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Hisashi Iwakuma, Mariners Move Beyond Flirting Stage

I'm not real familiar with the customs of the Regency Era courtship process. I guess this is the point at which the Mariners pay Iwakuma a visit? Or the point at which the Mariners ask for Iwakuma's company at a ball? Or the point at which the Mariners exchange brief pleasantries with Iwakuma before embarking on a foxhunt with the father? I knew I should have paid closer attention during Lost In Austen. This is another reference to Lost In Austen.

Jon Heyman:

#mariners are very close to a deal with iwakuma. very good pitching there. need a hitter tho.

Unbeknownst to Heyman, the Mariners have several dozen hitters at the Major and minor league levels. It's just that not enough of them are very good. But you can't always get what you want. Everything I know, I learned from The Rolling Stones. My entire apartment is black. The landlord isn't very happy but I'm pretty sure she's just irritated she didn't think of it first because it looks pretty badass. "Landlord" is a hell of a title.

Landlord: Hello, I am the landlord.
Tenant: I AM YOUR VESSEL

Anyway, this is another indication that things are moving right along. This is a time of year that we're told not to put too much stock in rumors - I'm pretty sure I've said that myself a few zillion times - but this isn't one of those rumors where someone has something to gain from spreading mistruth. I absolutely do believe that the Mariners are close to signing Hisashi Iwakuma. There's no Scott Boras or Dan Lozano trying to drive up the market. Iwakuma's low-profile, he just wants to sign, the Mariners are interested, and Seattle's as convenient a city as any for a Japanese player with a family. It all makes perfect sense.

So you can begin mentally penciling Iwakuma into the Mariners' rotation. Or you can begin preparing yourself to mentally pencil Iwakuma into the Mariners' rotation. It's not official yet. I don't know if it should go Felix/Pineda/Iwakuma/Vargas or Felix/Pineda/Vargas/Iwakuma, but I do know that rotation order doesn't really matter, so that's a discussion you can save for the very slowest of days. A day so slow the sun's like "aw fuck it" and hits the snooze for an hour and a half. We will not need a celestial body to be on patrol on that day.

The big question, obviously, is whether Iwakuma will be any good. Kei Igawa was very good in Japan, and not very good here. Hiroki Kuroda was very good in Japan, and has been very good here. I don't believe that Japanese imports are unpredictable, but I do believe that they're very hard to predict, and that no one's yet figured it out. So Iwakuma, if he signs, will be a question mark. But thankfully all questions will be answered in the incontrovertible proving ground of spring training.

6 recs  |  61 comments

Comments

And 30 year old pitchers from all backgrounds are 30 year old pitchers

So who knows right?

Except if you don't believe their government documents.
Cuban 30-year-old pitchers are not always 30-year-old pitchers.
They could very well be 33-year-old fussbudgets with funny accents
Are we boning yet?
Hooray we're making a move
It is a truth universally acknowledged

… that a baseball team in possession of a good fortune must be in want of a mid-rotation starter.

Jeff, please stay away from drugs and pools.

The last thing we need is for you to be replaced by a writer with the talent of Mick Taylor.

Wait, no, Mick Taylor was talented, just boring. But still: stay away from pools.
Pools are great exercise.
I'm not really a Stones fan

I only know the Brian Jones story through a certain omnipotent Psychic TV song.
Seems like Jone’s replacement should have been named Mick Richards.

That is all.

Some says Brian Jones was murdered.

“Death By Misadventure” works for me.

Did you mean vassal?

If not that conversation got even creepier.

I originally thought the same thing, but no.

I guess that shows how much more my reading has been about feudalism than scripture.

That was my reaction as well.
He must've meant vassal. Vassals were feudal tenants who owed fealty to the landlord -- much like today.
There is also a definition and usage of vessel that works and is what was intended.

So, no. Not “must’ve”

Okay. My bad.

