shared that with me!

Now I find out I’m just your sounding ground for ideas? I am hurt!

Might as well share the wisdom with the masses, no?
2/3 of a strikeout isn't very useful.
That's why they call it average.
But... but...

0-2 to 19 batters :(

I hate the Yankees so much, that I hope we keep Lee so that he can beat them

again next week at Safeco. Then Felix will beat them again. Then maybe get Bedard to beat them. And Vargas will beat them.

Then we can trade Lee and lose the rest of our games for all I care.

P.S. Saunders is awesome. It’s a great sign that he’s hitting for so much power, even if his OBP sucks so far.

Saunders OBP will improve with time. I'm so glad he has the power I thought he had.

I think we finally have an answer in LF. It’s been a long time coming.

Yup. Tonight was a very good night. I have no doubt Saunders will bring that batting average and OBP

up with more experience. The power he’s flashing is something we had to see at the ML level.

I actually feel for the first time in awhile that we have a good young position player who is going to be a valuable asset to this team for the next handful of seasons.

I am hoping that Jack Z waits until after the All-Star break to trade Lee just so I can see him pitch at Safeco once more.
Yeah, I suppose he could get hurt, but Im really content with taking the draft picks if something like

that happens. I haven’t been blown away with some of the names mentioned in possible Lee deals. I’m okay if we just get picks.

I kind of hope for this just because it would be the most fun draft day ever.
Plus, if he stays it gives us more time to raise money for his contract

Jeff needs to make it a full blown fucking campaign.

I think that is totally worth keeping Lee for the rest of the year.
I'll be honest its just because I want to see us go through a Lee-Felix-Bedard-Vargas-Fister rotation atleast once.
That would be AWESOME!

Although, I’m not sure it’s worth it. Isn’t that just to greedy?

Assuming Cliff stays for one more start and Bedard is ready...

RRS, Fister, Vargas, Lee, Felix, Bedard is the lineup. So we’ll hopefully get it at least once.

on YES, Al Leiter had some pretty good comments.

Basically, his comments were down the lines of “Jack Z is not stupid” and won’t automatically deal him. Al’s view of Cliff’s worth was also pretty high… like 4 really high quality MLB ready prospects, I believe. His view is that offers need to be A LOT higher than the 2 comp picks that the M’s get if he leaves in free agency.

You're not getting four elite prospects for a half season of anyone, comp picks or no.
No team is going to get hosed in this deal. But is possible for us to get a good deal.

If GMZ gets more than one team involved in the trade, we could end up with more than just a ready-to-go player and a high prospect. Whoever gets Lee obviously will want to part with a subpar SP, which we really don’t need. There are too many scenarios/needs for now and in the future for me to get my head around, but I believe GMZ can probably get maximum value for us and satisfy everyone else involved at the same time.

If we can somehow pluck and pluck from the Rangers farm system, it would be a dream scenario.

They can’t take on salary? Great, it’s 4 million dollars – pay it. We need to deplete the shit out of their future while building up ours.

It doesn't need to be a lot higher than the 2 comp picks.

Lee is worth absolutely nothing to us at this point beyond comp picks.

Lee's value is not dictated by his value to us, its his value to the teams interested in him.

A man with no arms can still sell another guy a pair of gloves for a decent price because there is a market for gloves. Lee is worth more than two picks to us because people will pay more than 2 picks for him.

Just pointing out his comments.

Not commenting necessarily on the relative “correctness” of Al’s comments. You are also getting a half season of ticket revenues and probable wins during his starts. His view seems to be that Lee is potentially the one elite difference maker for some teams (there is no other person available in this class). I suppose a way to look at it whether any team on the cusp of the playoffs believes it is worth mortgaging their future to win this year.

A lot of commentators and radio guys think we're going to hit a gold mine.

I heard Michael Kay on the radio today state we were getting four great prospects that would revamp our organization.

However, he then later started pondering whether the Mets could get Lee and Figgins, and we’d get Luis Castillo…

I think we’d all be happy getting one real good prospect and a couple of guys who could be average regulars

Every time I listen to Michael Kay

I can’t decide who I want to punch in the head, me or Michael Kay.

I'm not content with draft picks. Lee is worth so much more than 2 first round draft picks.

If that’s all we get then our GM failed.

Unfortunately, our GM won't fail. He'll get the best deal he can and we will have

to see a very good pitcher (who was OURS) pitch in another uniform.

I'm kind of excited to see what we can get for him even though I love watching him pitch.
Jack Z does some interesting things

Maybe he goes totally off the board and does something like dealing him to the Yomiuri Giants for the rights to every child named Ichiro born in Japan for the next 20 years…

He better

Seeing Lee at the ASG in another uniform (or pitching for another league!) would suck.

Has this happened before?

Does anyone know if an All Star player was dealt before the game, however they only played a few or no games with a new team? An obscure question, but I’ve been thinking about it recently.

If he goes to the NL, I don't believe he will make the All-Star team. They would only count NL stats.

I think.

Sorry, think you might be wrong

Pitchers are selected by the managers of the teams. Thus, they probably can select whoever they want.

Close.

I believe pitchers are selected by player voting, however the manager may also add a pitcher as part of his selections. I’m pretty sure Charlie Manuel would select Cliff “I corn holed the Yankees in the world series for you” Lee for his All Star squad.

