I won't keep you long. I know you have meals to eat, beers to drink, and Seahawk turnovers to forget. I didn't even watch this game, anyway, since I was on the road the whole time. There's only so much you can write about a game you didn't see that lifted your favorite team to 35 games under .500.
So I'm just here to say one thing, and then I'll leave you be. And that one thing: as hard as it can be for pitchers to work with little run support, and as often as it comes up in the press, the Mariners have really done a hell of a job.
All that stuff people write about the pressure of knowing you pretty much have to be perfect - it's true. Pitchers aren't idiots. They aren't idiots about winning games, anyway. They know what's at stake, and it can get in their heads. One missed spot could seal the deal. Everybody prefers to pitch with offensive support. It adds to the comfort and adds to the confidence.
The only thing you can really do when your offense can't score, then, is to try to push it out of your mind. Try to forget about it. Try to go out there and ignore everything else and try to do your job, and then hope that your teammates can do theirs. In a way, you have to lie to yourself. You have to pretend like runs aren't that big of a deal.
And the Mariner pitching staff has succeeded in that regard, by and large. I don't know how much of an effect there really is. I don't know how much this matters on average, and what effect that pressure and psychology usually has on performance. What I know is that, as the Mariner offense sinks further and further towards historical depths, we aren't seeing a corresponding performance decline on the mound. This team is fourth in the AL in ERA. It's fifth in FIP. Since trading Cliff Lee, the M's have a team ERA of 3.79. Even excluding Felix Hernandez, since Felix is Felix, we've seen Jason Vargas pitch well. We've seen Doug Fister pitch well. We've seen David Pauley pitch reasonably for what he is, and the same has gone for some of the bullpen.
I'm not sure that people properly appreciate just how bad of an offense we've been watching. The Mariners are on pace to score just over half as many runs as the 1999 Indians. HALF. This has been perhaps the worst offense that anyone in your family has ever seen. It's frustrated us. It's frustrated everybody. It's definitely frustrated the pitchers. But the pitchers won't let it show. They continue to go out there and do their jobs admirably.
Obviously, I'm aware of the shortcomings with ERA. The team gets help from its stadium. It gets help from the defense. Their ERA looks better than it probably ought to. When you look at the group of arms this team actually has, though, it's hard not to be impressed. It's hard not to wonder how every pitcher who ever takes the mound in a close game isn't a complete nervous wreck.
The Mariners are on pace to allow 690 runs. The whole team didn't fail. The offense failed. The pitching, and the run prevention, have done just fine. They've done just fine despite knowing damn well how important every run is. The Mariners are 7-74 when they allow at least four runs. The need for near-perfection has maybe never been greater.
And despite that stress and anxiety, the M's have managed. I don't know if pitchers have ever buckled under this kind of pressure before, or if that's just a media creation, but if ever there was any team where pressure-related struggles on the pitching staff's part could be understood, it's this one. And they've sucked it up. Seems to me, that's really something. These hitters are pathetic, but these pitchers are tough.
1 recs | 21 comments
Next year we're going to be pimpin
85+ wins for sure
Dewey N - September 19, 2010
Based on my projections, I suspect we'll win eleventy billion games.
CapSea - September 19, 2010
Impossible
Dewey N - September 19, 2010
I said this weeks ago
Robert - September 19, 2010
Bullshit
Dewey N - September 19, 2010
,
http://www.lookoutlanding.com/2010/8/30/1659766/8-30-open-game-thread#45587006
Robert - September 19, 2010
Whoa what the hell
Dewey N - September 19, 2010
You win
Dewey N - September 19, 2010
And then flirt with 100 losses again in 2012, right?
Vicious cycle
Aly Edge - September 19, 2010
"I don't think he's going to generate much power like that "
Depends on what he’s using it for.
CapSea - September 19, 2010
Do pitchers actually pitch significantly different when they have a lead or the game is close?
I know people always say it but do we have unbias evidence they do?
Edgar for Pres - September 19, 2010
Baseball-Reference has all kinds of splits that you can look up
Matthew - September 19, 2010
Yeah I was just thinking that looking at raw splits are going to be pretty biased
Bad pitchers are probably going to have more high leverage situations because they’ll have more players on base. Good relief pitchers are going to pitch in high leverage situations and bad ones will pitch in low leverage situations. Most starters see high leverage situations later in the game when they are more tired and have gone through the lineup a few times.
Has anybody done a study where they try to control for any of this sort of stuff?
Edgar for Pres - September 19, 2010
This Seahawks game was actually encouraging.
Hasselbeck overthrew somebody!
Robert - September 19, 2010
Now if he could only learn to overthrow the opposing team
d0nkey - September 20, 2010
Fun thought
There is a chance that we’ll lose 100 games. And there is a chance that we’re going to do it with perfectly acceptable run-prevention.
Let that sink in for a moment.
We’re just behind the Texas and the Yankees in runs allowed and just ahead of Cincinnati and Colorado. Of course, those teams have scored over 700 runs to this point. None of the teams ahead of us are more than 2 games under .500. We’re almost 40 under.
This season is one for the ages.
As far as the pitcher’s mentality, I think there may be a few things to consider.
1) Virtually every pitcher is affected by lack of run-support. No one is sitting there saying “woa is me, where are my runs, guys?” All of the pitchers have something in common and they probably confide in each other to get through these times.
2) No one is really going to blame the pitching if it falters. This is a pretty unique situation in which just about everything is the fault of the offense. Even if offense scores 5 or 6 runs and the team still loses, they never score that much with any amount of consistency.
This has practically become a way of life for the pitchers so if we hear one of them say “It doesn’t bother me all that much” I will definitely believe him.
ThundaPC - September 19, 2010
7-74 might be my favorite non-Felix Mariner stat in years.
Robert - September 19, 2010
What I'm taking away from this is that we're 50-18 in games where we allow 3 or less runs.
Believe big!
BaronVonBullshit - September 19, 2010
If we finish with 690 runs allowed that's actually 2 runs better than last year
That is mind-boggling.
ThundaPC - September 20, 2010
Yeah but 1,999 Indians can score a lot of fucking runs
lemonverbena - September 20, 2010
This post is exactly right...and what pisses me off about the Cy Young conversation.
Felix has less pressure than Sabbathia because his offense sucks and the games don’t mean anything? OK, imagine them switching teams for this year. Who do you think would benefit more? CC from the ‘low pressure’…or Feix from that lineup?
diderot - September 20, 2010
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