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Series Preview: Boston Red Sox @ Seattle Mariners

Seattle: 37-58
Boston: 53-42

MARINERS Δ Ms RED SOX EDGE
HITTING (wOBA)
-110.6 (30th) -7.7 53.3 (2nd) Boston
FIELDING (UZR) 16.4 (8th) 0.0 12.4 (11th) Seattle
ROTATION (tRA)
18.0 (11th) 7.8 2.3 (15th) Seattle
BULLPEN (tRA)
-26.2 (29th) -1.8 -13.9 (23rd) Boston
OVERALL(RAA)
-102.4 (26th) -1.7 54.1 (8th) BOSTON






 

Oh. Oh god. The offense. The Mariners sans offense have been worth 8.2 runs above average. Not exactly what we were hoping for given that we knew the offense was going to be the weak point of this team, but not fetal position crying jag inducing either. The Boston Red Sox were also expected to be a pitching and defense team that had hitting as their weakest --though by no means weak-- asset. That hasn't been borne out by the season and in fact removing the offense leaves the Red Sox at 0.8 runs to average. 

If you looked only at defense and pitching, the Mariners and Red Sox have essentially been equal teams. Does this mean anything? Not really, but then again does anything mean anything? Think about it while I eat this Oreo.

Mmm. On the plus side, a banner series for the rotation as Pauley was what you like to see out of a fifth starter, much less a seventh or eighth starter and Fister and Felix turned in magnificent performances.

Thu Jul 22, 19:10: Ryan Rowland-Smith* vs. John Lackey

Fri Jul 23, 19:10: Jason Vargas* vs. Josh Beckett

Sat Jul 24, 19:10: David Pauley vs. Jon Lester*

Sun Jul 25, 13:10: Doug Fister vs. Daisuke Matsuzaka

The Red Sox have three starters who have performed below average this season and those three are Lackey, Beckett and Matsuzaka. Time to regress fellas! In November of 2006, the Red Sox inked Daisuke Matsuzka to a six year contract that cost them a combined $103 million between guaranteed money to Daisuke and money for his posting. We were all dismayed at losing out on Matsuzaka originally though less dismayed when the costs became known.

We should be even less dismayed now as Matsuzaka has performed up to a worth around $40 million to date and realistically is going to top out at around $60 million. More than he got paid by Boston but far less than Boston paid to get him.

Also that winter, and likely in retaliation, the Yankees signed Kei Igawa to a five year contract for a combined $46 million dollars. Igawa has been worth -0.2 WAR for the Yankees and remains in Triple-A. We not only landed the best Japanese player, but we also encouraged other teams to ultimately throw away a lot of money chasing similar success. The Seattle Mariners, trend setters!

Felix almost personally keeps the Mariners from suffering their first sweep at home to the White Sox since 1993, but by dint of pitching the closing game of that series, the Mariners embark on a four game series against the Red Sox in which the above four are our starters. This could be very, very painful if you still care. I am insulated from caring thanks to these Oreos and this handy survival blanket that I stole from Jeff.

Ryan Rowland-Smith Jason Vargas David Pauley Doug Fister
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 40% 88 45 65 35
Sinker 19% 88 25 55 30
Change 18% 80 45 50 35
Curve 17% 72 30 75 70
Slider 5% 79 45 70 35
Overall -- -- 30 60 40
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 44% 87 50 35 30
Sinker 24% 86 30 60 30
Change 23% 80 80 70 35
Slider 7% 83 20 35 35
Overall -- -- 55 55 25
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 47% 90 25 70 30
Curve 20% 76 75 25 65
Change 13% 82 75 25 60
Slider 11% 82 60 80 70
Sinker 9% 89 20 75 60
Overall -- -- 60 55 45
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 58% 88 20 65 60
Change 19% 81 45 80 70
Curve 9% 74 55 30 80
Sinker 8% 88 25 50 55
Slider 7% 83 30 80 45
Overall -- -- 20 70 65

John Lackey Josh Beckett Jon Lester Daisuke Matsuzaka
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 47% 91 45 65 55
Curve 25% 79 65 75 60
Sinker 14% 91 30 45 40
Slider 12% 83 65 50 70
Overall -- -- 50 60 60
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 63% 94 70 80 65
Curve 24% 77 60 50 40
Sinker 10% 92 70 55 50
Overall -- -- 60 70 60
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 58% 93 75 60 75
Sinker 16% 89 80 70 50
Curve 14% 77 65 50 65
Change 7% 85 60 25 75
Overall -- -- 70 55 70
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 49% 92 75 35 25
Slider 20% 83 45 55 50
Sinker 17% 90 55 65 35
Curve 7% 80 60 40 40
Change 7% 82 45 20 20
Overall -- -- 65 35 25

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Comments

But...Kei Igawa holds the most wins for the Scranton/Wilkes Barre Yankees
Were you actually eating an oreo?
I think it was a fake like the moon landing
Well at least I'll get to see Pauley v Lester live.
I don't recall a series preview this season where we had the overall edge.
The White Sox series in Chicago.

That turned out well.

That tends to happen when you don't play the Astros or Pirates.
Angels at one point.
The Angles 3 times, the White Sox once, and the Orioles once to be precise.
David Pauley versus the team that dropped him for Randor Bierd: This Is Beyond Revenge, This is Beyond Baseball

I trust both benches will get a talking-to before the game even starts. Figures that Boston would start Lester opposite Pauley, as both were teammates in Portland in 2005; this is like an ex who sends her new boyfriend to pick you up at the airport or something. Someone’s getting beaned. Maybe Pedroia, maybe Youk, but someone.

You're in the wrong locker room, Jack

Peter Abraham of the Boston Globe writes that “various reports” have indicated that Boston has acquired Jack Hannahan from Seattle in exchange for either money or a player to be named later.

This preview fails to mention the return of Beltre!

Pretty much the only thing I’m looking forward to tonight, I hope he’s in the lineup.

Lopez still starting, batting cleanup.

Most counterproductive hitter in baseball and probably in the 10th percentile in intelligence.

I can't believe there is more than 2 more months of this.

Balls.

Imagine writing series previews for these!
Well at this point you can almost right them in advance and insert the numbers.

“Oh look we still suck, here is the pitchers.”

And yet I don't. All for LL.

You’re welcome.

Usually when the Sox play the M's I take a passive approach to winning and root for individual performances

But I really do hope the M’s beat the living crap out of John Lackey. I fucking hate that guy.

It's a shame that even if they do they probably won't win the game

Hyphen :(

Woooooo we finally have the worst offense!!

We’re number 30! We’re number 30!

I prefer to think that we're number 1 at being bad offensively.
Shannon will be talking to Felix in the Baselines series today
But Adrian comes first :(

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