If you can hit the ball 1/3rd of the time then you are considered really good. Its unlike a lot of sports like football who"s players are expected to be perfect. Come from behind rallys while fun are not as common as the fan would like to believe. With the winning run at the plate with two outs Suzuzki with his OBS at .309 he his likley to fail to just get on 70% of the time. Suzuki who isn’t a power hitter only has 12 home runs only hits homeruns 3% of the time isn’t likley to hit the walk off home run. So Suzuki was likley to get on base 30.9% of the time, but a walk wouldn’t win the game. But he is likley to hit a single only 24.8% of the time and a single probably wouldn’t tie the game with a runner on first (I think there was one on first) and it would probably take a double to tie which Suzuki has only hit 15 doubles in 412 at bats. That means his chances of at least tie it is 3.64%.
I’m sure there is a whole lot more to the percentage and it probably took in consideration of his chances to walk and have the bases loaded and the next batter’s chances of hitting a single, but all that stuff is too much to think about at 5 am
Hey guess what the lesson of the day is? Don't write stuff at 5 am.
I meant OBP not OBS. Maybe I phrased it wrong but I considered a hit something that happens when a player hits the ball and gets on base, not how many times the player can get contact on the ball.
You might also be sarcastic, which is something I fail at realizing in real life and not something I can reconize on the internet. Who was the last mariner to have a .333 batting average?
According to FanGraphs, if Brandon League didn't blow, every Mariner would have had a positive WPA.
CapSea - September 7, 2010
Hmm, I'd have figured a bigger ninth inning spike
‘specially when the winning run came to the plate. But then again I don’t really know how these are calculated.
Aly Edge - September 7, 2010
keep in mind baseball is a sport of failure.
If you can hit the ball 1/3rd of the time then you are considered really good. Its unlike a lot of sports like football who"s players are expected to be perfect. Come from behind rallys while fun are not as common as the fan would like to believe. With the winning run at the plate with two outs Suzuzki with his OBS at .309 he his likley to fail to just get on 70% of the time. Suzuki who isn’t a power hitter only has 12 home runs only hits homeruns 3% of the time isn’t likley to hit the walk off home run. So Suzuki was likley to get on base 30.9% of the time, but a walk wouldn’t win the game. But he is likley to hit a single only 24.8% of the time and a single probably wouldn’t tie the game with a runner on first (I think there was one on first) and it would probably take a double to tie which Suzuki has only hit 15 doubles in 412 at bats. That means his chances of at least tie it is 3.64%.
I’m sure there is a whole lot more to the percentage and it probably took in consideration of his chances to walk and have the bases loaded and the next batter’s chances of hitting a single, but all that stuff is too much to think about at 5 am
LeftArrow2 - September 8, 2010 via mobile
Those stats are from his 2010 year.
LeftArrow2 - September 8, 2010 via mobile
A player who could only hit the ball 33% of the time would actually be pretty terrible.
katal - September 8, 2010
Hey guess what the lesson of the day is? Don't write stuff at 5 am.
I meant OBP not OBS. Maybe I phrased it wrong but I considered a hit something that happens when a player hits the ball and gets on base, not how many times the player can get contact on the ball.
You might also be sarcastic, which is something I fail at realizing in real life and not something I can reconize on the internet. Who was the last mariner to have a .333 batting average?
LeftArrow2 - September 8, 2010 via mobile
Ichiro, last year, .352
Ichiro, 2007, .351
pdb - September 8, 2010
Really? I am by no means a stat head, but that's something I should have remembered.
LeftArrow2 - September 8, 2010 via mobile
Batting average isn't much of a stat though, so it's really not that important to remember
pdb - September 8, 2010
I know you meant OBP, but I was referring to contact%.
katal - September 8, 2010
With two outs, there's still a very low probability we lose the game
(we did win the game, right?)
seattlebruin - September 8, 2010
THIS CHART IS SO CONFUSING I JUST DON'T KNOW
Faux - September 8, 2010
That's why I hate charts and numbers
I just wait for Bill Krueger to tell me if the team did well or not.
HititHere - September 8, 2010
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