It was presumptuous of me to assume that he wasn’t referring to a container, a person into whom some quality is infused, a bodily canal in which a fluid is contained or circulated, or a watercraft bigger than a rowboat, since I don’t know him like you do. Please accept my apologies.

I know him enough to ask him. It wasn't difficult.

It was the actually one fewer word, but I grant that the question mark key can be a little more difficult to reach than the period key. So by all means, you’re forgiven for making completely unnecessary assumptions. Go forth and continue! The internet, nay humanity itself, needs more of them!

Not to be troublesome

…but I confess that I could use some help in grasping this:

“It was the actually one fewer word, but I grant that the question mark key can be a little more difficult to reach than the period key.”

Just pay the rent, so as to avoid distrain.
"need a hitter tho."

[insert LL header image here]

Have there been any rumors as to contract length/value?

I am reading the A’s bid around $18M and offered ~3y/$12M. I think I’d be fine with like 3y/$20M total on the contract

Doubt it would be that much

He’s coming off a shoulder injury and is on the cusp of entering his 4th decade on earth.

Nice phraseology there.

I should’ve thought of that when I was 18 and looking to buy liquor. “I’m on the cusp of entering my third decade on this earth, sir!”

“Get out of here, kid.”

Last year, if reports were accurate,

the A’s bid $19.1M for the returnable posting fee and offered 4 years at $15.5M. Iwakuma’s then-agent, Don Nomura, also said:

"After our first proposal, we were thinking we had a compromise through negotiation, but the Athletics seemed to think ‘if you can’t take this price, you don’t have to come here’. That wasn’t a condition we could accept."

Over under 3/$18M?

That’s $6M a year. That’s like a 1 WAR player.

Over. Well over.
Over

Maybe not in years, but in dollars.

I like how today's Iwakuma post has the picture left-justified for a change.
Got no reason / what the heck?

C I L L. My landlord.

Thank you for reminding me

Huzzah for unauthorized YouTube bootlegs

So we're on first base with a pitcher?

Only the Mariners.

On the Mariners the pitchers have a better chance of reaching first base than the hitters!
I read that and instantly thought it sounded funny in Yakov Smirnoff's voice.
Don't you have wayyyyyy more interesting things to be doing than commenting on LL right now?
Apparently not.
I don't think you properly understand how interesting it is that we have invented the internet
It practically has interesting right in the name!
Define "we"
Humanity
Though I cannot rule out that the internet was the product of dolphinity

to placate and sedentarize humans for their eventual conquest.

They would like to thank you for the fish
Oh no, they got Willy

Some U.S. pitchers have been good and then either good, bad, or indifferent upon moving.

Does the whole Japan ? arise from the past assumptions that Japanese players were a notch below MLB or is there some meat to any current assumption that Japanese players are more of a question mark than any other player moving from team to team or league to league?

There's just more volatility around the projected level of performance expected.

An MLB free agent has faced MLB talent, whereas a Japanese free agent has not. Not enough Japanese players come over to have a real accurate major league equivalency for Japanese players’ statistics.

Since the stadiums, players, strike zones, and balls are different, there’s questions about how all of those will transition, and not enough data to see which kinds of Japanese players are more likely to have success and which are less likely.

It’s an interesting question, and I think Japanese imports will always have more question marks unless there is a more open trading/posting process in place that would allow players to come over in their prime and give us more data points.

Yep, it's a different game.

The evaluations I’ve seen used to say it was somewhere between MLB and AAA in talent level (certainly enough players have dropped out of MLB and gone over there to do ok to show that). And, and you say, there are very significant differences in play.

So in many ways it’s like calling up a guy from the minors…except you usually have to give him a big contract and $10/20 million just to negotiate. Scary.

Notch below MLB?

As you mentioned, the NPB is not short of MLBers that didn’t do anything. It cuts both ways.

Smoke 'em if ya got 'em.
Premature response. Woops.

Different Japanese player.

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