Didn't Sabbathia?

Or was he traded after the break?

He didn't make the All-Star team that year.

Strange, I wonder how many Cy Youngs weren’t All-Stars.

From my understanding, if the roster were to be chosen after the trade, Lee would pitch in his new team’s uni. If the roster were chosen with Lee as a Mariner, then he was traded before the game, he would play the game as a Mariner.

Jeff Shaw

“[Shaw] was selected to the 1998 All Star Game as a member of the Cincinnati Reds, but was traded to the Los Angeles Dodgers at the beginning of the All Star break, thus his first game he pitched in a Dodger uniform was in the 1998 All Star Game.” Infallible Source

Has there been a more enjoyable game this year?

We got two condor homes, a muscle sex blast and a dominant Felix performance at Yankee stadium.

homers*
Homes sounds gangster.

Although I’m probably too white to comment.

Saunders deserves to hit higher then 9th.
What if moving him down adds too much pressure?
That's what Branyan is here for!
At some point he'll have to face it.
Nah we need him there to drive in Wilson and Johnson.
Put him fifth

And put Lopez ninth.

Park Effects

Safeco Field hurts our hitting more than it helps our pitching.
Yankee Stadium aids or hitting more than it hurts our pitching.

Is this postulate correct?

Cliff Lee and Felix. Safeco really benefits the Vargas and Fister types who get results like
  1. and #3 starters due to Safeco and our defense. I would not feel comfortable with either of those guys lasting long at Yankees Stadium.
This is why I am scared for RRS.

I have images of the Yankees lineup having Batting Practice with him tomorrow.

I want RRS to succeed with the utmost power of my being. But against the Yankees and CC Sabathia, it doesn't look good.
It's going to be one of those games where I cringe as I look up the box score.
Well, may Wak has the good sense to pull him early, before we get buried.
Maybe we could just start David Pauley.
*maybe

not a good night for me.

SBNation really needs an edit function.

I believe its been brought up already, so hopefully they have programmers working on it.

No, it's my bad, I should have done preview. Read it twice and fixed it.
RRS is part of a secret revenue sharing agreement

The other teams pay the M’s to have him start to get them out of batting slumps….

Brought to you by Mariners Care
For each run given up, $100.00 goes to the Boys and Girls Club of King County.
Well, I think Dave did compare him to Jarrod Washburn back when he was first called up.

This is one of those games I'm really going to regret not staying home to watch
Welcome to the big show!

This is how I envisioned the season in January.

minus Figgins losing the ball in the ether

As did most of us.
Stan Verret called Saunders

The vice president of run support.

Fucking Mariners

If you bastards had played to your normal levels we would be having a completely different conversation now. It’s not Wak’s fault, it’s not Sleepy Griffey’s fault, it’s your fault. I’m looking at you Figgins. And you Bradley, you headcase sombitch. And definitely you Kotchman, you goddamn screwface double play machine. Lopez, fuck off and go away. Johnson, eat shit and die. White, you are terrible. League, throw the damn splitter. Wak is far from blameless and yes, they’ve been unlucky. But mostly they sucked. They sucked and now it’s going to cost us Cliff Mother Fucking Lee and equal a shit-ton of meaningless summer baseball.

I have departed the Tropic of Cairo and entered the Realm of What the Fuck. I am annoyed.

Winning tomorrow would be like winning the Apple Cup.

Moral victory of the year.

Aww....I wish I saw this game.
HOW DID NO ONE SEE THIS GAME

IT WAS SOOO GOOD.

I saw the game.

And you are completely right.

I had stayed home all day 2 days in a row and I had to get out of the house

I mean, I knew I was taking a risk missing Felix day but I didn’t think this would happen

If the you know the matchup the next day is RRS vs. Sabathia

You stay home for Felix day, and then you get out of the house.

*If you know

Dammit.

I listened to it from work

When Saunders went yard for the second time I almost spilled toxics on myself.

Was there.

So neener neener neener!

(Made even sweeter because I was accompanied by a friend who’s a huge Yanks fan.)

Jesus Christ, Jeff

That picture made my heart skip a beat. I thought Felix had finally done it and I’d missed it :(

So was the win expectancy 100% when Saunders hit HR #2?

Or just 99.99999999% ?

Once the cake is iced, it's iced. Whether you call it 100% or 99.99999999%.

The icing isn’t coming off.

Reply fail. I'm out of here. Enough screw-ups for this week.
It's more a question about how win expectancy works

Can it ever be 100% before the 27th out is recorded?

It can be so close that it rounds up

but technically, no, of course the WE% should never be 100% before the end of the game.

You are absolutely right. It's not over until it's over.
Oh, but the icing will come off

You just have to be unlucky enough to be facing Sabathia, Fielder, Sandoval, or any of the other fats guys.

Yeah WPA is basically 100% when you're up 14-2 through 6 innings.
Thanks for reminding me

Cleveland. Kenny Lofton. Sprague. Shit

Why can all our fangraphs look like this one?
*Can't. My typing sucks as bad as our offense in May.
A couple more wins and the Mariners go from bottom-feeders to a sub-.500 team.

It seems to be consensus here that Cliff Lee is gone, but I really hope the Mariners bust their asses to keep Cliff here for the rest of the year, I really want to see him stay.

Games like this make me want to rec everything.

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